these articles are floating around.

i've been clear for a few weeks that i think sanders can make up 100 delegates in california. he'd have to get about 65% of the vote in california to do that, and i think he can. we have no meaningful polling at this point, but:

1) the state is liberal.
2) arnie democrats are hillary democrats, and they will bail for trump.

he can win on big turnout. he can win big on trump bleeding democrats out.

i think he can make up 50 in new york, too, for the same reasons. hillary was never really the senator for new york.

he's probably going to lose florida and north carolina. you don't need polls for that. missouri is like michigan. but, i want to see polls for ohio and illinois. i think he could win over 60%, maybe even 65%. i haven't seen polls - don't quote me. it's intuition. there aren't any relevant polls.

what i'm getting at is that he could split on tuesday, or even gain a few. and, then he just needs ten here, five there until he gets the chance to wallop her in california.

but, this is the math he's counting on, here: not just wining california, but winning california with 65-70%.