Monday, November 11, 2013

i have some ideological problems with modelling....

to clarify: the article bounces between 'surface temperatures have slowed their rate of increase' and 'global warming has paused' type statements. the former is true: surface warming is still happening, and the warming is still increasing, but the *rate* is not increasing. it's a linear increase, rather than an exponential one.

that doesn't question the idea, and the magazine deserves a talking to for trying to capture the skeptic market, really. it just questions the perfection of the models.

but the perfection of the models was never in doubt. we all know better than to trust the weather forecast, right?

it's a non-issue, except to point out that the models are constantly being improved.

http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=has-global-warming-paused