Tuesday, October 22, 2019

so, i argued the conservatives were going to get spanked in ontario because they were way down there from 2015.

and, they did lose quite a few suburban and exurban seats. do they have any left?

but, they were only down a little rather than a lot, and they seem to have gotten an assist by rural ndp voters that helped them make up for the losses.

so, their numbers seem flat, but they're actually inflated - they will likely lose some of those seats pretty fast, while there's less evidence that they'll be competitive in the 905 again any time soon.

i was expecting those ndp votes to swing green, and maybe they would have if ms. may prioritized these areas a little more strongly.