i even got an error through google cache. but, i already had it archived elsewhere.
--
june 28, 2016
hillary needs to make the choice about what side of the spectrum she wants to run on and then run on it aggressively.
if she decides to run as a conservative, and does it with
conviction, then she can win some of these red states that everybody thinks are
not in play - but she will probably destroy the democratic party's ability to
appeal to the left for a generation or longer. is that already accomplished,
anyways? i don't think she'll split the left in any meaningful way, because
she'll cut too far into the right; if she loses 10% on her left, she'll gain
15% on the center-right. shouldn't tennessee
be in play? kentucky?
arkansas?
that was her husband's map...
if she decides to run on the left, she'll have to concede
some space on the right but with the aim of preventing a split. she'd be
looking to emulate the obama map.
if i was working on her campaign, i would be a nihilist. i
would be solely interested in power and reject ideology as simplistic modernist
naivete. so, i would see these options as equally acceptable and judge them
solely on their likelihood of success.
i would conclude she should run on the right, in an attempt
to take advantage of conservative disillusionment with trump. she can offer a
more credible conservative vision than he can. that's a big vacuum with a big
reward. while she may lose support on her left, it is so unlikely to migrate to
trump that it is not worth worrying about.
if she tries to hug the center, she will be unanimously
rejected and lose.
