Saturday, September 5, 2015

harper is actually hard to place on the american spectrum. the reason is that canadian conservatism is historical toryism, although he's coming out of a merger of historical toryism with a movement in canada called social credit. the result is that he's actually pushing what is somewhat of a novel political position even in canada. it's probably best to look at these two ideas separately.

historical toryism is something that probably needs to be explained to americans, because it itself will not make sense to american conservatives. that probably has to do with it's founder's role (edmund burke) in the american revolution, which was a confusing mess that got him despised by everybody. but, it's based on this idea of class harmony through obedience to authority. everybody in their right place, and everybody knowing their right place and everybody respecting everybody else's place. god and country and king. over time, this morphed into what americans would more readily identify as nanny-state socialism; first bismarck and then churchill advocated massive government-controlled social systems. in canada, the conservatives' primary defining policy position for the first half of the twentieth century was it's opposition to free trade, in support of the british cartel system (the "crony capitalist" mercantilist system). in the 60s, the canadian tories actually supported single payer health care when it was introduced and wrote the bill of rights that became the core of our very, very liberal constitution in the early 80s. in the 70s, they campaigned on "wage and price controls" that were state restrictions on inflation - total market interference at the most fundamental level. and, they even supported marijuana decriminalization. they were against markets, in favour of individual freedom and yet maintained a mild level of social conservatism regarding the role of tradition and religion.

the social credit movement is something a little different. it was based on some weird economic ideas that were a kind of watered down marxism and argued that what marx called surplus value should be collected by the state in taxes and redistributed to the population as a dividend. not very conservative in american terms, but not that weird in the context of a society where the right is british toryism. but, when the movement got off the ground in western canada, it quickly became a right-wing christian movement and the economic side of it was mostly forgotten. the guy that built this movement was nicknamed "bible bill". that should give you a good idea of what social credit was all about. social credit never came close to forming a government in canada, and never existed in any coalition, but it sometimes elected enough mps to be the third largest party. it could often get over 20% of the vote.

by a fluke of history, social credit got it's one shot at being important in 1979. the liberals won the popular vote, but the conservatives won more seats in the house of commons. it was, however, not enough to govern - it was a handful of seats short. a conservative-ndp or conservative-liberal coalition was out of the question. that meant that the conservatives' only chance of forming a government was to enter into a coalition with social credit, and the conservative leader of the time refused to do so - for good reasons. social credit was also associated strongly with anti-semitism. whatever the consequences, it is hard to criticize joe clark for rejecting them as a coalition partner. instead, he decided to try and govern as though he had a majority. this did not last long, because he did not have a majority, and his attacks on social credit alienated them.

but, this decision killed social credit. their right-wing base began to understand that, by voting social credit, they were electing liberals. at the same time, the thatcher revolution began to have some effect on the tories; they began to adopt some neo-liberal economic positions, although it was never to the scope of the tories in britain or the republicans in the united states. partly on the back of traditional social credit voters, the conservatives won a large majority in 1984 and a smaller one in 1988.

but, those social credit voters were turned off by the tories at almost the same time as they entered office. remember: the tories were not a socially conservative party, and social credit was. by the 1988 election, they had recreated themselves under a new party called "reform" (led by the son of a former social credit leader) that dropped the difficult associations that social credit had and attempted to position itself as a socially conservative, neo-liberal alternative to the socially liberal and only tentatively neo-liberal tories. stephen harper is a creature of this socred/reform movement, rather than a creature of the old tories. and, you can see this in his policies.

the conservatives were destroyed in 1993; they went from a majority in parliament to two seats. yes. two seats. that was it. the reform party won a large number of seats in the western part of the country. this was largely the consequence of western voters feeling that the tories were too liberal. but, the result of that, for many years, was that eastern voters refused to vote for the reform party because they were too conservative. it's a real cultural issue that splits the country less in half and more into rural and urban components. from 1993 to 2003, canada had two conservative parties - the old tories (who were only competitive in the east, and never won more than 20 seats) and the new reform/socred party (who dominated the west of the country).

realizing that they'd never win an election like this, the tories and reform party merged in 2003. at the time, stephen harper was the leader of the socially conservative reform faction, which was seen by most of the country as taking over the right - much to the chagrin of old tories.

but, where harper stood was always sort of a mystery. it really was. the liberals ran ads talking of a "hidden agenda", and they worked because nobody really knew where this guy stood. when he first started off, he was kind of a right-libertarian like ron paul. not exactly. he held some neo-conservative foreign policy views. but he was running a party that was primarily built around the anti-abortion vote, and that probably won power primarily on reaction to the gay marriage ruling. it was never clear if he was going to fold to that pressure or try and hold it off long enough to move his party back into the old tory space. it turns out that he's done neither - he's swung the party towards the republicans in the united states.

which is not to compare him to rick santorum. but, he is clearly not the reform/socred social conservative that people feared - he has ruled out any action on marriage equality, abortion, the death penalty and all the other things that, in truth, continue to drive his voter base. although if you look at his tax policies, they look a little like dividends. he's got a tax credit for anything you could imagine. he mails out billions of dollars in checks every year in subsidies, for everything from child care to volunteering at kiwanis. nor is he the old protectionist, liberal tory. he's tough on crime, even if it's largely a mirage. he's staunchly neo-liberal in economic persuasion.

but, he's very aligned with the american neo-cons on foreign policy. he basically rejects climate change, and, really, a lot of science. he has no attachment to truth; he's very rovian, in that way. he's brought in patriot act type legislation. and, while he hasn't gutted the social services, he's taken steps to slowly claw them back. he wants to starve the beast in increments, not cut the cord immediately. it's lulled a lot of people into a sense of false complacency. it's meant to.

what he's been trying to do is redefine this kind of republicanism-lite as the new canadian right by holding everybody in place and slowly easing people into it. from a distance, it may seem moderate. but, this is a big change from what the canadian right once was. and, it's still not clear whether he's succeeded in this task, or merely set himself up for a crash. the conservatives, as they exist, will forever be teetering on the brink of collapse back into old tory and socred factions. and, in the meantime, the liberals seem to have done a relatively good job in pulling socially liberal tories out and cementing them into their own base. if he loses power, his entire plan is likely done as the stack of cards falls apart.

so, putting him to the left of hillary clinton is pretty wrong. they're not far apart on foreign policy, but she's to his left on pretty much everything else. he's more like a new york republican: a tad right of giuliani. or a slightly less bellicose trump.



putting him a tad to the right of giuliani sounds moderate.

but the previous conservative prime minister, brian mulroney, was somewhere in the spectrum that's more comparable to tony blair.

and, the one before that (john diefenbaker) was truly broadly comparable to bernie sanders.
i've tried to express this perspective whenever i can. and, it's a hard truth, but she's absolutely right.

or, it could be that the seeming inability to alter certain experiments at the subatomic level implies that the universe is fixed into a single set out of outcomes, and we are all playing out a script that is predetermined. the uncertainty principle does not necessarily state that these outcomes are unpredictable. it does, however, necessarily state that these outcomes are inalterable. it's somewhat of a misnomer. it should be called the certainty principle.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ncOGU90e1mI
clearly, they're getting an in ground pool.

this is a kind of a mainstream, right-wing narrative. the ndp are neither likely to oppose the pipelines nor the tpp. that's just conservative party propaganda. it's kind of like when republicans call obama a socialist.

the ndp's position on the pipelines is that they want to use the environmental review processes to shut down the opposition. they're clear as day about it. it's a pr strategy for the oil industry. what they want are these review processes that they can take out and wave in front of the crowd and say "look. we studied it. it's safe. we're building it.". but, the liberals are not a progressive option on pipelines, either - although they are probably a better option on investment in green infrastructure. this has been a big election issue in canada for several years, coming out of the liberals trying to swallow the greens in 2008 by adopting almost their entire platform. the ndp have tended to lean towards carbon trading ideas (which everybody knows don't work), while the liberals have toyed with carbon taxes, rewrites of the tax code to penalize heavy carbon users, subsidizing renewable industry and other things of the sort - which are all classical liberal economics ideas, remember. all three parties will try to build pipelines; this is not an issue on the table. but, the liberals are the better bet for trying to position us moving out of a carbon economy. think of it like this: the liberals don't want to bite this, but they want to put things in motion for the future. the ndp want to reroute the tax money towards services. it doesn't make sense to boost taxes on oil companies and then try and shut them down; if you're boosting taxes, you want to help the companies grow - that's why you're boosting taxes, to get higher revenue streams.

but, here's some good news: alberta crude is low quality. it sells at about $20 less than texas crude. that means it's currently selling around $20. but, it's also very expensive to make and very expensive to transport. on top of that, there is massive indigenous opposition to the pipelines. the pipelines may not get built due to a combination of legal headaches and a lack of profitability. and, it's in that context that ideas to move past carbon should take precedence.

but, ironically, the conservative propaganda seems to be drowning out the reality. they keep calling the ndp anti-oil and making a big stink about it. and, despite the fact that it's not actually true, it's probably helping them substantially. it's a function of how out of touch the government is.

the only serious possible wrench is related to syria. both the liberals and the ndp will probably remove themselves from active combat. on a smaller note, they're both likely to legalize marijuana outright (although the ndp are calling from decriminalization & study, and the liberals are calling for immediate legalization). nowadays, i think that's less of a major concern than it was before. we came close to legalization in the early 00s, but the bush administration essentially vetoed it (not legally, but through threats).

i also need to point out that it really hasn't been a two party state. the ndp has never held power, but they've had huge amounts of influence. for example, back in the early 70s, they got the liberals to nationalize the oil industry in exchange for supporting the budget. yeah. we had a state oil company until the 80s, when the conservatives spun it back off. and, it was the ndp's refusal to support what was really a pretty good liberal budget that got us into this conservative mess (because they didn't want that pretty good liberal budget to pass, because they felt that would hurt them).

but, the ndp doesn't talk like that anymore. they would prefer trade agreements with countries that have comparable labour standards. but, they've made it clear as day that they will sign the tpp and they will support oil pipelines - although they'd rather pipe it to new brunswick so they can build refineries in the country. and, they're running on a platform of fiscal conservatism: functional cuts to health care (that's perennially an important election issue in canada) and balanced budgets.

the actual reason the ndp have been ahead in the polls is that they've managed to confuse people about an anti-terrorism bill, called c-51. it has the kind of government spying provisions in it that nobody likes. now, the conservatives had a majority at the time it was tabled, so it was going to pass, regardless. the liberals took the position of opposing the bill, but trying to make amendments to it. the ndp took the position of opposing the bill, and then politicking around the liberal amendments. the result is that the public gets the impression that the liberals supported the bill and the ndp opposed it, even though they basically have the same position on it. this resulted in a big swing from the liberals to the ndp that hasn't yet receded, but may be starting to. the corporate media has refused to talk about this, and instead points to everything else you could imagine - the alberta election, conservative ads, trudeau's comments on syria, even marijuana legalization (which actually has ~80% support). so, even the narrative as to why the ndp is ahead is warped by the conservative-dominated media. the actual truth is c-51.

 i'll tell you a way that the liberal democrats could win in texas: run a right-wing independent. the alberta election had three major parties:

- the wildrose party (tea-party style hard right)
- the conservative party (they're moderate republicans/democrats in alberta)
- the ndp (they're not very left-wing in alberta, either)

a lot of ridings had the conservatives and wildrose get as much as 65% of the vote between them, which let the ndp sneak through on the split. it wasn't a shift in public support, it was just vote splitting on the right.


as an aside, the greens are in clear opposition to the chapter 11 style sections of the tpp. and, they could get close to 10%.
this is the kind of vague, substanceless fluff that the ndp have spent the last ten years accusing the liberals of. i don't know if i'd say it's useless enough to turn people off, exactly. but, it's certainly not going to convince anybody.

www.huffingtonpost.ca/2015/09/05/ndp-ad-thomas-mulcair-ready-family_n_8094308.html

Propaganda Con Job
It's too bad Mulcair is boycotting the largest Consortium debate, broadcast on the 3 major TV networks, seen by the most Canadians.

Like Harper, Mulcair likes to push propaganda Con Jobs,

but they don't like to debate their questionable policies with the oposition leaders, in front of Canadians.

Karen Lund
Without Harper in the debates. the center/left is left with debating was is different in their platform which is minor and divisive compared to the corruption and fascist leaning of the conservatives. Job#1 is to get rid of Harper and get back Canada. Dividing the center/left plays into his agenda.

Propaganda Con Job
there are big differences in the Liberal & NDP platforms. Mulcair needs to be a man and show up.

Mulcair's promise to lower the threshold for Quebec to separate and Canada to break up, is not minor.

I believe Canadians would be very interested in Mulcair's response to the Bloc, since Mulcair has been evasive with Trudeau, in answering his pro-separation policy.

Trudeau, May & the Bloc are willing to show up and demonstrate what a looser Harper is for ducking questions, but Mulcair shows he's just as conniving.

If Job#1 is too get rid of Con artists, then Mulcair needs to show up.
But because Mulcair is also a Con artist like Harper, he hides in the shadows with him.

Mulcair took the "D" out of NDP.

Jessica Amber Murray
let's drop the chauvinism, please. you can make your point without it.

mulcair has not given me a lot of reasons to think he'd be very different than harper. see, and what's worse is that i'm entirely aware that he's done that on purpose - he's running as harper, because he seems to think that running as harper is the way to win the election. which suggests that he seems to think we actually want to carry on with harper.

i'm consequently not currently feeling much of a drive to vote strategically. it's actually left me rather cynical about the process. the ndp base has worked pretty hard to present an alternative to canadians, and in the end the party leadership has taken that away from us and given us a carbon copy of harper.

my comment was related to the ad. i've already made up my mind that i'm not voting for this party. but, i don't know who this is targeted at, besides perhaps a certain subset of the senior vote that harper currently owns.
they all support "free trade".
they all support pipelines.
they all support keeping corporate tax rates stupidly low.
they all support militarism and war (although they may have mild disagreements on tactics)

they are all right of centre neo-liberal capitalist parties. it's just a difference of scale.

globalnews.ca/news/2204193/poll-shows-40-of-voters-think-ndp-liberals-tories-are-basically-the-same-thats-good-news-for-harper/
the results are about what i'd expect; maybe a little less progressive, but in the right range. this isn't one of the issues i'd expect to get in a fight with *practicing* christians about either; they're generally egalitarians, it's baked right into the religion.

but, see, what i was concerned about was that 40% of liberals and dippers that are opposed to their party's positions, because i think we all know, from experience, how intense people can get about this. normally left-leaning people that tick off every box on the leftist checksheet can just get incensed about this.

if you're me, you want to support politicians on an issue like this. you really do. but, it just seemed like they were walking into a minefield of public opinion that they had little apparent recognition of. it would be heartbreaking to lose the election on a good intention.

thankfully, harper has been moderate on this point. the polling results are in spite of harper, not because of him.

but, i remain concerned that this has opened up a swing vote that, frankly, none of the major parties are going to want. no: kenny doesn't want your nonsense, either. and, i'd like to see the media move past it.

(link lost)

Friday, September 4, 2015

the ekos analysis is pretty good, although it's hard to get those numbers out of it. he seemed to be implying that he thinks the conservatives were overweighted and the liberals took the full 3.4, minus the bit the greens took.

i'm fully expecting the greens to inch up something like a quarter of a point week over week, steadily, until the election, as traditional ndp voters drop out. a trickle. you probably won't notice it. it will only cost the ndp the election if the liberals can recover their left flank. i think that little bump is real, even if it dips a little next week (.6 is a bit high).

a few weeks ago i was suggesting that the liberals are going to destroy themselves by going out and campaigning on balanced budgets. it's the last thing liberal voters wanted to hear after a decade of harper. they were going to bolt to the ndp. even if mulcair promised to balance budgets, too. it was just a poke-in-the-eye. nauseating, really. deflating...

but, to my surprise, they didn't do that. they took a more economically informed approach. it was what people wanted to hear. and, my argument got pulled out from under itself. by not doing what i thought was going to shoot themselves in the foot, they seem to have buoyed themselves a little. and, it throws a wrench in mulcair's plan.

listen. i don't think the ndp are positioning themselves where they are out of pragmatism. i think mulcair is legitimately to the right of trudeau on most issues. it's consequently not as easy as just flipping a switch back. he's trying to architect a structural change in the party. he has no desire to fight the election on his left.

but, perception and fact are not always the same thing. footage of mulcair literally praising thatcher herself could surface, and it might not alter perception.

www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-election-2015-grenier-polltracker-sep4-1.3216128

Tracker
In summary of your deep analysis at this early stage:

Canadians are sick of Harper, they'll vote Anything But Cons.

Jessica Murray
i don't think we're going to lose our heads over it, though. i'm not going to be able to vote for mulcair. i may not be a majority, but i think i'm measurable.
the gcc states are the source of isis funding. the reason that they are not accepting refugees is that they are fully in favour of slaughtering shiites, christians, druze, moderate sunnis and anybody else that deviates from their rigid interpretation of islam.

they are not doing next to nothing. they are not ignoring the problem. they are pro-actively supporting the genocide. it's on their orders. their design. their desire.

www.cbc.ca/news/world/refugees-hungary-riot-police-1.3215706

@qricket
it is not confusing. they are funding the "terrorist" groups. they are the root cause. a greater influence for the gcc states is a faster path to genocide. and, ignoring this reality is sentencing the minorities in these regions to their deaths.

a military solution is necessary. but it is not in bombing isis. isis is the symptom. the cause is saudi imperial policy, which is cleansing the region in preparation for expansion. and, the inevitability - now or twenty years from now - is that we will need to have regime change in riyadh.

in the meantime, these people must be allowed an escape route. and an escape route to their tormentors is not an escape route.

the only difference between being a refugee in syria and a refugee in saudi arabia is that you can be *legally* executed in public in saudi arabia.

@CeeDeeEnn
if they did allow them in, they would behead them in public for heresy.

you cannot be a christian in saudi arabia. that is punishable by death. you cannot be a shia, either. this is a nonstarter, because these countries are as tyrannical as what they're fleeing from and would not treat the refugees differently than the terrorists do.

@Leigh
this is complicated. for example, the egyptian dictatorship is very reliant on saudi money, and is of course dealing with it's own internal problems (caused largely by overpopulation). and both lebanon and jordan are full of palestinian refugees - as was syria, before the mess hit. libya is dealing with the same problems. and, algeria is sort of quiet lately, but isn't exactly a bastion of stability. neither turkey nor iran are arab countries, but they're both doing about as much as they can. whatever the causes for all of this, the reality is that only the gulf countries have the potential resources to really step in and make a serious difference. but, they're actively funding the groups that are killing people, to further their own social engineering goals.

all long term options rely on regime change in riyadh. bombing isis doesn't accomplish much if the gcc countries continue to send them funds. and, even with russian help, the reality is that the people in these places are outmatched. if you want a wwII comparison, it's like belgium trying to fight against germany. hitler was not defeated by french and polish radicals. he was defeated by a massive soviet offensive. and, as it was for minorities in belgium and poland, there is no short term option here for these people but escape.

fwiw, "alan" is not an arabic name or even a kurdish one. it's an an ethnonym for an iranian people that the greeks referred to as "scythians". they occupied an area to the north of the black sea, and were involved in waves of migrations into europe (including the hunnic and gothic migrations) which saw them settle across europe, and especially in breton areas of france. you might recognize the french name of alain and think it is celtic. in fact, this is a consequence of iranians settling in france; the english "alan" came to britain with the normans.

the alans, today, are associated with ossetian groups in the caucasus, which is that area on the map in between the black and caspian seas. they're not quite russians, and not quite kurds - but are certainly not arabs.

@Mikey
for the sake of historical accuracy, it is worth pointing out that germany was in fact a colonial power, albeit not in the middle east. most of the countries that we see in eastern europe did not exist at the time - they were either in the ottoman empire (itself a colonial state) or austria-hungary, which through a fluke of history had few colonial possessions outside of it's own territories [because they almost all ended up in spanish possession].

i would push back against trying to blame the current situation on colonialism, exactly. it's an oversimplification.

the state with the longest history of colonialism in the region is the turks. the british & french actually cut a deal with the arabs in world war one to help them throw off turkish domination. to the arabs, world war one was a war of liberation from turkish colonial rule. but, of course, the anglo-french pact was slow to live up to expectations and put in place a series of repressive governments to uphold it's own interests.

this led to a cold war conflict, where masses of arab peoples got together - with soviet backing - under the banner of "arab socialism", which was a kind of stalinism designed for local consumption. it didn't help matters much, it just swung some dictators to moscow instead of washington. but, the hard reality is that many arabs would have rather lived in a syrian stalinist state than a salafist saudi state. they were both awful, but we tended to support the more extreme religious dictators while the russians supported military despots that wanted to push secularism and modernization by force.

after the cold war, these russian-supported areas became lost in a time warp. they were stuck in stalinist systems, while russia had moved on. the americans have adopted a geo-political strategy of trying to take control of these old russian satellites, which included afghanistan, libya and syria, as a sort of "cleaning up" process of the cold war - although the russians obviously don't like this, and have tried to reverse the premise. but what that's done is open up a vacuum for control. the turks were the colonial power in syria up to ww1, but the saudis see it as in their sphere for deeper historical reasons. and, this conflict between the turks and the saudis for control of the area in a post-soviet reality (while the russians and iranians continue to back the assad regime) is what is driving the bulk of the fighting on the ground.

so, it's not exactly a consequence of western colonialism. i mean, it's hard to frame it that way - the turks were the colonizers. it's more a consequence of the process of decolonization, which itself is kind of funny language, because saudis controlling syria is still colonization. but it's a fight over who gets to be in control of the region in the post cold war period. sort of. the russians are still a big factor...
well, i was going to suggest that’s a deep analysis for results that are mostly within the margin of error, but i do agree that you’re pulling out a measurable trend in the liberals being preferred to the ndp on the economy.

www.ekospolitics.com/index.php/2015/09/three-way-tie-as-voters-try-and-sort-out-who-can-solve-the-economy/
well, they need the rain. i'm still curious as to just how possible a hurricane up the coast might be, given how warm the water there has been for the last several years.

www.theweathernetwork.com/news/articles/bcs-coast-in-the-forecast-track-of-hurricane-ignacio--/56715/
Jessica Murray 
i like the humidity. let's have it persist longer, please. it would just be nice to stop the thunderstorms that inevitably follow.

Miss Cinderella 
Actually JM obviously lives in the air-conditioned part of London while KVH lives in a sauna and MB lives beside a dehumidifier. Now for the really important issue from a Canadian perspective:- are heat and humidity a federal responsibility or a provincial responsibility?

Jessica Murray 
i don't deny it's humid - i said i like the humidity. my upstairs neighbour has an a/c, but i actually tend to keep the window open to fight it because i prefer the hot/humid air. if i did have an a/c, i wouldn't even think about turning it on until it gets to 30 degrees outside. and i'm in windsor....

www.theweathernetwork.com/news/articles/heat-warnings-in-ontario-heres-how-long-it-will-last/56655/
i need to start by stating that i don't have an opinion on this.

and i'm sorry if i burst anybody's bubble.

but, the truth is that it is removing the tax that is discriminatory, because it only applies to a specific group of the population. i'm not sure how to get my head around the idea that taxing a general good is discrimination. there's not a special tax rate involved. there's nobody being singled out. but, an exemption of the tax under the argument that it is only purchased by women is actually preferential treatment. it's not going to alleviate any existing inequalities. it's therefore consequently rather blatantly unconstitutional.

it opens up some questions about "essential goods", though. let's ignore discussions about removing gst on male-only products because that would be unconstitutional for the same reason. but, let's consider something like toilet paper. if tampons are essential, toilet paper certainly is. and, that's something you could get away with legislating without breaking the constitution - because everybody uses toilet paper.

this kind of strange, circular, post-modernist anti-logical thinking is quite common on both the left and the right nowadays. but i think this is the first time that i've ever seen it legislated. and, if anybody wanted to push it, the court would have to strike it down.

"i have to pay this tax because i'm a woman" is not a coherent legal perspective. it's a general good. it's taxed just like anything else. it may be purchased entirely by women, but it's still a general good. and, as mentioned, i don't want to start talking about gender wars, because it's missing the point.

however, "because i'm a woman, i shouldn't have to pay tax on this item" *is* a coherent (and wrong) legal perspective. and, it's a discriminatory one.

one way to make the amendment constitutional would be to remove the gendered language from it. it is the "exclusively for feminine" part that is unconstitutional. i don't know what a way to broaden that would be. you'd have to make a category of "hygiene products" that is gender neutral and that it is a subset of. i suppose that would probably include toilet paper, table napkins, diapers...

www.huffingtonpost.ca/2015/05/28/tampon-tax-canada_n_7462582.html
i have a special level of dislike for ezra levant, but chomsky is legitimately dancing around the questions. on the one hand, you have to understand that if you're noam chomsky then the only reason you even consider talking to ezra levant is to plug your book to a different type of audience. noam knows he can't get through to this audience over the course of an interview. he's a smart guy. and he does his research. but the real reason he's skirting the questions is that they necessitate a two hour lecture to address. he often tries to ignore questions, and that's almost always the reason: he knows he can't even begin to address it in five minutes.

but, the short answer is that the people levant are calling leftists are, in fact, not leftists.

in america, this kind of "left" has two sources - one organic and the other academic. the organic source is the progressive/populist movement, which is often referred to as leftist but is actually extremely hard to understand as leftist if you scratch the surface a little. these were essentially evangelical puritan movements, but they were spliced with socialism. canadians might say they're socially conservative and economically liberal. and, we have a history of this in our western provinces; the ndp is a consequence of it. the result was something that is almost impossible to categorize in our current spectrum. these people supported unions, fought for alcohol prohibition, supported women's suffrage and were often openly racist. they get placed on the left due to the mainstream's tendency to classify things by economic system. but, that logic also places hitler on the left. if we were to classify these movements based on their social opinions, they would be on the far right.

these movements faded in the 40s, as new deal liberalism took over the left and steered it towards oldskool academic liberalism. and, frankly, it's no coincidence that the replacement of populism with liberalism happened at the same time as the normalization of post-secondary education. but, deeply rooted political attitudes can die hard and these ideas started coming back in the 70s - not coincidentally as higher education began to be commodified, and it became the reality that anyone with a pulse could get a university education.

if you argue with these people on the ground, they will generally sound like the evangelical puritans of the progressive and populist days, because that is what they truly are. but, they will often cite a canon of literature that has a french philosopher by the name of michel foucault as it's patron saint. now, chomsky's interaction with these people is a matter of the public record, and it's not collaborative. he's stated that he has more respect for foucault than he does for foucault's contemporaries, but that is far from an endorsement and the truth is that the feeling was never mutual - foucault always hated chomsky. where does foucault stand on the spectrum? is he a leftist?

the truth is that this has been an open question for many years. habermas referred to him as a "young conservative" - that is, a member of what at the time was called the "new right". that's one of many examples. but, my own feelings is that he's really an old fashioned burkean conservative. and, these kids out there that are running around calling themselves leftists and trying to police people's thoughts by quoting foucault like it's the koran are really social conservatives in disguise, trying to enforce their concept of objective morality.


deathtokoalas
+C MM foucault is just the one they always cite. or, at least, it is in my experience.

i want to point out, though, that i didn't say "like the koran" arbitrarily, or out of some bias or something. i meant to draw attention to foucault's support for the iranian revolution, which was a student movement.

now, you need to put that in context with the shah and everything. something clearly had to change in iran. and, foucault stepped back from that after he saw the results. but, he drew a connection with the revolution to his writings. and, i consequently think it's something to keep in mind when you're analyzing what these kids are really saying. it very well might be what the outcome is, if they get their way.

i think that when you analyze his analysis of power, what comes out are very strong parallels to the old conservative idea of "class harmony" through strict adherence to arbitrary systems of hierarchy. this idea that if everybody knows their place, we will have a society at peace with itself. the analysis may have been designed to counteract this, but if you hang out with them for a bit you'll see very clearly that the application tends to reinforce rather than collapse it. and, i think that if you read foucault very carefully, it becomes an open question as to whether he's upholding the burkean system or deconstructing it.

you can find essays that explore this point if you search around the internet a little. you could maybe say something about left and right meeting, or whatever. and, i'd argue that if you read marx himself carefully, you get the same questions - he seems to be more into the then contemporary idea of "enlightened despotism" and was trying to derive a formula for it that was less aristocratic. he tended to often side with the right in typical liberal-conservative debates. but, in the end, i find it hard to disentangle their viewpoints from what you'd call a "classical conservative" one and, all the intellectual debates aside, i think that's the more important observation, on the ground.

and, no, of course they don't really realize it. i've brought it up more than once and you just get blank stares. nobody reads burkean conservative philosophy, anymore.

to be a little more specific, and a little more concise, it's two primary points:

1) the skepticism of rationality. that's not to uphold homo economicus - there's some big problems, there. but, they tend to follow foucault back to burke in rejecting logic altogether. you'll hear statements like "empiricism is a white supremacist philosophy" and "logic is inherently intertwined within heteropatriarchy". they will then wilfully argue points they agree are irrational.

2) the way they enforce hierarchy. orwell is probably important, here, because they claim they're fighting it. but, the way it happens on the ground reinforces it. an example - and i've seen this repeatedly - is a white male standing up and speaking for a female of colour, while she's biting her lip, because she supposedly cannot speak for herself due to the oppressive hierarchy - while she's standing in front of you, trying to speak for herself.

deathtokoalas
+C MM i think ezra was mostly talking about speech issues.

i'd label myself a left libertarian. i'm not quite as liberal on speech as chomsky, but it's a question of applying the harm principle rather than a difference in approach. chomsky's been pretty clear that he thinks speech can almost never cause harm, because people can determine the facts on their own. i'm a little more inclined to suggest that speech can cause harm, but only in very extreme circumstances; i wouldn't have a problem in shutting down a nazi march, for example, if it was really a nazi march. most of the examples we see in the media don't meet a stringent enough criteria for me to deduce that the speech is truly harmful. they will cite foucault on this, as well - stuff about language framing reality, and suppressing this being more important than allowing people to think for themselves, because we can't truly think for ourselves anyways (because individualism is just a capitalist myth).

but, i broadly agree with these kids about hierarchy on paper, anyways. what i'm getting at with the hierarchical thing is that, in practice, you get the exact opposite. if you track down any of these groups, they are almost without exception run primarily by upper middle class, white, male organizers.

they start off with these "anti-oppression" information sessions that establish what the hierarchy is. then, everything that happens in the context of the organizing occurs through the prism of this established hierarchy, as they imagine it exists rigorously in society. this is very much just old school conservatism. somewhere along the way, it may have initially been intended to break these divisions down and have people more aware of unconscious social biases - which i would again agree no doubt exist, albeit less dramatically than others would claim. but, as soon as you define the framework, people align within it. the white, wealthy men take control and the rest are relegated to "diversity", as a sort of public relations tactic to "broaden the movement". it's just out of an understanding that you're not getting anywhere nowadays if you're just a bunch of white dudes, and the pragmatic realization that you need a "minority strategy".

and, this - fwiw - is the reason the movements dissipate so quickly. within a few weeks, there's nobody left besides white men and masculine white women because nobody else gets listened to.

in practice, the example you used actually tends to get inverted. the woman of colour is given the chance to express her perspective, but that itself is seen as little more than a concession. people sit patiently, wait - and suppress the urge to yawn through it. and, when she's done, it still remains up to the wealthy, white male organizers to express the opinion she's expressing to others, because she's seen as unable to do it herself due to the social biases preventing her from doing so. the result is the enforcement of precisely the hierarchical relationship that is supposedly being deconstructed - she has to sit in the shadows and let others express her opinion, because they'd never listen to her, anyways. then, as mentioned, she gets up and walks out because nobody is actually listening to her.

but, i agree that i've taken this way off topic. i made this post some time ago. i didn't rewatch the video this morning. i just jumped to the broader connection to old fashioned conservatism. it does all go through foucault's analysis of power, and it's orwellian connections to burkean conservatism. but i got a little carried away.

Thursday, September 3, 2015

when a dog starts acting like that, a smart person immediately deduces that it's probably rabid. staying out of it's way is the smart decision.

canids instinctually go after the sick and the weak, including the elderly.

i think you might want to listen to that marley tune a little more closely.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=brX0XcmtVUY
it's true, actually.

i started smoking in second year because i realized how powerful a stimulant it was. those all nighters experimenting with various substances tended to go a lot better when i had that pack of nicotine to keep me awake. and, it cut down on hangovers, too, because i could sober up or come down before i crashed.

at first, i'd just buy a pack on the weekend and smoke it at the party. over time, that turned into buying a pack when i had to stay up all night to finish an assignment, or study for a test. and, then the physical addiction clicked in, and the properties of nicotine as a stimulant reversed themselves: i needed it to stay awake. trying to quit becomes very difficult, because you need a week off to sleep.

to this day, it remains the primary reason i have difficulties. i can go days without smoking if i'm not doing anything. but, as soon as i need to focus on something, i start freaking out.

it's better if you just avoid it.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u4srWvLXZRw
i'm not going to address the issue as to whether this is a conspiracy or not. i'm just going to burst your bubble a little.

i don't need a tragedy to support gun control and weapons education. i would support it anyways. even if you're somehow right, it would have no effect at all, whatsoever, on my opinions about guns.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qO5aUzeSoMU

not ants, but water

hi.

i've been checking for ants periodically, and it seems to be ok for right now. but i've noticed that some of the drywall in that enclave is rotting. it's over in the corner, pretty much directly underneath where the water from the air conditioner is constantly falling off the porch. i haven't touched it, but it's pretty obvious from looking at it that if i were to touch it, it would cave right in.

now, i don't know for sure that the reason the drywall is rotting through is water from the air conditioner. it's been humid, then cold, then humid, then cold, then humid. but, it *is* directly under where the water is coming down.

and, i don't know how substantial a problem it is - i just don't know.

but, i thought i should let you know that it appears to be rotting and that a good guess is that the water is dripping into there.

j
see, the worried thing is misleading in intent. i’m to the left of the ndp, and worried mulcair is going to end up like bob rae. that’s a different kind of worried than the centrist narrative would pre-suppose.

i think the results of this, and other polling, are obvious: canadians like the historical image of the ndp. the party of tommy douglas and stephen lewis. the part of universal healthcare, foreign aid and pacifism. and just the broad idea of being socially democratic: the party that will swing canada back on a direction towards scandinavian style governance. mulcair, himself, is seen mostly as a titular head of a set of ideas, rather than a driver of them, himself. people are voting for the car, not the driver. and, i think that would have been entirely predictable c. 1995. eventually, generational change was going to catch up to the historical record.

but, it’s a strange plot twist, as the ndp has moved out of it’s place of moral superiority at exactly the same time as the generational shift has placed them in front. is the ndp that exists in voters' minds the same ndp that actually exists in front of us today? and, how quickly will people be able to realign their perceptions to the reality? to me, that’s the issue that determines if they can win this or not.

also, i need to point out that you’d have to be nearing retirement to have any memory of justin trudeau’s childhood. i’m not a young person. i’m in my mid-30s. and i’ve read quite a lot about his father. but, i was three years old when he took his walk in the snow. and, the first time i’d ever heard the name “justin trudeau” was at his father’s funeral. if you were ~20 in 1975, you are probably still too young to remember trudeau as a kid, and yet you are ~60 today.

these people no doubt exist. but they’re not representative of the general voting public.

www.macleans.ca/politics/ottawa/abacus-data-poll-mulcair-is-still-least-known-leader-but-gaining-acceptance/
i'm in favour of pot in corner stores. pick up some bud, some rollies, some cheezies, some pizza pops...

it would ultimately be a carbon emissions reduction plan, because it would minimize trips to the store.

but, i don't really have a problem with selling alcohol at the corner store, either.

www.cbc.ca/justin-trudeau-pot-marijuan-canada-election-2015-1.3213624

i would suggest a devious plan to use care bear themed subliminal messaging between television frames. we'll all be off to the yoga studios, screaming about how wonderfully meaningful life is in no time!

i would also suggest that we just burn all the existentialist literature. we don't need our new positive-thinking, smiley-faced superhappyfun citizens to be corrupted with any of that nonsense.

--

it'll no doubt be a province thing. i'd expect quebec to allow it to be sold in depanneurs. ontario will likely be more strict. but that won't necessarily mean bankers hours for access.

for example, pot bars will no doubt pop up where people can buy something at the bar (marijuana has a wide array of fine culinary options, from refreshing drinks to delicious desserts). they'll id. they'll tell kids to get lost. you might not be able to take the j outside with you, but there will no doubt be late night options. until 2:00 am, anyways.

of course, if you walk into pretty much any under-35 bar, the reality is that everybody is stoned, anyways. it won't be much of a difference.
the comments here. yikes...

let's all take some time for rap news.


www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/syria-migrants-canada-drowned-migrants-1.3213772
robert fisk and patrick coburn both publish widely in the independent, not the guardian.

www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/syria-migrants-canada-drowned-migrants-1.3213772
the liberals and ndp are certainly correct. but, i don't think this is smart politics

www.cbc.ca/news/politics/syria-migrants-canada-drowned-migrants-leaders-respond-1.3213878
yeah. it's an unnecessarily long election, isn't it?

www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-election-2015-alexander-refugee-crisis-1.3213869

Sing_a_song
@Jessica Murray
Well the script that was supposed to have been followed is that the CPC, with its ample funds, would steam-roll the opposition parties in the second half of the campaign. So far, it seems that the longer campaign is just prolonging the pain.

Jessica Murray
i rejected that narrative from the start. it was clearly an act of desperation from the beginning.

the conservative advantage in funding is a figment of the media's imagination; the other parties have no borrowing restrictions, and can go in debt as much as they want. the conservatives have created this zero-debt fantasy reality and enforced it on the media in such a way that it can no longer analyze situations rationally. and, do you think they won't go into debt if they're in it to the end? they've got four years to pay it off.

rather, the conservatives had to shoot themselves in the foot to get there - calling an election early actually restricts their ability to spend. that's a big cost. so, what benefit would justify such a cost?

the desperation was in hoping that a long election would give the other two candidates enough time to alienate their respective bases. and, they might still. i think mulcair is digging himself into a pretty nasty hole.

but, the funding issue? it's not a real factor. it never has been. not in canada...

--

the kneejerk xenophobes are back again. i'm catching up on the last thurston moore disc, so i'm going to rant a little.

"let the arabs deal with their own problems. syria for syrians. canada for...err...nevermind..."

in fact, there ought to be some truth in this statement. the saudis are awash in cash. surely, they can deal with this? but, what's actually going on in the region has been kept fairly obscure, and if you have a grasp of the situation on the ground it's actually obvious that the oil money cannot solve this problem because it is the cause of it.

as a leftist, i normally want to get to root causes. now, that doesn't mean bombing people. that's an argument against bombing people, actually. what it means is alleviating the social concerns that lead to extremism. normally, leftists point to poverty as the overriding root cause; that is, inequality. and, the poverty that comes from the desperation of war and alienation and subordination and humiliation is certainly a factor. but, in this case, it's a secondary issue.

the primary issue is what is actually increasing imperialist aggression from the saudi theocracy, who wants to purge the region of people it considers heretics. they pour billions into these groups. we call them terrorist groups. in truth, they're functionally state actors. they are preparing the region for an eventual saudi takeover. and, unless we want to declare a war on the saudis (and i actually think that the americans should be pushing for regime change in riyadh, and should be willing to use as much force as is necessary to do it), we have to take the situation at face value: if these people are not given an escape route, they will be killed.

root cause analysis is the right approach. but, in this case it exposes an insolvable problem.

it's all fine and great to look back at the thirties and suggest that funding an opposition in germany was the best way to attack the root causes leading to the holocaust.

it wasn't going to stop hitler from killing anybody. you had to get people out.

--

H2O = hijklmno
The biggest contributor to the Syrian refugee crisis is Assad.
Defeating Assad means helping ISIS.
Defeating ISIS means helping Assad.
Bombing the country into the ground may be a solution, but is it humanitarian?
What will happen after the total destruction of Syria?
There is no one single solution as Alexander wants to imply!

Jessica Murray
this particular assad, the younger assad, was not groomed for power. it was his brother that was groomed for power. but, his brother was killed and the responsibility fell to him.

while his brother was being trained as a military planner and a statesman, the younger assad was training to become an eye doctor. he had has life planned out as a private citizen outside of government.

circumstances thrust him into power. but, he had not planned for this and did not want it. so, he set in motion a process that would transfer power from the military to the people.

this is when the saudis stepped in. they cannot allow for peaceful transfers of power to civilian governments. they are ruthlessly consistent on this point: all attempts to pursue democracy must be obliterated by all force possible.

the rebels in syria are not fighting for the people against assad. they are fighting for the saudi theocracy against the people. cynics will claim that of course assad will be popular when the other option is armed thugs that will publicly execute you for wearing the wrong clothing. but, the reality remains: assad represents the popular will, which is to defend the nation against foreign-backed extremists.

it's only half your fault for being misinformed. the media has indeed failed to understand and educate the western populace on the situation at hand. and harper himself may legitimately not understand what is actually happening.

but, there is a single solution: the government in riyadh needs to be removed. unfortunately, that solution is not being contemplated,

--

Archie D. Bunker
I realize it didn't make the MSM yet, but I wonder how the CPC, LPC and US Democrats and GOP(Republicans) are reacting to the rumor that Putin is sending some of his air force pilots into Syria to help Assad get rid of ISSIS.

Putin (if it's true) actually helping us in fighting our terrorists?, an enemy that we can't ( or don't want to?) ever catch and eliminate?

And if he succeeds at eliminating ISSIS, we could repeal Bill C-51 as a useless bill, and the institutions that required it could be shut down to save the taxpayer some dollars, that can be spent on more useful things like food and shelter, infrastructure etc... All these fake jobs would be lost....so sad!

Obama seems to be awfully quiet about this!

I think they don't like the idea that Russia will be shooting at the U.S.' proxi army.

Putin would be calling Obama's bluff big time,... if it's true

Jessica Murray
syria was a russian cold war ally. syrian generals rely very heavily on russian generals for "advice"; that is the sneaky way to say that the syrians are essentially under russian military command, much as canada is under american military command. russian involvement has consequently been very strong - dominant, in fact - from the start.
this is absurd.

the idea that public servants cannot be partisan applies only to their jobs. for example, consider the riding redistricting. you had to have the people that redrew the boundaries do so in a non-partisan way. that is a very obvious example, but even things that seem like they have nothing to do with partisan politics can have political angles to them.

it says nothing about rights of expression, which are protected under the charter.

this is not an interesting court case to test the limits of the laws. the government is not even close to being right here. rather, this is a clear and very egregious abuse of power that cannot be tolerated.

ottawacitizen.com/news/politics/public-servant-investigated-over-political-harperman-song
i have no memory of 1988. but my understanding is that john turner was widely reviled by his own base and the inflated ndp support was more of a reflection of people not liking the liberals as an option, and swinging to the ndp by default. i think that might be more directly comparable to the 2011 election, which had the liberal vote collapse under widespread disgust with ignatieff. the difference was really quebec, right? if the tories swept quebec in 2011 like they did in 1988, the house would have looked very similar (i think the ndp did better out west in 1988 than they did in 2011). of course, it's absurd to suggest the tories can sweep quebec today, and it was an inevitable result of patriation in 1988.

and, i do think we're setting ourselves up for a sweep in 2015 that is going to look somewhat similar to the sweep in 1993. it won't be as bad. the right is not split (yet). and it's not clear if the sweep is going to be primarily ndp or joint liberal-ndp, within a certain range (the liberals are severely restricted outside of urban areas in central canada). but it's a similar dynamic.

http://ipolitics.ca/2015/09/03/tbt-ndp-had-a-pre-election-poll-surge-in-1987-too/

Promich
Based on their records, shared appreciation for entitlement and corruption, and distain of climate science, the Lib-Cons are merging in the minds of many voters.

One could readily conclude that the right vote is indeed split between the Lib-Cons, thereby putting a lot of Ontario and BC seats in play for the NDP.

Election day will be interesting.

deathtokoalas
see, i think that narrative is about ten years out of date. in that period, the ndp has positioned itself as harper-lite, while the liberals are regaining their focus on what it is to be a liberal. but, as i've pointed out elsewhere, i suspect that we might see a lag in public perception that doesn't entirely correspond to the political realities of the ndp moving into the space previously occupied by the progressive conservatives.

promich
Ridiculous, unsupported claims with zero credibility.

Justin has a Big Oil lobbyist as a chief of staff (Cyrus Reporter), voted for weakening the Navigable Waters Act and is on record saying he supports the Keystone project without a proper environmental assessment.

Like Martin and Chretien, what it means to be Liberal is to wage a war on climate science. And yes, that is what Justin stands for, clearly. Why ignore the obvious evidence?

In no way have the NDP moved to the space of the Progressive Conservatives. The Bay Street media spin was that running a deficit is leftist somehow, ignoring the fact that Mulroney, the real Trudeau and Harper (in that order) created the biggest debts in history. It's an idiotic spin that you should be smart enough to see through.

Justin is also on record saying that an affordable national daycare plan is an unobtainable dream. Such a policy was promised in the LPC's Red Book from 1990 of course. There's a reason it's known as the "Red Book of Lies." What the LPC really stands for is hypocrisy, entitlement and corruption - that's the banner Justin carries. Every value the NDP is opposed to.

In his memoirs, Justin's father stated that his values aligned with more progressive parties like the NDP, but he joined the Liberals to access power and make change. Justin decided not to follow his father's footsteps, sadly. In the same position, Pierre would have run for the NDP.

You come across as a Bay Street media troll. I'm guessing their Lib-Con puppets pay your salary?

deathtokoalas
no. i'm an anarchist. i've voted for the ndp in the past. i've refrained from voting at all fairly frequently. i don't align with any specific party, and am leaning heavily towards the greens in this election, primarily on their opposition to the tpp. if i end up voting for the liberals, it will be because i conclude that the race between the liberals and ndp in this race is close, and i'd rather see marijuana legalized quickly. it's really the only meaningful difference in their policy positions, from what i can see. if it looks like the ndp is too far ahead for it to matter, i will likely vote green - or not at all.

chretien's government was one of the prime architects and drivers of the kyoto agreement. they put forth a lot of resources into studying how to deal with the problem, and came out with a fairly environmentally focused platform in 2008, if you'll recall. or perhaps you don't recall. trying to get off carbon is not a simple problem. it's something you have to study carefully before you can come up with ideas. that exchange between dion and ignatieff was very costly to the country, but what it really demonstrated was ignatieff's utter buffoonery. maybe we could solve world hunger over a latte this afternoon, and disarmament before supper, while we're at it.

i don't agree with the liberal position on these pipelines, but i believe that mulcair has what is essentially the same position (insofar as it's important to me - i don't care about refinery jobs in new brunswick). they're both going to try and build these pipelines. they're both fronts for the same interests. mulcair has openly stated that he wants to put environmental review processes in place so he can use them to reduce opposition. it's a pr strategy. trudeau is moving along with it because he's being told to, but he's also promising a lot of infrastructure to move forward. the ndp has not promised a dime for green infrastructure. they're just looking to maximize revenue from the dirty oil so they can spend it on the programs they want.

as a leftist, i understand that artificial scarcity in the money supply is a tool of class warfare, and while i'm aware that the ndp has brandished this tool what that implies is that they are not a party of the left, rather than that leftists balance budgets. i think we can print as much as we want. literally. i have no patience for austerity, or this argument that we have to live within our means. i'm interested in what our resources actually are, not the arbitrary resources that are placed on us by banking institutions. and, so when i see the ndp say things like that they're going to put off the increase in the health transfer until the budget is balanced, that upsets me - because i care about health care, and i don't care about budgets.

the provincial wings of the ndp under romanow, rae, selinger and others have taken positions that are punitive of workers and citizens in order to help bankers. the cuts in saskatchewan were very deep. the disaster in ontario was so bad that every major union in the province supports the ontario liberal party. the ontario ndp ran the last election trying to outflank the conservatives, by running on corruption scandals and tax cuts. it's a pattern. and, on issue after issue we see mulcair lining himself up in the same space on the spectrum.

but the big issue is tony blair. not thatcher, exactly. tony blair.

because, this is exactly what blair did: he positioned himself an inch to the left of the tories. just, almost indistinguishable differences across the board. and, he won on it, and then carried on thatcher's economic policies - and swapped out the faulklands for a much more damaging war in iraq, one he deserves to be tried as a war criminal for.

when thomas mulcair stands up and claims that he is trying to position the ndp as a new labour party with blair's "third way" as it's guiding principle and blair himself as his icon, that should be cause for dramatic concern to all ndp supporters, historical or present. because you know what?

tony blair was to the right of brian mulroney on almost every issue you could imagine.
this article fails to correctly represent either party's position on the legislation.

it's kind of epic, really.

please, people: take the time to learn the truth. it's widely available, today. you just have to sit down and take the time that is necessary to work it out.

http://ipolitics.ca/2015/09/03/trudeau-wont-say-whether-c-51-is-constitutional-despite-support/

(deleted)

well, you didn't even state what you think, so i have no basis to react.

(deleted)

the conservatives have a majority. the liberals had the choice of allowing the bill through without amendments, or trying to add amendments. they did not have the choice of stopping the bill. and, i would again direct people to elizabeth may's notes for a good analysis of the details in committee.

(deleted)

once again: the option of preventing the bill did not exist. the options that the opposition had were:

(1) allow the bill to pass without amendments.
(2) attempt to amend the bill.

the ndp picked the first option. the liberals tried to push the second option, but were not able to do so due to the ndp's politicking around it, including placing amendments in it that they knew the liberals would vote down. and, i would once again refer you to elizabeth may's notes to understand the process in which that happened. she's very smart in her analyses, and is often able to cut through the crap and figure out what's actually happening.

it's all very great to say "look. we voted against it.". but, if you actually care about what is in the bill, that is the completely backwards way to go about opposing it. voting against it at every step when you're in opposition is functionally exactly the same thing as supporting it. the only way that an opposition party can influence a bill like this from opposition is to make amendments to it. and that's what the liberals tried to do, and the ndp blocked them from doing.

Badriya
Fact 1. The NDP voted against C-51 and will repeal C-51 if elected.
http://www.vancouverobserver.com/news/mulcair-vows-repeal-bill-c-51-ndp-rally-surrey

Fact 2. The LPC voted in favour of C-51.
The article did omit the fact that Trudeau has promised to repeal parts of C-51 if elected.
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/trudeaus-liberals-proposing-modest-amendments-to-bill-c-51/article25010473/

deathtokoalas
the ndp has flip-flopped it's position a few times. it initially claimed amendment, just like trudeau:

http://globalnews.ca/news/1843737/given-the-power-mulcair-would-amend-anti-terror-bill-not-repeal-it/

then it claimed it would repeal it, as your article states. but it cannot actually do that.

then it played politics on it in committee, voting down liberal amendments and changing things in ways the liberals couldn't support so they'd vote down their own amendments. elizabeth may has kept very detailed notes on that that you're free to research. it's quite damning.

finally, mulcair has retreated back to his original position - which is the same as trudeau's position.

there is no difference between the parties on this issue.

i never claimed that trudeau could repeal this bill. but, the technicalities of how a bill like c-51 works is that it can't be repealed, it can only be replaced or amended. and, this is why mulcair's position has changed - it's a necessity as to how the system functions.

again, i would suggest people look up elizabeth may's notes on the topic. she was there. and, she's quite good at this kind of analysis. we weren't.

Wednesday, September 2, 2015

when i brought in the student loan forms, the psychiatrist and nurse practitioner got into an argument as to who ought to fill them out.

i don't blame them. the language is over the top. i would have a hard time declaring myself "severely permanently disabled", as well. the truth is that i'm really just an anarchist.

i left them with the forms. i have no idea if they'll fill them out. and, to be frank, i would not begrudge them for refusing to.

i may have to get used to living on $60/month less. if i'm not smoking, that's entirely feasible.

i called the student loan people today and they extended the waiver, meaning i'm good for another two months, anyways.

the psychiatrist also claims that he can't fill out hormone prescriptions - i don't think that's actually true. the nurse practitioner will do it, but only on the instruction of an endocrinologist. and, i don't think i'm likely to get through to this guy in london again. he's going to look into it. i don't want to go to toronto, but if i have to...

i was hoping this would just be dealt with yesterday, i'll be back on the 15th and have to make decisions about things as they come up.

as i've posted here before, the feminizing hormones are kind of secondary to me at this point. the more important thing is that i'm able to keep taking the testosterone suppressors. i'm more into rejecting sexual identity altogether. it's not that the identification has changed, i will continue to identify as mentally female whether i'm on the hormones or not, it's more that i'm at a point in my life where i've accepted that my gender identity is almost entirely irrelevant, because i'm going to spend the rest of my life by myself in my bedroom. it's hard to care about how you present yourself when you're not presenting yourself anywhere. but, the testosterone reduction is very intellectually liberating and of extreme importance. i never, ever think about sex anymore. i'd like to maintain that. i'm not a sexual creature. returning testosterone levels are just likely to be an annoyance and a distraction.

worst case scenario, i could probably get the testosterone suppressors prescribed by carrying out some kind of deviant sex act, like hanging out downtown naked for as long as it takes to get arrested. it would of course be a non-aggressive act. just enough to get the prescription.
mmp has been thoroughly rejected by voters, and for good reasons: it creates party lists, which is really *less* democratic. this would turn the mp selection process into something similar to the senate selection process. it can maybe work in very small countries. like luxembourg. germany, even, is really pushing it. it makes no sense in canada. the entire political system would become a game of insider politics in ottawa.

i prefer the ranked ballots option, and would wholeheartedly vote for it. stephane dion was pushing this in 2008. it's probably what the liberals would come up with. but, i don't pretend it's perfect. after all, liberal party support for this is likely not coincidental; they would benefit dramatically from it, as they get disproportionately high second-choice votes from both of the other parties. then again, that merely suggests that the liberals are consistently the best compromise choice and the other parties have work to do if they want to fight that reality. and, there's not really a perfect system.

i'm somewhat of an anarchist; i'd ideally like to see more referendums - direct democracy. but, that's not on the table. or at least it doesn't seem like it is. trudeau's father proposed this early in his career. i think it will likely at least be discussed, and a little pressure could move on it. this would be a much bigger change, though. it would squeeze the individual mp out, between the roles of direct voting, the civil service and the executive branch. it's really the constitutional changes it would require that put it off in the distance a little. i would at least like to see it seriously analyzed. in the mean time, i'm willing to support ranked ballots ("preferential voting") and would not support any form of proportional representation, due to the party list issue.

something that would be very interesting in a preferential system is that it would reveal opinions that are currently kept under wraps. for example, an anti-abortion voter could rank the chp at the top and the conservative party second without fear that they're wasting their ballot. the resulting data would be immensely useful in setting policy, even if it doesn't elect anybody from the smaller parties - it would give the larger parties a better idea of where their voters really are and what's really driving them,

as stated, i'm an anarchist. i don't support any of the parties (i've voted for both the ndp and the liberals in the past for a variety of shifting reasons, and am undecided this election between the greens and the liberals; the ndp have taken themselves out of the running via their openly right-wing positions and their choice of candidate in my riding, who is basically a rubber stamp for the party). and i repeat that party lists are deeply undemocratic. you want mike duffy or pamela wallin in the house? that's what mmp will get you. it will reward party loyalty at the expense of independent representation.

it matters little whether you have an open list, a closed list, whatever.

there may be the odd example where a specific individual may rise up the list on their merits. elizabeth may might be such an example. these are going to be exceedingly rare. the way this would work in practice is that people will vote based on a party representative that is located in ottawa and serves the interests of ottawa. they will not take the time to sort this out. and the parties will quickly learn to exploit this.

advocates of these systems are the type of people that see a parliament as a collection of voting blocks that vote their respective party lines, rather than a collection of individuals. and, this is a fine system if that is what you want. but, if you're looking to break down the party system and reassert a more accountable parliament with more independent mps that more frequently vote against their own party, then mmp is a step in the exact wrong direction.

globalnews.ca/news/2196914/election-primer-what-are-canadas-electoral-reform-options-and-how-might-they-work/
this is such an absurd narrative. an election is not a soap opera, it is a time to discuss serious issues. and, we're frankly better off if the nature of the election turns the sports fans off. sorry: if you need a salacious story to get you out, you're not informed.

hey, it's not long before the puck drops.

this is really moaning by the media that they don't have the type of story that they want.

here's an idea: cover the issues.

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/arts/television/john-doyle-we-got-the-election-campaign-we-deserve-bland/article26180279/
i called this. and, with 16% undecided, the liberals are likely doing better than reported.

these numbers suggest that mulcair's seat is in serious jeopardy.

http://montrealgazette.com/news/national/ndp-in-virtual-tie-with-liberals-on-montreal-island-conservatives-bloc-slipping-poll
there was a battles video a while back...


but i wouldn't want to be accused of missing the point, would i?

yes, that's gary numan ^.

"liberal party makes ad about income inequality.

twitter users make memes that demonstrate an inability to grasp the point."

www.cbc.ca/news/politics/trudeau-escalator-ad-commercial-twitter-1.3212676
well, i took a look at the list of ridings, and it's all presented nicely in tabular form. it's a list of 51 ridings. but, they are further broken up into three categories, and the number that they estimate that they can seriously influence is much less than that.

it's hard to argue directly, based on the numbers provided. but a little caution is required.

for example, you could look at a riding that was won last election by 79 votes. could higher aboriginal turnout have affected the outcome? sure.

but, and i by no means wish to trivialize, the margin of 79 votes is small enough that mobilizing virtually any demographic could have been enough to swing it. the same logic holds whether the margin was 79 or 790 or 1790. and, then it gets a little too big

i stand by my initial points: the aboriginal population in canada is quite small, and scattered across the country in such a way that it would be unable to make a difference much of anywhere; there are a handful of exceptions in some remote regions. population growth is also higher in the prairies, but it's still not really at swing-level numbers.

but, sure. in theory. if a specific party that starts with a c won by a small margin in 2011, they could certainly wipe that small margin out, if they vote as a bloc with that purpose in mind - presuming all other things stay equal.

www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-election-2015-assembly-first-nations-bellegarde-1.3212551
you know, i wonder if workers in bc's largest industry would actually prefer decriminalization to legalization.

www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-election-2015-grenier-bc-sep1-1.3211266
the conservatives designed a system where they use targeted tax cuts to reward voters that vote for them and punish voters that vote against them. whether we like it or not, such a system now exists. the liberals are simply playing by the rules the conservatives put in place. and, the ndp will do the same thing, too.

hopefully, a liberal government will smash the whole thing to pieces, in time; you don't get to change the rules from opposition. but this is legitimately the kind of thing you have to do slowly. harper has set up a system of state dependency to socially engineer voting patterns towards him; it's an abuse of power, really. it's less that cutting the cord is going to make voters angry. it's more that it's inhumane to do it without easing it out.

in the meantime, this is in the rule book. so long as it's there, it's reasonable to make it more fair and target it at the groups that actually deserve tax credits, rather than use it as a way to bribe already rich people into voting for them.

i know that if we want to break this election down to a choice between tax credits for teachers and tax credits for ceos, canadians will overwhelmingly make the obvious choice.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-election-2015-justin-trudeau-s-fuzzy-logic-on-tax-credits-1.3211998
white canadians simply don't understand the issues, and there's really not any use in trying to get them to understand them. they're so mentally enslaved that they're incapable of considering a reality outside of wage slavery. the only answer from their perspective is assimilation. and, one could expect little else from a population of brainwashed conformists.

i left a more detailed comment on the american site. it pointed out that white canadians don't understand this. we see conformation of this in these comments.

we've stolen their resources, tried to force them into working for us for a wage and then called them names when they reject the arrangement. and, we broadly don't understand what's wrong with this - because we can't see beyond the social arrangement we inhabit.

for starters, most canadians would be outright shocked if they knew the laws that existed as a consequence of the transfer agreements. these laws need to go. that would actually get us a good ways forward. second, do you have any idea what reparations would look like? i'd say that putting some services in place and having some respect for local sovereignty is a helluva bargain, in comparison. and, yes, the locals that want to take part will take part.

reparations in canada would not be billions.

it would be trillions.

trillionS.

access to services is the least we can do. literally.

www.huffingtonpost.ca/2015/08/31/native-vote-canada-elections_n_8044958.html

do you not see somewhat of a problem with showing up from the other side of the world and forcing people to conform to an alien social arrangement, then calling them names when they don't do so?

did it cross your mind that the natives you refer to are not lazy so much as they reject the structural foundations of western culture?

show up to work? right. for whose benefit? you see freedom before your eyes and you are so unable to understand it that you call it sloth.

Tuesday, September 1, 2015

is reckless underrated? nobody talks about it. but, it really fits in nicely somewhere between billy idol and simple minds. it's not really the 70s rock people write it off as, it's more like post-punk stripped down to it's lowest common denominator. meaning, yeah, it's poppy, sure - but it's high quality pop.

canadian kid. of course. canadian broadcasters at the time had content requirements (i don't know if they still do) which required them to play a certain amount of music by canadian musicians. bryan adams really benefited from this. and, it meant he was on the radio all the time in the late 80s and early 90s. it would have been nearly impossible to avoid him, even if this record didn't sell well outside the country.

it could be a little bias on my behalf, but i do put my old tape of this on from time to time and the basic simplicity of it still manages to cut through like a...err...no...not doing that...

this was the biggest hit of 1991/1992.

not smells like teen spirit.

sorry.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XlwylYSqScA
sorry to burst your bubble of the 90s, kids. you might have never heard of this guy. but this was what 90s pop actually sounded like.

you're upset. i know. you've been lied to. you thought the 90s were the era of grunge and idm. it's at best a myth.

blame it on the rain.



top selling singles of the 90s. you've probably never heard most of them, and you're not missing much. that bryan adams song is the closest thing to grunge, and it's not very close.

1. "How Do I Live" - LeAnn Rimes
Hot 100 Peak Position: 2, Peak Date: December 13, 1997
2. "Macarena (Bayside Boys Mix)" - Los Del Rio
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: August 3, 1996
3. "Un-Break My Heart" - Toni Braxton
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: December 7, 1996
4. "Foolish Games/You Were Meant For Me" - Jewel
Hot 100 Peak Position: 2, Peak Date: April 19, 1997
5. "(Everything I Do) I Do It For You" - Bryan Adams
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: July 27, 1991
6. "I'll Make Love To You" - Boyz II Men
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: August 27, 1994
7. "Too Close" - Next
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: April 25, 1998
8. "One Sweet Day" - Mariah Carey & Boyz II Men
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: December 2, 1995
9. "Truly Madly Deeply" - Savage Garden
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: January 17, 1998
10. "Candle In The Wind 1997/Something About The Way You Look Tonight" - Elton John
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: October 11, 1997
11. "End Of The Road" (From Boomerang) - Boyz II Men
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: August 15, 1992
12. "The Sign" - Ace Of Base
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: March 12, 1994
13. "The Boy Is Mine" - Brandy and Monica
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: June 6, 1998
14. "Because I Love You (The Postman Song)" - Stevie B
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: December 8, 1990
15. "Whoomp! (There It Is)" - Tag Team
Hot 100 Peak Position: 2, Peak Date: July 31, 1993
16. "Rush Rush" - Paula Abdul
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: June 15, 1991
17. "You're Still The One" - Shania Twain
Hot 100 Peak Position: 2, Peak Date: May 2, 1998
18. "I Will Always Love You" - Whitney Houston
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: November 28, 1992
19. "Gangsta's Paradise" (From Dangerous Minds) - Coolio Featuring L.V.
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: September 9, 1995
20. "Nothing Compares 2 U" - Sinead O'Connor
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: April 21, 1990

there may have been some specialized "modern rock" stations in larger markets. but, broadly speaking, 90s rock was really kept alive by classic rock programmers looking for something new. the rise of soundgarden and pearl jam had as much to do with the decline of led zeppelin and pink floyd as it did with anything else. they needed content, and could hardly keep playing wish you were here over and over again into perpetuity.

where i grew up, in ottawa, there were two classic rock stations (separated by .8 on the dial) and zero modern rock stations. i got my pumpkins and nirvana and cure and offspring in between shots of rush and sabbath and beatles and zeppelin and floyd. and, it's probably the reason i can have these conversations about rock history - it came at me as a whole, rather than as a generational piece meal sort of thing. that separation didn't exist.

but, it's important to understand that it wasn't the mainstream. if you tried to play something like that at a high school dance, the room would clear. the mainstream was entirely pop-oriented.

and, unless you lived in specific parts of britain, i suppose, idm was just obscure. you had to go combing through usenet just to figure out what it even was.

it's really not that different than today. twenty years from now, people will not remember today's pop icons. but, they will remember some of the music on the margins. muse will have a much longer shelf life than justin bieber.
the alcohol v marijuana part is the thing people need to get their head around. it's just a small part of it; you don't hear about violent potheads very often. if we were basing our policies on science, pot would be legal and alcohol would be banned.

these old chomsky videos are really refreshing.

the actual truth is that this is a good example of why gdp is a poor measure of economic growth. that doesn't mean harper's "strong leadership" has been good at "managing the economy" - far from it. we should have been diversifying, and his high dollar policy (whether actively or passively) really stunted that. but, when oil crashes in a petro-state, you get shrinking gdp. there's no way around this. and, his relegation of manufacturing to a second-tier concern should give ontarians pause as to where his priorities are. well, i say that like it wasn't already obvious...

www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-election-2015-harper-recession-1.3210891
Arch from MTL
One step at a time. The Liberals will make huge gains back in Montreal.

They go from 7 to 21 seats they form a minority government.

Jessica Murray
this is likely not far from accurate. papers pessimistically yell that the liberals are only at a measly 25% in quebec. but they forget to mention that they only got 12% in 2011. that's going to be disproportionately located in montreal. and, if they're running in the mid to high 20s, they could also be competitive in some of the areas around ottawa.

the polling seems to indicate that ndp support is broad, but soft. it's less that the polling is wrong - if an election were held right this very moment, they could very well win that many seats. it's more that it's pragmatic in nature and could alter if the situation is seen to change.

the actual truth is that liberal support in the mid-20s suggests mulcair's own seat is far from safe.

www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-election-2015-tom-mulcair-ndp-quebec-orange-wave-michelle-gagnon-1.3210553
listen. i try and be open-minded and everything. but i can't for a minute understand *why* she would think anaconda ought to be up for 'best music video'. it's just an absurd position.

that said, i don't think anything that was nominated this year should have been nominated, either. and i understand the culture has gotten very stupid over the last fifteen years. but, let's take a look at some of the videos that were nominated or won in the 90s:

smashing pumpkins - tonight, tonight
nine inch nails - the perfect drug
beck - the new pollution
foo fighters - big me
weezer - buddy holly
rem - everybody hurts
pearl jam - jeremy
peter gabriel - digging in the dirt

even acknowledging how mindless and stupid music videos are across the board nowadays, does she really think the video deserves that kind of recognition? due to what, exactly? the choreography?

if you're young, google some of those. that's what a 'best video' ought to look like.

www.ew.com/article/2015/08/27/miley-cyrus-nicki-minaj-vmas/article_2289513
molari smith
Typical HuffPost Liberal party BS partisanship..

She practically discovered that the NDP "will be" a prudent fiscal government when making budget decisions. lol

Can Huffpost get more ridiculous with more petty partisanship attacks against NDP?

Brent koroll
You should try living in a province with an NDP government. Saskatchewan was a nightmare with Thonson as finance minister. No jobs at all and pizza delivery was a quality job for the NDP. I had to work in Alberta. There is a reason why the NDP won't return to power any time soon in Saskatchewan and Thomson had a lot to do with that. He savaged public transit, leaving many towns without public transit, shut hospitals. if this is any indication on how Canada would be run don't vote Dip as the nightmare won't end.

jessica amber murray
brent is speaking the truth. we saw it with bob rae in ontario, they saw it with darrell dexter out in nova scotia: the ndp consistently governs on the far right.

www.huffingtonpost.ca/2015/08/27/federal-election-2015-liberal-party-ad_n_8049954.html

--

Marcus r davies
Typical Liberal approach: mimicking the Con distortion tactic at their first opportunity. Are the Liberals saying that every single dollar in the Harper budget is sacred? If so, just sign on to it like you did C-51. What this experienced finance minister said is that if something isn't a priorty, then it will go in order to protect our priorities. For the Libs to say this means "massive cuts to health care" is the same kind of BS hyperbole Canadians are in the process of rejecting from Harper. Smarten up Liberals. You're supposed to wait til you're elected before you act like Conservatives.

Douglas Sinclair
I can think of a number of Conservative boondoggles to be cut to the tune of 100's of millions if not more. A very incomplete list:

- the monuments to 'Victims of Communism' and the "Mother Canada' monstrousity in Cape Breton
- F-35's
- most outside lawyers hired by fed. gov. (to fight constitutional and other challenges of abuse of rights and power)
- most consultants hired by fed. gov.- (often a consultant's first reccomendation is that you need more consulting)
- most gov. pre-election partisan advertising
- most of the PMO

jessica amber murray
the ndp is in support of an increase in military spending. this is just one of the many things about the ndp that is different this election, and that voters should take the time to inform themselves about.

--

Dm
Folks, remember, Mr. Mulcair was very fond of Margaret Thatcher style of government. Thatcher, Mulroney and Reagan were quite fond of crippling the middle class. You want that, vote for Mulcair.

jessica amber murray
the thatcher comments may be silly to jump on too strongly. but, his admiration for tony blair is something to really draw attention to. this is exactly what tony blair did: he swung labour a smidgen to the left of the thatcher tories, then carried on with thatcher's programs. everything seems to suggest we can expect this from the ndp of today, down to mulcair's explicit claims that the new labour government is the model he's using to reposition the ndp. is that really what ndp voters want? recycled new labour thatcherite neo-liberalism?

they won't even vote against free trade anymore....

you could use harper's gesture to demonstrate how much further to the left of himself that mulcair is trying to position himself.
yup. same old slash and burn ndp.

he'll reverse the cuts a week before the next election - or, if he thinks he can get away with it, make it a promise for the next election.

the ndp is very good at cutting services to balance the budget. they've cut more services and balanced more budgets at the provincial level than any other party. you can believe him.

www.huffingtonpost.ca/2015/08/27/tom-mulcair-health-transfers_n_8049768.html
Anthony Serocco
Imagine an army of Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warrens. That's the NDP. 

deathtokoalas
+Anthony Serocco
that was the ndp in the 70s.

nowadays, they're closer to "if rand paul and hillary clinton mated".


a lot of people are arguing that the liberals are consistently to the left of the ndp at both levels, nowadays. the last provincial election in ontario was probably the first election i've seen where it was obvious, to the point that there was a mild uproar, with prominent people writing open letters mourning the death of the ndp. i think it's laying itself down, however slowly, at the federal level, as well.

which is not to suggest that the liberals have become socialists. it's more a commentary on how dramatically far to the right the ndp has moved, and pretty much across the board.

somebody like jill stein would actually be a better representation of a canadian liberal. warren would be on the left of the party, but firmly in it. sanders would have never been a liberal, here, always a dipper. the idea of comparing the liberals to the democrats is really very badly off-base.