Monday, September 16, 2019

we're getting closer to the weekend, and that warm pacific air is still being forecast to dominate, hurricane or not.

looks like it'll be nice. better enjoy it....

i'm agreeing with this forecast, except that i'm still expecting the jet stream to defeat the ocean, in the end. so, i think we're going to get cold very fast, again, like last year. and, i'm holding out hope for an early spring. if not this year, then next year. soon...

i just want to clarify the point again: we've got two things, here. the warm ocean is mostly the result of climate change - not always, but usually. the blob would be an example of an ocean anomaly that may be solar in origin. on the other hand, the wobbly jet stream is mostly the sun. so, where i am, you get these things fighting with each other, and the weathers end up moving in extremes.

but, the sun is coming back, soon - which means they won't be fighting with each other any more, and it'll just be flat hot. the jet stream will retreat to the north, and we'll be dominated by pacific air for years, like we were in the mid 00s. and, they'll blame it on el nino, and be partly right, if it is.

so, the solar cycle is currently masking the warming effects at the latitude i'm at.

i have to keep pointing this out because people get confused.

https://www.theweathernetwork.com/ca/news/article/2019-canada-fall-forecast-winter-outlook-temperature-precipitation