Tuesday, September 10, 2019

to be clear: what's happening is that all of that nice humidity is coming up (partly from the hurricane, and partly just because it's at it's maximum extent; i get that), but...

at some point, at any time of the year, no matter what, the humidity is going to smash into the jet stream. both of these things are there all of the time. in the hottest days of the summer, you hope that happens somewhere up near hudson bay, because the jet stream has retreated. by november, that starts happening considerably south of here, over the ohio river, or further south.

i mean, i'm complaining about the possibility of rain. but, at least i'm almost getting the heat. if i was in sudbury or thunder bay, i'd be experiencing autumn.

for this week, detroit is right where the cold from the jet stream and the warmth from the oceans are smashing into each other, and that's actually pretty normal for....a little later, but around this time of year. it's often the event that transitions from summer to fall.

so, the forecast appears to have been a little eager about the warmth, and rather than get that last bit of humidity, we might wake up after the system passes in a few days in full blown autumn.

i'm not a clairvoyant, it's not about whether i predicted the weather weeks in advance, it's just a question of understanding what's going on. forecasting the weather always comes with a lot of uncertainty. but, what's happening isn't surprising, anyways - this aggressive jet stream has been dominating the weather here for months.