Tuesday, May 29, 2018

this isn't a poll.

and it's just regurgitating tory media talking points.

so, don't take this very seriously...

....but, it's still putting the liberals ahead in the 416.

the mainstreet data is more reliable. but, this pushes home the point: that if the liberals can find a way to sweep toronto again, in the end, then it doesn't matter if they're running at 7% in the rest of the province.

toronto has roughly half the province's population. (7 + 35)/2 = 21. so, if they are running at 21 percent provincially, and are running at 7% outside of toronto, that means they must be running in the mid to high 30s in toronto.

they are the toronto party. they've been that way for years. they still win, though.

like i say: i trust the mainstreet data better. i'm just pointing out it could be wrong and the results are potentially profound if it is.