Friday, February 28, 2020

asking white south carolinians what they think about trump directly is like asking ukrainians what they thought about stalin.

you're not going to get a straight answer. 

but, there's a lot of evidence that there's a lot of unease, particularly amongst evangelicals.

buttigieg has an opening, and these firms that are polling democrats and independents might have missed it.

i'm not saying that's going to happen, i'm saying it's a potential curveball, and one that would not be inconsistent with what we saw in the other early states.