Friday, April 10, 2026

did the arabs get a little pushy in trying to tell trump what to do?

rumours have long been that the arabs have a history of being bossy with the americans. one wouldn't expect trump to react well to that.

now, i highly doubt that the iranians are going to give trump what he wants, but it's becoming clear that this is what he wants: to shift alliances away from the arabs and towards iran. the incoherence of this position doesn't matter. it's donald trump.

so, the arabs are calling starmer in, like the indigenous groups in canada insist on calling the queen, because that's who they made their agreement with. they feel shafted, and are venting, but it's their own fault.

i have repeatedly pointed out that i'm not a clairvoyant. i don't have a crystal ball. i can't predict the future. i'm a logician and an analyst, and i pay closer attention to empirical facts and less attention to ideology than most. i call it as i see it. and trump wants to be friends with iran and wants to throw the arabs under the bus to do it, but that almost certainly won't happen.

there remains no alternative to regime change in iran.

but trump is increasingly making this process more and more complicated and leaving a knottier and knottier mess for the next president to unravel.