as for the conservatives.

they've consistently struggled to get to 20% in quebec since meech lake, and the media thinks that they're all of a sudden competitive when a few polls show them at 25% - a phenomenon unique to quebec's fragmented political system.

even so, they only won one close riding in 2015. even with all of these three or four way splits on the left, they still can barely compete.

so, don't fool yourself - quebec is not going to vote for andy scheer, except by accident. when the numbers settle - and it's mostly a two-way race between the liberals and bloc, with the greens as dark horse - the conservatives will remain uncompetitive in most regions of the province.

andy has no strategy here.

the liberals are supposed to do better than this.