Wednesday, August 19, 2020

this is probably a better forecast:


Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com


(note that the initial post mistakenly had nevada red. oops.)

...meaning trump needs any two of the top three, or iowa + michigan, or iowa + minnesota + wisconsin, to win; biden must win michigan, and two out of the other three.

i remember back in 2016 i did this with these maps and said "trump doesn't have a path", and then he won three states that he had no business winning.

trump seems to have the advantage on paper right now, but we'll see how that works out.