Tuesday, March 10, 2020

i apologize. i suggested that it would be a clean split, and she would barely win, not that he would win.

he won by 1.5%. so, that's correct up to reasonable error - and certainly closer than anybody else.

the last video points out that the error that the msm made was that it looked at aggregate polling over weeks, instead of recent snapshots, which had sanders gaining very quickly.

but, the signals i got in 2016 are not present right now and i'm not repeating my analysis - it looks like biden will win big.

there are writeups for each of these videos.