it doesn't change the math. it's rigged. i'm disengaging. zig-zagging, sure. but, is there a contradiction in there anywhere?
it doesn't change the delegate math. it does change the likelihood a little. i mean, if hillary gets arrested tomorrow, things change, right - i'll base whatever i continue to rant out on existing polls. but, projections of future successes need to be made on analyses of past ones. again: ohio was never serious. but, it's hard to see how he gets 60-65% in new york when he got 49% in illinois. yes: he always had to get 60-65% in new york, so what he needs to do hasn't changed. but, that's a big gap in votes over states that ought to vote similarly.
so, there's articles floating around claiming the lead is too big or the math has fundamentally altered - that it's too late, and that's it. that's inaccurate. the race has not meaningfully changed in any way. he still needs to do exactly what he already needed to do. it's just the question of whether it can be done or not that's become a little more in focus, and it's a little deflating.
but, despite my reactions, the truth is that his chances of winning are not different today than they were yesterday, and he still needs you to get out and vote in order for him to win. it's just that you have to do it. will you actually do it?
it's more that i've lost faith in you.