when i was a kid, my dad used to drag me to hockey pools with him, and i'd end up reading through the draft magazines, because it was the only thing around to read.

and, there was this phrase that was often reserved for highly talented but under-performing russian prodigies, who had a margin of error in projection of roughly 50 points per year:

a riddle wrapped in a mystery inside of an enigma.

that's donald trump, for you.

and, the smart analysts should not forget that, as i did.

https://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Main/ARiddleWrappedInAMysteryInsideAnEnigma