that not much has changed - and for good reason, as they haven't done anything, they've just been sitting on their thumbs waiting to regain their entitlements, while systematically undoing the constitution.
what the polls say is that the outcome of the election will be determined during the course of it, and that there's a wide range of outcomes to project, depending on how the election unfolds.
but, i'm going to repeat my previously suggested wildcard - the demographics of the country have really been upended, and i strongly doubt it's in the liberal party's favour.