it's not cold in sweden or russia. it's only cold here.
we were at the bottom of the solar cycle, which was skewing the weather. anthropogenic climate change doesn't change the solar cycle - that still happens, for better or worse. as we are getting out of that funk, we should expect these extremes to reverse and the warming to reassert itself, but this is the worst spring yet, and nobody saw that coming.
i kept saying that it looked good but it was too early and may have, in the end, jumped the gun a little.
still - why is it twenty-thirty degrees below normal here? is the pole wandering, or what?
when the solar cycle picks up, you should expect a more intense polar vortex; let's remember that the cause of the polar vortex expanding is an absence of sunlight, so it does follow that when you bring in more sunlight you should bottle it back up, which is what it looked like was happening for most of the winter. but, then, it just kind of imploded...
it's not expanding - it's even warm in nunavut. it's only cold right here.
so, did the culmination of factors kind of break it, then? like if you spin a top too fast and it runs off the axis?
if so, is that the end of our polar vortex? hmm. stay tuned...
note: it could just be bad luck.
this is weird, no doubt. everything right now is kind of weird. but, my analysis has not changed - you should continue to expect an acceleration of warming in this region as the sun comes back, even if it takes a while to kick in.
we were at the bottom of the solar cycle, which was skewing the weather. anthropogenic climate change doesn't change the solar cycle - that still happens, for better or worse. as we are getting out of that funk, we should expect these extremes to reverse and the warming to reassert itself, but this is the worst spring yet, and nobody saw that coming.
i kept saying that it looked good but it was too early and may have, in the end, jumped the gun a little.
still - why is it twenty-thirty degrees below normal here? is the pole wandering, or what?
when the solar cycle picks up, you should expect a more intense polar vortex; let's remember that the cause of the polar vortex expanding is an absence of sunlight, so it does follow that when you bring in more sunlight you should bottle it back up, which is what it looked like was happening for most of the winter. but, then, it just kind of imploded...
it's not expanding - it's even warm in nunavut. it's only cold right here.
so, did the culmination of factors kind of break it, then? like if you spin a top too fast and it runs off the axis?
if so, is that the end of our polar vortex? hmm. stay tuned...
note: it could just be bad luck.
this is weird, no doubt. everything right now is kind of weird. but, my analysis has not changed - you should continue to expect an acceleration of warming in this region as the sun comes back, even if it takes a while to kick in.