Dr. Grand
Anyone know if those regions up for possible liberal win are actually Harper's own seat? 

jessica murray
the riding trackers are using a very poor model. direct polling would be useful.

they use uniform proportional swing. that is foolish, in alberta - and why they got the last few elections so wrong. they should use proportional proportional swing.

i would estimate that harper is running around 45, which means he is vulnerable to a strong strategic campaign, but will probably win.

www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-election-2015-alberta-calgary-petty-1.3269499