how many deaths/day does new york expect to see from the flu this time of year?
i'm asking this because you should not expect deaths to reach zero, there. like, ever.
so, what is a "normal" or "acceptable" daily death rate?
50? 100? 200?
if it flattens at 300, you might have to concede to the empirical truth; that might be your answer.
and, don't say "zero". that's just wrong.