Tuesday, February 11, 2020

so, like i said - (klobuchar, warren, biden) will be lucky to get one or two delegates, total, between the three of them.

sanders will probably get around 25% of the vote, and buttigieg will probably get around 20% of the vote. remember - buttigieg doesn't get a second chance in new hampshire like he did in iowa, so it's the first ballot that is more likely to be predictive, and a bigger win is consequently more likely.

but, between the two of them, they will get nearly all of the delegates, despite getting less than half of the vote.

and, this threatens to be the norm moving forward, if the field doesn't narrow.