Wednesday, November 13, 2019

what's going on with the weather, though?

well, it's cold. it's snowing. this is too early for this.

the liberal media wants to trot out this old canard about weather and climate, and it's just a function of their inability to actually explain anything, and their insistence on monolithic narratives.

the climate is not defined by one thing moving in one direction, but rather by many things moving in many directions. those other things moving in other directions are not any less defined by the term "climate". it's just more complicated than they think you're smart enough to understand.

right now, "global warming" isn't really happening in the atmosphere. it's not because the concentrations of carbon dioxide aren't increasing - they certainly are. you can check the readings in hawaii, they're still going up. but, there's something else happening in the atmosphere in addition to the increasing carbon emissions, namely a decrease in solar energy, and particularly in the northern latitudes.

so, it's not that the idea behind global warming stopped, it's just that this other thing showed up and, at the moment, has overpowered it.

think of it like this - if you boil water with the lid on, you build up lots of steam inside the pot. the reason it's hot is the stove. but, then, if you take the lid off, you release all the built up heat. that doesn't mean you turned the stove off; the element is still burning, but some factor interfered with the process.

and, there's absolutely no reason you shouldn't refer to that factor as a part of the climate, other than a bunch of liberals that insist on overly simplistic, linear thinking.

in the southern latitudes, where the weather is driven less by the atmosphere and more by the oceans, you haven't really noticed this. it just keeps getting hotter, and the mean temperatures just keep going up.

but, up here in the north, the climate is currently being dominated not by increases in carbon dioxide but by decreases in solar energy. and, we're getting swamped by polar air moving downwards.

i don't have to tell you this was predictable; i predicted it. it's there. but, it's just a basic understanding of how the system works, regionally.

now, if this decrease in solar energy was permanent, you would in fact expect it to be a shift in the climate. this would be the new normal, and you'd have to get used to it.

but, in fact, what we know is that we're at the bottom of a cycle, and this should be the worst of it.

i'm still hoping for an early spring. it's too early to say, though.