Tuesday, September 22, 2015

the bc general was weird, and i'm just going to avoid it completely. but, what the ontario election actually demonstrated was the clear inferiority of internet polls. it wasn't just ipsos that got it wrong, it was the internet panels across the board. the ivr and phone polling was actually pretty accurate. a media narrative developed that the polling was wrong, but the narrative was really flat wrong - it was only the internet polls that were wrong. had the proper narrative developed...

i would think that the first thing that such an organization would do, if it were serious, would be to strongly discourage the kind of polling methods ipsos is using. that it's not doing such a thing suggests it's not a body that much attention should be paid to.

ipolitics.ca/2015/09/21/feud-emerging-between-pollsters-as-election-day-approaches/