Sunday, February 1, 2026

i don't support starting a war in iran. i do support limited strikes, in order to help groups on the ground get over critical mass. the purpose of these strikes should be to dismantle the irgc overnight in a single fatal, decisive blow. these time windows, when they come up, are short and require a fast response. i do not know with clarity if such a thing is in the realm of what america can do or is in truth in my imagination but i strongly suspect that the united states could, in fact, completely wipe out the irgc in about an hour. the americans appear to have missed their current time window.

the americans should avoid drawing too many resources out of ukraine and into a war in iran. 
you'd expect something like this in somalia or afghanistan. mexico can do better than this.

i don't want to get overly weberian on you, but the state needs to be able to stop this. otherwise, there isn't a state. anarchists would deal with this by declaring war against and ostracizing the thugs, but this is the kind of social dynamic where anarchism breaks and the theorists start arguing that the society doesn't meet the preconditions and isn't ready. the basic hobbesian social contract is that the state needs to stop this.

the americans are beginning to signal that, if mexico doesn't want to stop this, they're going to finish the war they started, themselves and, on some level, they will be justified in doing that, if the mexican state refuses to exist.