i would expect that the donald will spend most of the next four years playing golf.

but the real question is how big this guy's cock is.

google's ai is neither able to correctly define modus ponens nor to correctly define denying the antecedent.

it's not set to take over the world quite yet.

there's an old southern saying i learned from george w. bush.

"fool me once, shame on me. fool me twice, shame on....you me...fool fool me....won't get fooled again!"

it was pretty obvious to me that the polls were wrong in exactly the same way they were wrong the last two times, which is why i managed to nail it when nobody else did.

the democrats appear at this stage to have avoided a complete catastrophe, but these numbers are exceedingly concerning to democrats and broadcast the plausibility of imminent disaster:

illinois + 8.

jersey + 5.

new jersey was as close as nevada. 

the republicans have a better chance of winning illinois than the democrats do of flipping florida back.

this is going to look like a comfortable and convincing but narrow trump win. look closer and it's the narrow, narrow aversion of complete collapse.

it was immediately clear that harris was the worst possible candidate. the outcome was immediately predictable.

that's why we have primaries, and history should condemn biden for not stepping down in time to allow for one.

what next?

the youth vote is a total flip and while i don't want to oversimplify i've been pointing out for years that the covid restrictions were political suicide for the democrats. the young people today were told they weren't allowed to go outside and play because some stupid, worthless old people might die, as though they were supposed to give a fuck, and it was entirely blamed on the democrats, who are now the uncool party, and will be the uncool party for the foreseeable future.

the democrats have also become too black. it was one thing when this guy with a white mother was introducing the rolling stones at the convention, but harris didn't even try to appeal to white voters. americans may broadly be in favour of post-racialism and racial integration, but white americans don't want minority rule by african americans, which is how the democrats projected themselves.

there's no nice way to put this. this is a truly disastrous outcome and it's not as bad as it could have been or as bad as it will be next time. the democrats need to completely rebuild.

yeah.

this is how you rile your base up the day before the vote.

i don't know what harris is thinking.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/11/04/vance-garbage-criticism-harris-trash/76053720007/

the last batch of polls are unquestionably in trump's favour, including clarifying that minnesota is in fact up for grabs.

the headlines suggest otherwise. is the news biased in favour of harris?

it is. but it would say that anyways because the news is no longer objective, they are trying to get you engaged to sell you a story. they want a close election. it's exciting. it sells.

i don't expect that the outcome tomorrow is going to be very close at all, in terms of electoral vote tallies, even if some subset of the states is close. trump should win by a comfortable to substantive margin and the outcome is going to clarify why biden was a fundamentally strong candidate and harris is a fundamentally weak candidate.

elon musk is worth 50 billion dollars and can't hold a girlfriend.

....and, then elon musk demonstrated to the world at the last minute that donald trump is in truth the ringleader of a pack of sophomoric, immature little boys trying to take over student council and not a collection of frightening fascists that want to take over the military.

macho guys are gross. don't get me wrong.

these guys aren't macho, they're immature dorks.

it's the dork patrol.

they have a saying in computer science: garbage in, garbage out.

i'm not sure how you can listen to what that guy said and be upset about what biden said. it's clearly a difference in scale.

nonetheless, this is a song i wrote in early 2000, during the republican primaries, before bush got elected. note the middle section.

*shrug*.

i'm not producing hyperbole.

now is the time to eliminate the iranian leadership, before it does something catastrophic.

it is broadcasting it is about to launch a dangerous strike.

the iranian regime is not rational and cannot be treated as though it is rational.

i haven't spent much time outside recently, but this is noteworthy:

that forecast is for the first week of nov, 2024.

in recent years, we have seen the temperatures in november feature unusually warm bursts of air that quickly subside. i remember one year where we had two 27 degree days followed by vicious wind storms. the wind reasserted the fact that this is canada and it's november. so, we'd have this tug-of-war where it was trying to stay hot late into the year, but which was ultimately won by cold air plunging in from the arctic, as a result of the polar vortex breaking up due to a deficit of sunlight.

everything else aside, our weather is ultimately controlled by the sun and the yearly parade of longer and shorter days, governed by the tilt of the earth's axis, overpowers all. that will remain true for the foreseeable future, until or if this constant blizzard at the north pole ever subsides and the polar winter becomes a long summer festival. that will be a helluva party. by then, we should be able to grow new livers in test tubes and replace them on demand.

this forecast is different - constant late summer weather (by canadian standards) lingering on into mid or late november, and with no real end in sight. not fluctuations. not snaps. 15+ degree weather every single day up to or past november 15th, and unambiguously late summer or early fall weather pushing into december.

that is no longer unusual weather. that is now a change in the climate.

a few things to watch on tuesday.

1) black candidates underperform in wisconsin. it's not because they're all racist, exactly, although some percentage of them are. however, it's an open question whether people think kamala harris is actually black or not. barack obama told everybody he was half-white every ten minutes for a reason.

2) black turnout in michigan.

3) i think minnesota is going to be close.

4) pennsylvania is leaning republican, which is weird but consistent with the idea that some subset of amish or something don't want to vote for women. if harris loses pennsylvania, she's screwed. this has only been a swing state twice in recent memory, and it's been with female candidates both times. the demographic driving this isn't clear. it's more specific than white & rural, there's something else in there, and it might very well be amish. let's figure this out.

5) north carolina and georgia were supposed to be closer. black turnout is going to be a problem because they're not allowed to vote if they try. but keep an eye on that.

so, it's really going to come down to black voters in these states, and that is questionably undemocratic, but it's how it was setup. harris might have done more to reach out to white people - like standing on stage with a white musician or two - but she didn't. she ran as the black woman, which is doubly odd because it's not clear that people think she's black at all. yet, it's how it's going to be.

what trudeau doesn't understand, and will probably never understand, because he's actually a brutal racist, is that his longing for a culture and an identity is a consequence of the fact that white people had our culture and identity stolen from us by christianity, in the most brutal process of colonization in the history of the world. white people don't even deny this; we don't even contemplate it. we don't understand it. when we overthrew chistianity in the 17th and 18th centuries, we did understand it, but we had no latent or background culture to retreat to, and have been left without an identity ever since. some people, like myself, embrace building a new cultural identity on the concepts of reason, which was the framework developed out of the french revolution in response to the realization that the abolition of christianity would create this cultural void. others, like trudeau, lack the historical understanding and frankly the emotional maturity to come to terms with the fact that their identity was stolen from them, and try to fill that void by co-opting the cultural identities of others.

trudeau's framework only makes sense to him because he has no culture because his culture was stolen from him in the process of colonization by christianity.

this framework does not make sense to anybody that actually has a culture, and was not colonized or stripped of their identity and forced to start from scratch when the colonial process terminated, was overthrown and was reversed.

his father was far more intelligent than he was and understood the role of reason in reconstructing white cultural identity, but trudeau will always be beyond reason, and this process is lost on him. he will forever be lost in the purgatory of a colonized person that has had their identity stripped, and will never understand that those not in that condition will consider him a fool for trying to normalize his condition and attempting to apply it to others.

dossanjh was a smart guy. he's right.

https://nationalpost.com/_preview/news/wcm/1943398d-5795-463c-a97e-b4a23d66d8d2/?xur=strange&client_id=a8d5b917-dcb3-4cde-b475-e414d90065be

in fact, if you follow trump's body language, it's relatively clear that he thinks melania is too old and he wants somebody younger, which i suspect is the reason he appears so frequently with lara trump.

if joe biden wants a valuable legacy in history, and to be remembered as somebody that did something that helped the world, he should order the elimination of khamenei before he steps down.

i will reiterate that mr. asshole khamenei clearly needs to be assassinated, and that this is long overdue.

i'm startled to learn that the coast unit in windsor thinks i'm a drug addict.

a quick look through this blog will demonstrate that i have no tolerance or patience for drug addicts and think the idea that they deserve compassion or empathy to be disgusting.

these coast units are a disaster. they keep shooting people. they can't gather basic information. the whole concept needs to be abolished.

i'm going to have to declare war on the windsor coast by foia-ing them and going after their officers via oiprd reports, one by one. this is unacceptable. this can't exist.