the reputable telephone pollsters, almost without exception, had the conservatives somewhere in the (27,33) range at the start of the campaign - that's about 30%, +-/3. today, the reputable pollsters have the conservatives in exactly the same range. you'll see the odd 25-26 or the odd 34-35, pretty much randomly - outliers. there has been no statistically measurable change in conservative support, and therefore no reason to draw conclusions about a bump that hasn't actually happened. but, there has been a pretty big movement between the ndp and the liberals.
i think that, in the end, this will hurt them. they've finally shown themselves for who they are. but, even so, they don't go much lower than 30.
this was always an election between the ndp and the liberals, and this is still true. but, the split is brutal. if he's winning, it's on the worst split, yet; we've never seen them split 30/30 like this.
there's no culture war. there's just a huge split in the opposition.
i mean, you lose 10% over the previous election and that's a successful tactic?
www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-election-2015-conservatives-barbaric-cultural-practices-1.3254886
RareRationalism
I would not deem it 'a war', but I would deem it a cultural reawakening.
jessica murray
lol.
i repeat: there is no evidence that this tactic is working.
maybe harper can dust off some old borden signs, as a part of this "cultural reawakening" and put them up in downtown vancouver.
HARPER: FOR A WHITE CANADA
bet that'll go over well in the vancouver and toronto ridings he's required to win to form a government.
just don't tell anybody about the underground railroad, though. warps the narrative.
--
ok. found the question.
" As you may know, the Government of Canada has issued a direction requiring people to show their faces when they are being sworn in as Canadian citizens. This direction means that face coverings, such as niqabs or burqas, are not permitted during Canadian citizenship ceremonies. Do you support or oppose a requirement that people show their face during Canadian citizenship ceremonies?"
support: 82%
oppose: 15%
don't know: 4%
what is the main reason you support?
1) For identification purposes 29%
2) It's just a cultural practice / doesn't infringe on religious rights / freedom 8%
3) For security reasons / concerns 6%
4) Disrespect for our cultural norms / social practices (showing ones faces, beign unmasked, etc.) 14%
5) To follow our laws / rules 11%
6) Discriminates women / detrimental to women / sexist 2%
7) Shows that one adopts Canadian culture / becomes a Canadian citizen 12%
so, this is actually a leading question.
first, they tell you it's against the law. then they ask you if the law should be followed. well, do you believe in law or not? most people don't follow the issue all that closely - of course they agree with the law. there's two responses, then - those that agree the law should be upheld, and those that have some kind of "values" based response - although whatever values these are, they are not canadian values.
for those that are simply saying the law should be followed, we have: 1, 2, 3, 5. that's 54. these people are not actually in opposition to anything except people breaking the law; and that takes the total up 69% opposed.
4,6,7 are the real opposition that the conservatives are supposedly trying to mobilize, although 6 is contentious. and, unsurprisingly, that adds up 28% - the conservative base, +/- a bit.
no wonder there's been no poll movement.
this isn't a winning strategy for the conservatives.
Kevan Brown
You shouldn't have pointed that out, it was keeping them busy and distracted.
jessica murray
i find the narrative embarrassing.
this morning's nanos poll puts the liberals at 43% in ontario, and 34% nationwide - and the conservatives at 30% nationally. the supposed conservative uptick in quebec is gone; it seems to have just been randomness in the data.
it would be nice to hear the media pick up on the idea of canadians rejecting the racist electoral strategy of the conservative party.