it's a complicated dynamic. because, sovereignty is not necessarily left-leaning. a part of the bloc's collapse was from right-wing adq supporters irritated about voting for "communists". the bloc started off on the right, but it had to make that choice to swing left to appeal to more voters.

what that means is that, in some way, the bloc is directly in competition with the conservatives for right-leaning sovereigntists. and, the bloc's ability to split is consequently not necessarily good for the conservatives, as is often assumed by analysts: they can steal sovereigntist voters from the conservatives, too. conversely, the conservatives probably have more of a swing with bloc voters in certain parts of quebec than they do with ndp or liberal voters.

i'm iffy analyzing three-way raises races. four-way raises races? it might as well be down to dumb luck, really.

but, the conservatives taking seats in quebec city should surprise nobody.

www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-election-2015-grenier-quebec-aug17-1.3193588

man, my grammar has been terrible recently. i think the edit button has made me lazy. and yet there is no edit button, here.

it's funny how your synapses can short out and throw out "raises" instead of "races". it's spelled correctly. but it really only sounds similar.

anyways. i'll be more careful. i'm kind of picky about that...