Saturday, February 22, 2020

what were my projections?

1) sanders will do well in most districts, often getting close to or a little over 30%

he's currently running at 34% and appears to be running pretty stable in the high 20s or low 30s pretty much everywhere.

2) buttigieg will be viable in most places, and will cross 20% in strong districts

that was accurate.

3) biden & warren will mostly be unviable, but may get a small number of delegates.

right now, it looks like the only place that biden is going to clear 15% is las vegas, and warren may not get anything at all. 

4) klobuchar & steyer will run flat, and below the threshhold essentially everywhere

they're both running under 10%.