Monday, February 10, 2020

so, amy klobuchar might come in third place.

but, if she only gets 14% of the vote statewide, she could end up with 0 delegates - they'll just curve bernie & pete up by the difference.

then, she could end up in third in nevada, too. but, if she only gets 13% of the vote, she's still goose egging.

and, it's hard to see how candidates like wang or gabbard or steyer are going anywhere at all, even if they consistently run at 5-10%. again: bloomberg isn't clearing these hurdles, either. and, how does bloomberg solve any of the problems biden presents?

you have to get to 15%, and if you can't then you're wasting your time.

who can do that in the big states? sanders, certainly. biden, probably, if he doesn't cave too much. buttigieg, likely, if he gets some momentum from these early wins - but the numbers aren't in yet.

and, right now, nobody else. warren is in free fall. klobuchar has never gotten close to those numbers. and, neither bloomberg nor steyer have generated them yet, either.