Tuesday, August 27, 2019

sorry, maybe i should translate.

liberals - 30%
bloc - 16%
conservatives - 16%
ndp - 6%

but...

i'm not voting - 5%
i'll destroy my ballot -7%
undecided - 9%
no answer - 2%

so, 23% of voters are telling pollsters that they really don't like the options. and, given recent trends in quebec, most of them were probably bloc voters twenty years ago and ndp voters ten years ago.

if they all go back to the bloc, you get this:

bloc - 39%
liberals -30%
conservatives - 16%
ndp - 6%

which would be roughly the results of a random election in the 1993-2011 period.

if they all give up and stay home? that's what the conservatives are dreaming about.

but, if they all get really fed up and vote green....that's a shift, alright.