Wednesday, March 4, 2020

but, with bloomberg gone?

bernie is going to just get smashed in some of these remaining states, like it's 2016 all over again.

and, he's not doing well in the north, like he was then, either.

i do not want warren to drop. clearly, she should drop. but, it's not going to help sanders the way he thinks it will..and it's going to set up this disastrous choice, from a general election perspective.

say terrible things about clinton if you want, i have and will again, but she was a smart, educated, capable woman that had the ability to attract all sections of the upper class. she did well with the nouveau riche, with old money, with educated professionals, etc - she was just awful on actual policy and it freaked out a lot of wonkish types, on the left.

biden is a friendly, apish dunce - a village idiot, more in the style of a gerald ford and, kneejerk reactions aside, he's just not going to maintain the support of these necessary swing demographics, even if he somehow managed to shock and awe them into it for the short term. he can't speak their language. he's really not one of them.

if the party walks down this path, where it forfeits the educated professional in favour of appealing to the low information voter, it's going to lose all of the most important districts in november. it won't even be close.

if warren reminded me of dukakis or adlai stevenson, and ran the risk of being smeared as a liberal egghead, what biden reminds me of is a bob dole or a john mccain, and runs the risk of getting completely shunned by actual smart people.

they need to keep the warrens and the buttigiegs kicking around because they need to have a way to appeal to these people.