Friday, April 24, 2020

i just want to tersely comment on the falling new york death toll.

i think everybody would like to see these numbers fall faster than they are, but this is a fairly rapid and steady decline that we're seeing. it's certainly not a sustained death toll. or, not yet, anyways.

again: there should be some background level, in the end, so don't expect it to fall to zero.

the term i used, crash, may have been somewhat unfortunate. but, the question is whether it's falling steadily or levelling off, and it's the former that is clearly more true.