Saturday, January 27, 2018

it's starting to look like the aristocrat swooping in is caroline mulroney.

that's a dramatic entrance to high level politics, for somebody that one might assume ought to run in quebec.

it will be interesting to see how this unfolds. i do believe that she has an existing media footprint, and would no doubt be used by the tory elites as a front, managed through that media image - you could call it the trudeau model. but, i have my doubts about the applicability of the trudeau model to provincial politics, where turnout is lower and voters tend to be more informed.

i'd like to see them try this, really - because i don't think it will work. not a mulroney. not in ontario. but, what an experiment...

to be clear: who knows if what happened will ever come out in the form of actual evidence, but a little deductive reasoning is suggesting that the way has been paved for mulroney to move in, as the preferred option of the party executive, which wants to manage the office ceremonially and pull actual decision making into the party executive. well, the liberals just did it, federally. and, it's working.

it's of course going to be the excuse to wipe patrick brown's platform away, as well. new leader, new ideas. if the tories veer right and lose the election, as they always do, this is going to be a question that people will ask: might they had won with patrick brown and his platform? if they hadn't got cocky...

i dunno. i'm a logician, not a clairvoyant. and, we're going to need to wait for the dust to settle before we even look for a signal. but, if what appears to be happening is what is happening, i think it's going to backfire: i think the mulroney name is going to backfire, and i think people aren't going to take her seriously as an applicant to the premier's office.

jagmeet singh must cut his beard.