chicago has seen a decrease of 85,000 people since 2020. this is slightly less than the decrease of 205,000 votes that the democrats saw between elections. trump increased his totals by 16,000 despite the 85,000 less people.

san francisco has seen an almost 10% decrease in population between 2020-2024, which is almost 100,000 people. i couldn't find totals.

minneapolis only decreased by about 6,000 people since 2020 and seems to be recovering

seattle bucks the trend and has actually increased since 2020.

a statistician trying to figure this shit out needs to grasp that the deck has been shuffled and that this election is only data point one in what may indeed be a realignment in the making, but it's not yet clear how the cards fall.

in the end, get it right and call it what it is: this is the covid realignment, driven primarily by migration out of the cities.