Friday, September 13, 2019

i've watched a bunch of the canadian debate tonight, which is linked to below, and i'm convinced that trudeau made a dramatic error in skipping it.

a few things.

1) singh comes off as an empty suit. tepid. flat. uninspiring.
2) scheer is running on an issue - balanced budgets - that canadians don't care about. to an extent, he's speaking solely to his base, as they have almost no room for growth, but, in doing so, he's misunderstanding it. if this is his campaign, it's going to have turnout issues.
3) may exists. therefore, she wins.

canada is a deeply polarized country, politically, but the polarization is not symmetrical. the perpetual truth is that the motive of the vast majority of canadians is to vote against the conservative party, in some way. the empty podium on stage could just as well belong to stephen harper. by ceding the attack against scheer to his opponents, trudeau is diminishing his own relevance.

but, i keep saying this: they're stupid.

may killed it. over and over. she was the only serious candidate on stage. and, we'll see if it moves the numbers or not.

what i saw tonight is just more evidence for the tipping point.