Monday, September 28, 2015

i think you're wrong, but i can't really respond to this until you correct your dates and numbers. the liberals won a majority in 1980 under trudeau due largely to the quebec vote, mulroney won a very large majority in 1984 for the conservatives that was cross-country and he then won a much smaller 21 seat majority in 1988 that was fully dependent on a 60-seat showing in quebec. chretien swept the liberals back into power in 1993 with a 29 seat majority that included 98 seats in ontario and almost every seat in the maritimes but very few seats out west.

the right was split through the 90s. the reality is that harper has only rarely hit the highs that the combined conservative & reform party vote hit in the 90s, which was consistently 35-40. it's consequently pointless to look at 90s numbers and argue you can win without quebec. i mean, sure you can - if the right is split in rural ontario. harper has struggled to reach those numbers, but he's won since then because he controls the other groupthink province in canada: alberta.

so, sure, you can win without quebec. if quebec is voting in protest and the opposition is split. or quebec is voting in protest and you have alberta.

now that things are back to normal, hopefully, it's going to be very hard to win without quebec, again.

www.huffingtonpost.ca/alain-miville-de-chane/quebec-vote-has-no-say-in_b_8201036.html