i expect that they'll come back down to around 15% or so. that's what the mean seems to be.
so, it does seem to be that the firms having them in the lower end - 13 or worse - have been coming in a little out of bounds, and are underestimating them.
at 15%, they're still not likely to do very well, if it's still mostly localized in bc.
the liberals are supposed to do better than this