Tuesday, June 5, 2018

i know i sound like a broken record.

but, there's a big difference between saying the conservatives are running at 38% and saying they're running at 35% - regardless of where the ndp is.

i think the danger inherent here is actually that there's a shy liberal effect, and with the media coverage, it's not impossible. the only way that ford is going to win is if that undecided vote goes to the liberals. it's in two days. why haven't they committed to the ndp yet?

if most of that 10% goes ndp. there's an ndp majority. if most of it goes to the liberals, it's a conservative majority - unless it's distributed almost impossibly well.

so, i'm less concerned about where the tories are here and more concerned about the softness of the ndp vote.