no.
we need to start seeing them through a more realistic lens, which means understanding that they've been there for a long time and aren't going anywhere. instead of alienating and othering and attacking them, we need to accept them for what they are and work with them.
that doesn't mean being naive. the russians are different, but the chinese would wipe us out and colonize us if they could. lest we forget that we tried to do that to them? lest we forget the opium wars? so, they're the same as us. surprise? i don't know why, that should be obvious.
if we see them as adversaries, we will put a self-fulfilling prophesy in motion. but, if we try to work together despite our differences, we could potentially work together - which means making concessions - to build a better world, without conflict.
it's an error to conflate them. russia is an integral part of western culture, and china is an alien race that sees us as inferior, too. but, that doesn't matter much, in purely tactical considerations. we need to reach out to work together, not dig in and work against each other...
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-russia-china-fadden-trump-1.5357109
Saturday, November 16, 2019
what's the alternative?
no.
i think that it's clear enough that trudeau does not have a clear successor, and if the party wants to go through this, it's going to need to run a leadership contest. looking around, i don't see any great options, which is why we ended up here in the first place.
but, the next liberal leader should be making it a priority to reconnect with the party's historical positions on foreign policy and social services, and try to reverse the slide into neo-liberalism that set in after mulroney. one of the major reasons that trudeau was successful was that he projected a reversal of neo-liberalism by channeling the legacy of his father, even if the facts didn't uphold that. elevating freeland would drop the pretext around this, and almost certainly either resurrect the ndp from imminent destruction, or give people the resolve to actually vote green.
we've seen this movie before. it's what happened with paul martin.
liberals in canada want to vote for a social liberalism. if you want a market-centric, end-of-history, neo-liberal, progressive conservatism, we have that, too, but it's the other guys.
and, all that these consistent attempts to move the liberal party to the right accomplish is conservative governance.
they're only 13 seats short. they can win that back by focusing on some urban seats and investing in education, climate, housing and health care. but, if they don't, people will get fed up and vote for somebody else, instead...
no.
i think that it's clear enough that trudeau does not have a clear successor, and if the party wants to go through this, it's going to need to run a leadership contest. looking around, i don't see any great options, which is why we ended up here in the first place.
but, the next liberal leader should be making it a priority to reconnect with the party's historical positions on foreign policy and social services, and try to reverse the slide into neo-liberalism that set in after mulroney. one of the major reasons that trudeau was successful was that he projected a reversal of neo-liberalism by channeling the legacy of his father, even if the facts didn't uphold that. elevating freeland would drop the pretext around this, and almost certainly either resurrect the ndp from imminent destruction, or give people the resolve to actually vote green.
we've seen this movie before. it's what happened with paul martin.
liberals in canada want to vote for a social liberalism. if you want a market-centric, end-of-history, neo-liberal, progressive conservatism, we have that, too, but it's the other guys.
and, all that these consistent attempts to move the liberal party to the right accomplish is conservative governance.
they're only 13 seats short. they can win that back by focusing on some urban seats and investing in education, climate, housing and health care. but, if they don't, people will get fed up and vote for somebody else, instead...
i would like to see some renewal at foreign affairs, but if the pmo is going to bring back the deputy prime minister role, they should probably avoid appointing an upper class american that sits in a riding in toronto.
that would be pretty tone deaf.
it's not a constitutionally mandated position, and in the sense that it means "she's next", it would be broadly contradicting the changes that trudeau & butts brought in after 2013 to try and increase voter interest in the leadership.
i don't think she could win a leadership contest - she's a conservative, and the liberal base is way to the left of the actual party. she'd have a ceiling of around 20% against much of anybody. people would sign up to vote her out.
if there needs to be some process put in place to change the leadership of the party, and maybe there does, she's a one-way ticket back to opposition.
there's no way i would vote for her.
that would be pretty tone deaf.
it's not a constitutionally mandated position, and in the sense that it means "she's next", it would be broadly contradicting the changes that trudeau & butts brought in after 2013 to try and increase voter interest in the leadership.
i don't think she could win a leadership contest - she's a conservative, and the liberal base is way to the left of the actual party. she'd have a ceiling of around 20% against much of anybody. people would sign up to vote her out.
if there needs to be some process put in place to change the leadership of the party, and maybe there does, she's a one-way ticket back to opposition.
there's no way i would vote for her.
it's not clear to me what jurisdiction they have here, and my kneejerk reaction is consequently actually about canadian sovereignty. it's bad enough that warren is doing a poor job representing her own constituents. she has a lot of nerve calling for the canadian government to even answer her phone calls.
if i were the pmo, i'd tell her to write a letter to her mp.
that being said, it's really more reflective of the kind of right-wing populism that is defining the democratic primary at the moment. warren and sanders are the worst when it comes to this, because they're really just mirror reflections of donald trump. they're desperately grappling for some kind of enemy to define - bankers, the rich, technology, gays and, now, apparently, canada. and, she kind of is a south park republican, isn't she?
there's a level of randomness regarding the behaviour of whales, meaning some of them are going to get hurt, regardless. to an extent, you can't stop it. but, i'd like to see what the review says. i think we might come out fairly well in a systemic study, but if there are reasonable steps that the government can take then i think positive suggestions would be well received by both the sitting government and a large percentage of the canadian voting public. i do believe that there have been regulations introduced recently to restrict commercial vessels from operating at specific speeds; that is, this is something the government has actually legislated on fairly recently. they are more likely to be receptive than dismissive.
so, i think that canada would welcome any kind of constructive debate on the topic, actually.
but, warren doesn't want constructive debate - she wants to find an enemy to demonize and then try and build a campaign of hate around. the way to stop her from doing that is to call her on it and deconstruct it as she does it.
what i would like to support is a candidate that offers a positive socialist vision for the country and the continent, and she's about as far from that as is possible.
https://atlantic.ctvnews.ca/u-s-senators-call-for-review-of-canadian-protections-of-endangered-right-whales-1.4688046
if i were the pmo, i'd tell her to write a letter to her mp.
that being said, it's really more reflective of the kind of right-wing populism that is defining the democratic primary at the moment. warren and sanders are the worst when it comes to this, because they're really just mirror reflections of donald trump. they're desperately grappling for some kind of enemy to define - bankers, the rich, technology, gays and, now, apparently, canada. and, she kind of is a south park republican, isn't she?
there's a level of randomness regarding the behaviour of whales, meaning some of them are going to get hurt, regardless. to an extent, you can't stop it. but, i'd like to see what the review says. i think we might come out fairly well in a systemic study, but if there are reasonable steps that the government can take then i think positive suggestions would be well received by both the sitting government and a large percentage of the canadian voting public. i do believe that there have been regulations introduced recently to restrict commercial vessels from operating at specific speeds; that is, this is something the government has actually legislated on fairly recently. they are more likely to be receptive than dismissive.
so, i think that canada would welcome any kind of constructive debate on the topic, actually.
but, warren doesn't want constructive debate - she wants to find an enemy to demonize and then try and build a campaign of hate around. the way to stop her from doing that is to call her on it and deconstruct it as she does it.
what i would like to support is a candidate that offers a positive socialist vision for the country and the continent, and she's about as far from that as is possible.
https://atlantic.ctvnews.ca/u-s-senators-call-for-review-of-canadian-protections-of-endangered-right-whales-1.4688046
Friday, November 15, 2019
something i was able to isolate this afternoon is that the laptop only runs at 30 w if it's left on, or at least is only running at 30 w now that i've disabled everything i can. there does seem to be a small spike when it turns on, but it only comes out to around 0.01 or 0.02 added, so it's kind of just error. i was thinking it would be more than that...
i'll get a better bounds on the modem tomorrow.
so, if i leave it on all of the time, as i have been, i'm using
0.03(12*.105 + 6*.205 + 6*.144) = $0.10/day.
if, on the other hand, i'm strict about turning it off from 7:00-19:00, i'd be using:
0.03*12*.105 + .02 = $0.05-$0.06/day, which is just half the total amount.
if i leave it on for peak period and turn it off at night, it's:
0.03*6*(.205 + .144) + 0.02 = $0.08/day
if i average that out, the difference is $0.02-$0.03 cents a day, or $0.60-$.90/month. so, let's say about $0.75/month.
it's not worth being neurotic about, i don't think.
i should just turn it off when i'm not using it. if that averages six hours a day, it's 5-6 kwh
i'll get a better bounds on the modem tomorrow.
so, if i leave it on all of the time, as i have been, i'm using
0.03(12*.105 + 6*.205 + 6*.144) = $0.10/day.
if, on the other hand, i'm strict about turning it off from 7:00-19:00, i'd be using:
0.03*12*.105 + .02 = $0.05-$0.06/day, which is just half the total amount.
if i leave it on for peak period and turn it off at night, it's:
0.03*6*(.205 + .144) + 0.02 = $0.08/day
if i average that out, the difference is $0.02-$0.03 cents a day, or $0.60-$.90/month. so, let's say about $0.75/month.
it's not worth being neurotic about, i don't think.
i should just turn it off when i'm not using it. if that averages six hours a day, it's 5-6 kwh
today was completely lost, but in the end may not be wasted.
i was midway through writing the following post at around 9:15 this morning when i made a terrible error that resulted in me losing the day but may fix the access issues i was having on the drive.
this is what i was writing...
so, i was very, very slow getting started today.
i checked my email minutes after the post at 3:26 this morning and spent the next two hours dealing with that, including applying for a second mastercard through pc. they're threatening to shut down the site, now, if they don't get something in three days. i feel like i'm under an extortion attack by islamic terrorists - "give us the money in three days or it's all over". fuck.
i had to write several emails trying to order the thing out, and all i can do is hope it works.
but, it means i need to call td today. i'm in for the weekend, but will probably do an outside run on monday. that might include stopping by the bank and having a chat.
i used to have all of this information in boxes, but it's one of the things that disappeared when i left my items in storage. i have virtually everything from 2011-on, still. the credit karma site says the last payment was in june, 2006. really. i'm asking about a 13 year-old credit card. well, it's what google wants, what can i say...
i'll have to call the board today, too.
i then spent some more time thinking about the fan. can i just buy a 20 w desk fan? nobody seems to want that. 45 w? maybe if i import it from europe.
to finish the thought, i then experimented a little to see if i can plug the usb fan right into the wall, and i can, but i'm not getting as much amperage from it.
the next thing to check was my usage from the other day, and i noticed a spike where i didn't expect one (in hindsight, i can explain the spike). i thought i was sleeping (i wasn't). did i turn my laptop back on (yes)? so, i went to check the event log and couldn't open the file.
at that point, i realized that the entire system32 folder was owned by an alphanumeric s-12367tg77567896yp90 user. so, i went to take ownership and did, and then tried to remove the user, but couldn't. it said i had to remove the inheritance. i didn't think it through, i just clicked ok.
all of my security tabs disappeared.
fuck.
well, i can try a reboot, right? nope...
so, i was back in winpe on the desktop, and while the chkdsk was quick, the startup recovery couldn't find the operating system.
thankfully, i had a good understanding of what i did and the background to fix it (i did vista support, remember). just something else i'm technically an expert in. so, if you ever find yourself in the situation where you remove all ownership to a directory, accidentally or not, what you need to do is run the following script:
for /l %%x in (1, 1, n) do (
echo %%x
takeown /f dir /r /a /d y
icacls dir /inheritance:e /t /q
icacls dir /reset /t /q
)
...where n is some appropriate number of iterations, dir is the directory.
if you do this for a system directory, as i did, n must be large, and you get something like this:
for /l %%x in (1, 1, 200) do (
echo %%x
takeown /f d:\windows\system32 /r /a /d y
icacls d:\windows\system32 /inheritance:e /t /q
icacls d:\windows\system32 /reset /t /q
)
so, i let that run and took a nap.
and, it still wasn't done when i woke up.
what i'm doing with the script is (1) recursively taking ownership of every file in the directory tree and putting it in the admin group, (2) turning inheritance back on and (3) resetting the acl to default. (1) will error out on each iteration, until it's done. (2) and (3) will then increase the size of the numbers processed over the next iteration of (1), so the loop is necessary to complete the process, and, while this should end, it can get frustrating when you only get through a few files per iteration, once you've been through a few thousand, already, because you have to do them again.
so, i did the last few thousand files manually by jumping directories. and, it wasn't done until 17:00...
that was brutal. it's my fault. i wanted to crawl into a hole somewhere. but, i merely lost a few hours on something that i've seen stump mcses. this is considered abstract in the field of tech support. i think they think there's a better answer, but there just isn't, you have to use brute force. fwiw, while i didn't write the tests (because they were charging a lot for them, and i wanted to get paid when i went to work), i went through three months of training by a certified microsoft employee that they flew in to ottawa from seattle, and then worked second tier microsoft support for a few months (until they shipped the jobs to the philipines). he hated the weather and couldn't get out fast enough. i bet it's nicer in manilla, if you can deal with the hurricanes. but, i basically have an mcse on top of the other degrees. i usually forget to mention that when enumerating my unofficial degrees, but that's in there, too. so, i figured this out quickly because i know what i did and how to fix it. most tech support agents would have had a hard time with that, though - that's a higher tier support problem because file systems are considered to be an abstract concept.
anyways.
i logged back in and noticed that the funny username, which i had up to this point assumed was myself from the previous install, had disappeared, at least, but that doing so had left a stream of previously hidden files, almost as though i had a rootkit. upon closer inspection, these files appeared to be exclusively related to remote access.
i've been pointing out for months that i think the cops have something installed on the drive....
so, i spent a few hours doing things like removing services, setting group policy settings and deleting directories. in the end, i can't say that i have any evidence of intrusion, but it's funny - i've turned on the event log (which was off, and i don't remember turning off) as well as the group policy editor (same.), so i should now be able to track any intrusion, when i previously couldn't. to be clear: if the cops installed something on the drive, they also turned off the software that would log them doing it. if they try it again, i should catch them in the act.
and, that's the day.
i didn't call the board. i didn't call td. i didn't finish the liner notes from inri000.
but, i'm going to get something to eat and try to push myself to finish it before i fall asleep.
i was midway through writing the following post at around 9:15 this morning when i made a terrible error that resulted in me losing the day but may fix the access issues i was having on the drive.
this is what i was writing...
so, i was very, very slow getting started today.
i checked my email minutes after the post at 3:26 this morning and spent the next two hours dealing with that, including applying for a second mastercard through pc. they're threatening to shut down the site, now, if they don't get something in three days. i feel like i'm under an extortion attack by islamic terrorists - "give us the money in three days or it's all over". fuck.
i had to write several emails trying to order the thing out, and all i can do is hope it works.
but, it means i need to call td today. i'm in for the weekend, but will probably do an outside run on monday. that might include stopping by the bank and having a chat.
i used to have all of this information in boxes, but it's one of the things that disappeared when i left my items in storage. i have virtually everything from 2011-on, still. the credit karma site says the last payment was in june, 2006. really. i'm asking about a 13 year-old credit card. well, it's what google wants, what can i say...
i'll have to call the board today, too.
i then spent some more time thinking about the fan. can i just buy a 20 w desk fan? nobody seems to want that. 45 w? maybe if i import it from europe.
to finish the thought, i then experimented a little to see if i can plug the usb fan right into the wall, and i can, but i'm not getting as much amperage from it.
the next thing to check was my usage from the other day, and i noticed a spike where i didn't expect one (in hindsight, i can explain the spike). i thought i was sleeping (i wasn't). did i turn my laptop back on (yes)? so, i went to check the event log and couldn't open the file.
at that point, i realized that the entire system32 folder was owned by an alphanumeric s-12367tg77567896yp90 user. so, i went to take ownership and did, and then tried to remove the user, but couldn't. it said i had to remove the inheritance. i didn't think it through, i just clicked ok.
all of my security tabs disappeared.
fuck.
well, i can try a reboot, right? nope...
so, i was back in winpe on the desktop, and while the chkdsk was quick, the startup recovery couldn't find the operating system.
thankfully, i had a good understanding of what i did and the background to fix it (i did vista support, remember). just something else i'm technically an expert in. so, if you ever find yourself in the situation where you remove all ownership to a directory, accidentally or not, what you need to do is run the following script:
for /l %%x in (1, 1, n) do (
echo %%x
takeown /f dir /r /a /d y
icacls dir /inheritance:e /t /q
icacls dir /reset /t /q
)
...where n is some appropriate number of iterations, dir is the directory.
if you do this for a system directory, as i did, n must be large, and you get something like this:
for /l %%x in (1, 1, 200) do (
echo %%x
takeown /f d:\windows\system32 /r /a /d y
icacls d:\windows\system32 /inheritance:e /t /q
icacls d:\windows\system32 /reset /t /q
)
so, i let that run and took a nap.
and, it still wasn't done when i woke up.
what i'm doing with the script is (1) recursively taking ownership of every file in the directory tree and putting it in the admin group, (2) turning inheritance back on and (3) resetting the acl to default. (1) will error out on each iteration, until it's done. (2) and (3) will then increase the size of the numbers processed over the next iteration of (1), so the loop is necessary to complete the process, and, while this should end, it can get frustrating when you only get through a few files per iteration, once you've been through a few thousand, already, because you have to do them again.
so, i did the last few thousand files manually by jumping directories. and, it wasn't done until 17:00...
that was brutal. it's my fault. i wanted to crawl into a hole somewhere. but, i merely lost a few hours on something that i've seen stump mcses. this is considered abstract in the field of tech support. i think they think there's a better answer, but there just isn't, you have to use brute force. fwiw, while i didn't write the tests (because they were charging a lot for them, and i wanted to get paid when i went to work), i went through three months of training by a certified microsoft employee that they flew in to ottawa from seattle, and then worked second tier microsoft support for a few months (until they shipped the jobs to the philipines). he hated the weather and couldn't get out fast enough. i bet it's nicer in manilla, if you can deal with the hurricanes. but, i basically have an mcse on top of the other degrees. i usually forget to mention that when enumerating my unofficial degrees, but that's in there, too. so, i figured this out quickly because i know what i did and how to fix it. most tech support agents would have had a hard time with that, though - that's a higher tier support problem because file systems are considered to be an abstract concept.
anyways.
i logged back in and noticed that the funny username, which i had up to this point assumed was myself from the previous install, had disappeared, at least, but that doing so had left a stream of previously hidden files, almost as though i had a rootkit. upon closer inspection, these files appeared to be exclusively related to remote access.
i've been pointing out for months that i think the cops have something installed on the drive....
so, i spent a few hours doing things like removing services, setting group policy settings and deleting directories. in the end, i can't say that i have any evidence of intrusion, but it's funny - i've turned on the event log (which was off, and i don't remember turning off) as well as the group policy editor (same.), so i should now be able to track any intrusion, when i previously couldn't. to be clear: if the cops installed something on the drive, they also turned off the software that would log them doing it. if they try it again, i should catch them in the act.
and, that's the day.
i didn't call the board. i didn't call td. i didn't finish the liner notes from inri000.
but, i'm going to get something to eat and try to push myself to finish it before i fall asleep.
it's just too cold to go out this weekend. this is normal for me - i shut down when it gets cold, and come back in the spring. i may come out of hibernation to forage if it seems nice, but i usually see my shadow. there are exceptions for artists i can't miss - i saw do make say think on a cold night in december, 2017 - but they are few and far between.
like, there's some chance i could be out once or twice between now and april.
so, there's some shows on saturday, but i'm staying in. and, we'll see if the weather co-operates a bit better next week or not.
there's a very high chance i'll get to plaid. that's the only thing coming up right now.
like, there's some chance i could be out once or twice between now and april.
so, there's some shows on saturday, but i'm staying in. and, we'll see if the weather co-operates a bit better next week or not.
there's a very high chance i'll get to plaid. that's the only thing coming up right now.
i ended up sleeping until after 22:00. so, it wasn't merely a nap. i'm up, now, and have eaten, but i need to take a shower before i get back to finishing this - and i really should finish it tonight.
i did get my fan.
the device is about the size i expected, but it's substantively weaker than the one running, which is not exactly a surprise. i knew it would be weaker, but how much weaker? i cannot seem to get rid of the burning smell, which currently smells like a burning wood log, like at a camp fire, which is still gross, but at least a little better. the type of burning shifts, but the burning is constant. the fan is absolutely necessary. so, this is not going to replace the fan, or at least won't for the moment, and i'm going to need to find other ways to cut down electrical, including turning the modem off when it isn't in use.
i tested it on the two usb 3 ports on the chromebook and on the usb 2 ports on the laptop and the chromebook. i could not a discern a difference in pull. but, i got a lot less out of the hub (which would have wired the fan, the mouse, a usb key and the wireless keyboard in series - presumably on 0.1 A.).
i suppose that it's possible that the different ports are running in series, locally. that would mean i could have gotten up to 0.5A on the laptop, and again on the chromebook. but, if i could pull at a higher amperage, why wouldn't i have pulled it out of the usb 3 ports? the fact that i didn't would indicate i'm pulling at 0.5A on the device, max.
but, when plugged directly into the laptop, the fan doesn't seem to respond at all to changes in power consumption out of the other ports. it reacted to the keyboard in the hub, but not to the hard drive in the port next to it. i tried copying files to and from the drive, running media off of it - nothing affected this stoic fan, in the slightest. it just churns. keep in mind that the maximum power usage over usb 2.0 is only 2.5W, and an external drive is definitely going to use all of that if it can. that would suggest that the ports are really not in series at all, that it's getting it's maximum pull out of a 0.1 A connection and that it just can't pull any more than that. ever.
so, the device would be 0.5W max, rather than 2-3. that's kind of what i thought. tech specs are terrible across the board. you don't know what you're buying, anymore. if elizabeth warren wants to run against technology, why doesn't she insist on regulating specs so that you actually get what you pay for?
regardless, this is enough evidence to take a gamble on the solar panel, if i think it can do well in low light. i actually think that reducing the circuitry could increase the amount i can pull, if there's some kind of breaker being pushed down by the os. it might actually pull more power from the leds, if i can get a solid 250-300 mA signal. and, will that turn it up a little?
logic is fun, and logic is useful, but logic is not enough for a proper epistemology - i do defer to empiricism when required. i want a reading before i plan my next move, here. so, i got one of those little ammeter/voltmeter combos for what was left on the pre-paid debit ($11). i overpaid, but i don't want to wait a month for it to get here from china. it should be here by monday.
if i do the reading, and it's only pulling 100 mA then i've got the green light to go solar. if it's pulling higher than that after all, and this is the best the thing can do with sufficient power, then it's not worth it, after all, and i'm stuck.
i did get my fan.
the device is about the size i expected, but it's substantively weaker than the one running, which is not exactly a surprise. i knew it would be weaker, but how much weaker? i cannot seem to get rid of the burning smell, which currently smells like a burning wood log, like at a camp fire, which is still gross, but at least a little better. the type of burning shifts, but the burning is constant. the fan is absolutely necessary. so, this is not going to replace the fan, or at least won't for the moment, and i'm going to need to find other ways to cut down electrical, including turning the modem off when it isn't in use.
i tested it on the two usb 3 ports on the chromebook and on the usb 2 ports on the laptop and the chromebook. i could not a discern a difference in pull. but, i got a lot less out of the hub (which would have wired the fan, the mouse, a usb key and the wireless keyboard in series - presumably on 0.1 A.).
i suppose that it's possible that the different ports are running in series, locally. that would mean i could have gotten up to 0.5A on the laptop, and again on the chromebook. but, if i could pull at a higher amperage, why wouldn't i have pulled it out of the usb 3 ports? the fact that i didn't would indicate i'm pulling at 0.5A on the device, max.
but, when plugged directly into the laptop, the fan doesn't seem to respond at all to changes in power consumption out of the other ports. it reacted to the keyboard in the hub, but not to the hard drive in the port next to it. i tried copying files to and from the drive, running media off of it - nothing affected this stoic fan, in the slightest. it just churns. keep in mind that the maximum power usage over usb 2.0 is only 2.5W, and an external drive is definitely going to use all of that if it can. that would suggest that the ports are really not in series at all, that it's getting it's maximum pull out of a 0.1 A connection and that it just can't pull any more than that. ever.
so, the device would be 0.5W max, rather than 2-3. that's kind of what i thought. tech specs are terrible across the board. you don't know what you're buying, anymore. if elizabeth warren wants to run against technology, why doesn't she insist on regulating specs so that you actually get what you pay for?
regardless, this is enough evidence to take a gamble on the solar panel, if i think it can do well in low light. i actually think that reducing the circuitry could increase the amount i can pull, if there's some kind of breaker being pushed down by the os. it might actually pull more power from the leds, if i can get a solid 250-300 mA signal. and, will that turn it up a little?
logic is fun, and logic is useful, but logic is not enough for a proper epistemology - i do defer to empiricism when required. i want a reading before i plan my next move, here. so, i got one of those little ammeter/voltmeter combos for what was left on the pre-paid debit ($11). i overpaid, but i don't want to wait a month for it to get here from china. it should be here by monday.
if i do the reading, and it's only pulling 100 mA then i've got the green light to go solar. if it's pulling higher than that after all, and this is the best the thing can do with sufficient power, then it's not worth it, after all, and i'm stuck.
Thursday, November 14, 2019
i'm going to post a last update to this - and it's now done - because i'm solving some problems that some other people are having problems with.
java is actually one of the many things that i'm technically an expert in. so, this is very simple code - because it should be. there's no reason for this to be complicated, and that complexity is exactly what i want to avoid.
//i'm centering this. i guess you don't have to. but, it's more zen.
<p align="center">
//this produces a text box that will output the file name. i'm sort of cheating, because i typed in the playlist. but, it works.
<input disabled type = "text" style="width:300px;background-color:#000000;border-width:0px;" id = "txtOutput"/>
<br>
//this is the new back button. no error handling, but it matters even less, now.
<button type="button" style="font-size:50px;" onclick="Player.src = nextsrc[--elm]; Player.play(); txtOutput.value = titles[elm]"><</button>
//this is the html5 control
<audio autoplay controls style="width:500px;height:50px" id="Player" src="first track">Your browser does not support the video tag.</audio>
//this is the forward button. still no error handling.
<button type="button" style="font-size:50px;" onclick="Player.src = nextsrc[++elm]; Player.play(); txtOutput.value = titles[elm]">></button>
//this is the new, more interactive html table
//notice that the index increases for each entry
//i am also resetting the index here to keep things in sync
//the width is set to 200 because i'm actually using two columns (i've deleted the second for brevity and clarity)
<table>
<tr><td width=200 onclick="Player.src = nextsrc[0]; Player.play(); elm=0; txtOutput.value = this.innerHTML">1. track 1 </td>
<tr><td onclick="Player.src = nextsrc[1]; Player.play(); elm=1; txtOutput.value = this.innerHTML">2. track 2</td>
.
.
.
</table>
//here is the script.
<script>
var nextsrc = [list of file paths];
var titles =[list of file titles]
var elm = 0; var Player = document.getElementById('Player');
Player.onended = function(){
if(++elm < nextsrc.length){
Player.src = nextsrc[elm]; Player.play();
txtOutput.value = titles[elm];
}
}
</script>
</p>
============
again, this is a nice little player. you just need to input the titles manually - or you could write a short program to parse it from an m3u file.
i'm kind of proud of myself.
1) back/forth buttons work fine. if you keep pushing the buttons out of bounds, you will have to rewind them as far as you pushed them. you could be really retarded and create an error, i'm sure. i'm not worried about it.
2) even if you go way out of bounds, you can fall back in bounds by clicking a track in the list. it'll reset itself and works fine.
3) you can jump from any track to any other track. it's just an index.
4) the record actually plays through, and the "playing" track updates properly along the way.
so, basically, it works perfectly.
java is actually one of the many things that i'm technically an expert in. so, this is very simple code - because it should be. there's no reason for this to be complicated, and that complexity is exactly what i want to avoid.
//i'm centering this. i guess you don't have to. but, it's more zen.
<p align="center">
//this produces a text box that will output the file name. i'm sort of cheating, because i typed in the playlist. but, it works.
<input disabled type = "text" style="width:300px;background-color:#000000;border-width:0px;" id = "txtOutput"/>
<br>
//this is the new back button. no error handling, but it matters even less, now.
<button type="button" style="font-size:50px;" onclick="Player.src = nextsrc[--elm]; Player.play(); txtOutput.value = titles[elm]"><</button>
//this is the html5 control
<audio autoplay controls style="width:500px;height:50px" id="Player" src="first track">Your browser does not support the video tag.</audio>
//this is the forward button. still no error handling.
<button type="button" style="font-size:50px;" onclick="Player.src = nextsrc[++elm]; Player.play(); txtOutput.value = titles[elm]">></button>
//this is the new, more interactive html table
//notice that the index increases for each entry
//i am also resetting the index here to keep things in sync
//the width is set to 200 because i'm actually using two columns (i've deleted the second for brevity and clarity)
<table>
<tr><td width=200 onclick="Player.src = nextsrc[0]; Player.play(); elm=0; txtOutput.value = this.innerHTML">1. track 1 </td>
<tr><td onclick="Player.src = nextsrc[1]; Player.play(); elm=1; txtOutput.value = this.innerHTML">2. track 2</td>
.
.
.
</table>
//here is the script.
<script>
var nextsrc = [list of file paths];
var titles =[list of file titles]
var elm = 0; var Player = document.getElementById('Player');
Player.onended = function(){
if(++elm < nextsrc.length){
Player.src = nextsrc[elm]; Player.play();
txtOutput.value = titles[elm];
}
}
</script>
</p>
============
again, this is a nice little player. you just need to input the titles manually - or you could write a short program to parse it from an m3u file.
i'm kind of proud of myself.
1) back/forth buttons work fine. if you keep pushing the buttons out of bounds, you will have to rewind them as far as you pushed them. you could be really retarded and create an error, i'm sure. i'm not worried about it.
2) even if you go way out of bounds, you can fall back in bounds by clicking a track in the list. it'll reset itself and works fine.
3) you can jump from any track to any other track. it's just an index.
4) the record actually plays through, and the "playing" track updates properly along the way.
so, basically, it works perfectly.
the buttons are fine for the forwards and backwards, but this is much nicer for the tables.
<table>
<tr><td onclick="Player.src = nextsrc[0]; Player.play();">1. track 1</td></tr>
<tr><td onclick="Player.src = nextsrc[1]; Player.play();">2. track 2</td></tr>
<tr><td onclick="Player.src = nextsrc[2]; Player.play();">3. track 3</td></tr>
<tr><td>4</td></tr>
.
.
.
.
</table>
<table>
<tr><td onclick="Player.src = nextsrc[0]; Player.play();">1. track 1</td></tr>
<tr><td onclick="Player.src = nextsrc[1]; Player.play();">2. track 2</td></tr>
<tr><td onclick="Player.src = nextsrc[2]; Player.play();">3. track 3</td></tr>
<tr><td>4</td></tr>
.
.
.
.
</table>
i stole the basic logic of this out of a forum, then added the extra buttons in. if you want a playlist, it's about as simple as it gets.
no js. no css. you can do that yourself. just paste this into an html document...
//back button. it just keeps going, so don't be stupid.
<button type="button" onclick="Player.src = nextsrc[--elm]; Player.play();"><</button>
//html5 player
<audio autoplay controls id="Player" src="track 1"></audio>
//forward button. likewise, there's no end, here.
<button type="button" onclick="Player.src = nextsrc[++elm]; Player.play();">></button>
//tracklisting
<table>
<tr><td><button type="button" onclick="Player.src = nextsrc[0]; Player.play();">1</button></td></tr>
<tr><td><button type="button" onclick="Player.src = nextsrc[1]; Player.play();">2</button></td></tr>
<tr><td>3</td></tr>
<tr><td>4</td></tr>
.
.
.
</table>
</p>
//"script"
<script>
var nextsrc = [track list];
var elm = 0; var Player = document.getElementById('Player');
Player.onended = function(){
if(++elm < nextsrc.length){
Player.src = nextsrc[elm]; Player.play();
}
}
</script>
that's it.
no js. no css. you can do that yourself. just paste this into an html document...
//back button. it just keeps going, so don't be stupid.
<button type="button" onclick="Player.src = nextsrc[--elm]; Player.play();"><</button>
//html5 player
<audio autoplay controls id="Player" src="track 1"></audio>
//forward button. likewise, there's no end, here.
<button type="button" onclick="Player.src = nextsrc[++elm]; Player.play();">></button>
//tracklisting
<table>
<tr><td><button type="button" onclick="Player.src = nextsrc[0]; Player.play();">1</button></td></tr>
<tr><td><button type="button" onclick="Player.src = nextsrc[1]; Player.play();">2</button></td></tr>
<tr><td>3</td></tr>
<tr><td>4</td></tr>
.
.
.
</table>
</p>
//"script"
<script>
var nextsrc = [track list];
var elm = 0; var Player = document.getElementById('Player');
Player.onended = function(){
if(++elm < nextsrc.length){
Player.src = nextsrc[elm]; Player.play();
}
}
</script>
that's it.
so, there's no easy way to build an html5 playlist...
the only way i can do this that i actually like is to build my own java script directly into the document, utilizing the built-in functionality, but i'm not sure how well i'm going to like this. i don't want to cite external routines, i don't want to put in an existing player, etc. what if they move the document? i mean, look at what's coming up with my own site.
i don't want to stream the audio from the cloud - they just bought it, they have it in high quality in front of them. that's the point.
and, i don't want to enforce a plugin. i'll give you an m3u file instead as that's what i was trying to actually do. i use foobar. maybe you like something else.
and, then i kind of thought it through and it seemed silly, because buying the audio means you'll do what you will with it, and that's the point.
but, i still want a little front end.
i should be able to do this by just creating a couple of buttons right in the document. you'll need javascript on, unfortunately. it won't be pretty. but it'll work.
the only way i can do this that i actually like is to build my own java script directly into the document, utilizing the built-in functionality, but i'm not sure how well i'm going to like this. i don't want to cite external routines, i don't want to put in an existing player, etc. what if they move the document? i mean, look at what's coming up with my own site.
i don't want to stream the audio from the cloud - they just bought it, they have it in high quality in front of them. that's the point.
and, i don't want to enforce a plugin. i'll give you an m3u file instead as that's what i was trying to actually do. i use foobar. maybe you like something else.
and, then i kind of thought it through and it seemed silly, because buying the audio means you'll do what you will with it, and that's the point.
but, i still want a little front end.
i should be able to do this by just creating a couple of buttons right in the document. you'll need javascript on, unfortunately. it won't be pretty. but it'll work.
they're closed until the morning. and i'm going to get back to work and finish the html frontend before i stop to eat.
the fan is not here yet, but i've got some stats on what's running, anyways:
bathroom fan: 0.07 kwh/hr
laptop + modem + lights: 0.08 kwh/hr (before turning devices off in dev mgr)
desktop fan: 0.09 kwh/hr
the only other thing running is the fridge, which i think is about 0.01.
so,
bathroom fan is 0.06*24*30 = 43.2 kwh
laptop + modem + lights is 0.07*24*30 = 50.4 kwh
desktop fan is .08*24*30 = 57.6 kwh
together, that's 151.2 kwh. my bills have been in the 160-190 kwh range, which would also include cooking and laundry. of course, the bathroom fan has been off here and there, while the computers have generally been off when i'm out, but the desktop fan has been on non-stop.
i was able to get monday close to 0.30 at off peak rates (although it was close to 0.50 at on peak rates). doing the math gets me close enough, and that's with the desktop fan on.
i want to do some more careful calculations. how much is just the modem + fan? how much is just the lights (in this room) + fan? laptop + fan? i'm confident about the fan, itself, so i should get some good estimates and be able to figure out what's worth shutting off and what isn't.
i might guess that it's something like the following to run each 24/7:
lights: 0.01 ----> 7.2----->$0.69
modem: 0.02 -----> 14.4---->$1.37
laptop: 0.04 -----> 28.8----> $2.73
....meaning i should probably be less neurotic about the time of day they're on and just turn them off when i'm not using them.
if i can take 50-70 out for this month by just keeping the fan off and the general usage down, i should offset the increase, at least.
the key point is that i can't be haphazard anymore.
the fan is not here yet, but i've got some stats on what's running, anyways:
bathroom fan: 0.07 kwh/hr
laptop + modem + lights: 0.08 kwh/hr (before turning devices off in dev mgr)
desktop fan: 0.09 kwh/hr
the only other thing running is the fridge, which i think is about 0.01.
so,
bathroom fan is 0.06*24*30 = 43.2 kwh
laptop + modem + lights is 0.07*24*30 = 50.4 kwh
desktop fan is .08*24*30 = 57.6 kwh
together, that's 151.2 kwh. my bills have been in the 160-190 kwh range, which would also include cooking and laundry. of course, the bathroom fan has been off here and there, while the computers have generally been off when i'm out, but the desktop fan has been on non-stop.
i was able to get monday close to 0.30 at off peak rates (although it was close to 0.50 at on peak rates). doing the math gets me close enough, and that's with the desktop fan on.
i want to do some more careful calculations. how much is just the modem + fan? how much is just the lights (in this room) + fan? laptop + fan? i'm confident about the fan, itself, so i should get some good estimates and be able to figure out what's worth shutting off and what isn't.
i might guess that it's something like the following to run each 24/7:
lights: 0.01 ----> 7.2----->$0.69
modem: 0.02 -----> 14.4---->$1.37
laptop: 0.04 -----> 28.8----> $2.73
....meaning i should probably be less neurotic about the time of day they're on and just turn them off when i'm not using them.
if i can take 50-70 out for this month by just keeping the fan off and the general usage down, i should offset the increase, at least.
the key point is that i can't be haphazard anymore.
i tried to go to google sites, and it's just....what?
i'm not a tactile learner. these guis-for-arts-students are just confusing as fuck. i don't want to draw it. let me code it, dammit...
but, i mean, theoretically? sure. i don't need to use the appengine, exactly - i'm not scripting. it's just text. but, i do need to be able to ftp it to the server.
ok. i'm calling td.
i'm not a tactile learner. these guis-for-arts-students are just confusing as fuck. i don't want to draw it. let me code it, dammit...
but, i mean, theoretically? sure. i don't need to use the appengine, exactly - i'm not scripting. it's just text. but, i do need to be able to ftp it to the server.
ok. i'm calling td.
well, i applied through simplii.
i'd guess the chances are pretty low.
i did have a credit card with td at one point, but i cut up the card. i didn't cancel it. i just paid it down and threw it away. if i run a credit check on myself, the card does come up as active.
so, i'm going to call td and see what they say...
i'd guess the chances are pretty low.
i did have a credit card with td at one point, but i cut up the card. i didn't cancel it. i just paid it down and threw it away. if i run a credit check on myself, the card does come up as active.
so, i'm going to call td and see what they say...
Wednesday, November 13, 2019
the amazon card needs a $100 downpayment, and appears to be through an american bank.
i'm not sure how to react to this.
i don't have any charges. i don't expect to incur any charges. but, i'm going to lose my site if i can't get them payment information, for a bill that i have no reason to think will ever exist.
?
i guess i'll need to call them tomorrow...
i'm not sure how to react to this.
i don't have any charges. i don't expect to incur any charges. but, i'm going to lose my site if i can't get them payment information, for a bill that i have no reason to think will ever exist.
?
i guess i'll need to call them tomorrow...
we might lose the appspot site.
they're insisting on credit card information, and i simply don't have one, nor would i ever qualify for one. i couldn't get one...and, quite frankly, i really don't want one.
i'm actually a little uncomfortable about the premise. i have essentially no traffic, but what if i get traffic? i'm not paying to deploy the site, either. if i have to, i'll move to a different server. but, i might want to get the hint and get off before they start charging, too. it's a little heavy-handed, and i kind of don't like it.
if i can hook it up to paypal, and they don't actually charge me, that's an answer. but if they insist on a credit card then i'm at a dead-end i can't get out of and it looks like i might have to migrate...
the web component will eventually be important in the alter-reality, when i get further into the genealogical and paleoanthropological theories that i built up over 2002-2006. it's going to be a while, but it will eventually get up. for now, it's just a very loose frontend.
at the least, i have to waste some time tonight trying to understand what just happened.
i was up all morning typing offline, and i got the html frontend for inri000 done after i woke up. so that will be up in the next short while. i just need to figure out how to embed an html5 playlist, and run it through a double check.
it's designed so that you can unzip it and launch it in the folder, directly. i've tested it for mp3, ogg and flac and believe it should also work for m4a and wav. apple's proprietary software is not supported by open standards like html5, and it will not embed properly.
i was hoping my fan would be here today, but i guess they got snowed in. tomorrow, hopefully....
they're insisting on credit card information, and i simply don't have one, nor would i ever qualify for one. i couldn't get one...and, quite frankly, i really don't want one.
i'm actually a little uncomfortable about the premise. i have essentially no traffic, but what if i get traffic? i'm not paying to deploy the site, either. if i have to, i'll move to a different server. but, i might want to get the hint and get off before they start charging, too. it's a little heavy-handed, and i kind of don't like it.
if i can hook it up to paypal, and they don't actually charge me, that's an answer. but if they insist on a credit card then i'm at a dead-end i can't get out of and it looks like i might have to migrate...
the web component will eventually be important in the alter-reality, when i get further into the genealogical and paleoanthropological theories that i built up over 2002-2006. it's going to be a while, but it will eventually get up. for now, it's just a very loose frontend.
at the least, i have to waste some time tonight trying to understand what just happened.
i was up all morning typing offline, and i got the html frontend for inri000 done after i woke up. so that will be up in the next short while. i just need to figure out how to embed an html5 playlist, and run it through a double check.
it's designed so that you can unzip it and launch it in the folder, directly. i've tested it for mp3, ogg and flac and believe it should also work for m4a and wav. apple's proprietary software is not supported by open standards like html5, and it will not embed properly.
i was hoping my fan would be here today, but i guess they got snowed in. tomorrow, hopefully....
at this point, it probably matters less than i'd like to think it does.
but, the consequences of actually sitting on the unsc would very likely abolish any remaining concept of pride that i have in canada's foreign policy legacy.
i hope they vote for belgium or something, instead. i don't want to go through the trauma..
but, the consequences of actually sitting on the unsc would very likely abolish any remaining concept of pride that i have in canada's foreign policy legacy.
i hope they vote for belgium or something, instead. i don't want to go through the trauma..
....but, in theory, if we were headed towards a maunder minimum (we're not.), could canada actually get colder while india burns and sinks?
sure.
and, that would be climate change happening in different directions, in different places; what would be happening in the north would be no less of a change in the climate than what is happening in the south.
but, we should expect some kind of reprieve in the north, for at least a few years.
sure.
and, that would be climate change happening in different directions, in different places; what would be happening in the north would be no less of a change in the climate than what is happening in the south.
but, we should expect some kind of reprieve in the north, for at least a few years.
don't let liberals trick you into thinking they understand science. they don't.
if you're driving off a cliff at 100 mph and a tank hits you in the perpendicular direction, it might alter your trajectory, but doesn't ultimately affect the factors underlying your propulsion - it's just a complication in the calculation.
if you're driving off a cliff at 100 mph and a tank hits you in the perpendicular direction, it might alter your trajectory, but doesn't ultimately affect the factors underlying your propulsion - it's just a complication in the calculation.
what's going on with the weather, though?
well, it's cold. it's snowing. this is too early for this.
the liberal media wants to trot out this old canard about weather and climate, and it's just a function of their inability to actually explain anything, and their insistence on monolithic narratives.
the climate is not defined by one thing moving in one direction, but rather by many things moving in many directions. those other things moving in other directions are not any less defined by the term "climate". it's just more complicated than they think you're smart enough to understand.
right now, "global warming" isn't really happening in the atmosphere. it's not because the concentrations of carbon dioxide aren't increasing - they certainly are. you can check the readings in hawaii, they're still going up. but, there's something else happening in the atmosphere in addition to the increasing carbon emissions, namely a decrease in solar energy, and particularly in the northern latitudes.
so, it's not that the idea behind global warming stopped, it's just that this other thing showed up and, at the moment, has overpowered it.
think of it like this - if you boil water with the lid on, you build up lots of steam inside the pot. the reason it's hot is the stove. but, then, if you take the lid off, you release all the built up heat. that doesn't mean you turned the stove off; the element is still burning, but some factor interfered with the process.
and, there's absolutely no reason you shouldn't refer to that factor as a part of the climate, other than a bunch of liberals that insist on overly simplistic, linear thinking.
in the southern latitudes, where the weather is driven less by the atmosphere and more by the oceans, you haven't really noticed this. it just keeps getting hotter, and the mean temperatures just keep going up.
but, up here in the north, the climate is currently being dominated not by increases in carbon dioxide but by decreases in solar energy. and, we're getting swamped by polar air moving downwards.
i don't have to tell you this was predictable; i predicted it. it's there. but, it's just a basic understanding of how the system works, regionally.
now, if this decrease in solar energy was permanent, you would in fact expect it to be a shift in the climate. this would be the new normal, and you'd have to get used to it.
but, in fact, what we know is that we're at the bottom of a cycle, and this should be the worst of it.
i'm still hoping for an early spring. it's too early to say, though.
well, it's cold. it's snowing. this is too early for this.
the liberal media wants to trot out this old canard about weather and climate, and it's just a function of their inability to actually explain anything, and their insistence on monolithic narratives.
the climate is not defined by one thing moving in one direction, but rather by many things moving in many directions. those other things moving in other directions are not any less defined by the term "climate". it's just more complicated than they think you're smart enough to understand.
right now, "global warming" isn't really happening in the atmosphere. it's not because the concentrations of carbon dioxide aren't increasing - they certainly are. you can check the readings in hawaii, they're still going up. but, there's something else happening in the atmosphere in addition to the increasing carbon emissions, namely a decrease in solar energy, and particularly in the northern latitudes.
so, it's not that the idea behind global warming stopped, it's just that this other thing showed up and, at the moment, has overpowered it.
think of it like this - if you boil water with the lid on, you build up lots of steam inside the pot. the reason it's hot is the stove. but, then, if you take the lid off, you release all the built up heat. that doesn't mean you turned the stove off; the element is still burning, but some factor interfered with the process.
and, there's absolutely no reason you shouldn't refer to that factor as a part of the climate, other than a bunch of liberals that insist on overly simplistic, linear thinking.
in the southern latitudes, where the weather is driven less by the atmosphere and more by the oceans, you haven't really noticed this. it just keeps getting hotter, and the mean temperatures just keep going up.
but, up here in the north, the climate is currently being dominated not by increases in carbon dioxide but by decreases in solar energy. and, we're getting swamped by polar air moving downwards.
i don't have to tell you this was predictable; i predicted it. it's there. but, it's just a basic understanding of how the system works, regionally.
now, if this decrease in solar energy was permanent, you would in fact expect it to be a shift in the climate. this would be the new normal, and you'd have to get used to it.
but, in fact, what we know is that we're at the bottom of a cycle, and this should be the worst of it.
i'm still hoping for an early spring. it's too early to say, though.
i was feeling disoriented, woozy and sick last night and i had to spend most of the day sleeping it off. i'm not feeling that much better right now. i dunno. i'm smelling something, and don't like it.
it just makes me tired and depressed. i don't like it, i don't like being lethargic...i like being alert. edgy. full of energy. i like coffee. i like caffeine....
i haven't pulled the trigger on the solar panel yet, but i'm looking at a 10 W panel for around $15 that i have evidence can run at 5 V and 100 mA in direct led light. that's only a 0.5 W of power, which seems like it's not enough. i'm considering waiting until it gets here tomorrow, though, because the specs are....
it says it runs at 1 A over usb, but the power specs on usb are 100 mA. so, maybe i should try and test the device, first. it might be intended for newer motherboards that can pull higher loads. or the specs might be confused.
if i understand correctly, getting it to run through my existing motherboard would put a maximum draw of 0.5 W, then, and if i want it to run at 2.5-3.0W, i'll need to find a way to quintuple the current. and, the whole point is that it's a clean usb solution. this will at least allow me to test to see what kind of power i can actually get out of the thing.
for now, it is surely an improvement to run the thing over usb if it's only a few watts. my existing fan would be running at 70W, at full draw.
how much is that, actually? 70*24*30/1000 = 50 kwh. my average bill recently has been 160-175 kwh. so, that's somewhere in the 20-30% range. my previous estimate was perhaps too conservative. but, it's also running all of the time, so it's disproportionately expensive. the new fan would be running at 3*24*30/1000=2 kwh. if i'm only getting a half watt, it's only a third of a kwh - essentially nothing. so, if it's a good enough replacement, and a combination of other changes can get my electrical down enough that i don't need to shut the laptop down during the day, then there's not really any point in taking it off the grid.
on the other hand, if the device doesn't work well, and i can get my usage down low enough by disconnecting during the day, then that's the preferable option. keeping that fan going is the number one priority.
if my x was $19, the cost of the fan would be around $4-$8 (using old consumption numbers - so that would be $6-$13 under the new prices). it's a big increase, but it's still not that much. i know that. but, it's a big percentage. (45-27)/1.55= 11.61. so, if i can get that down to $0.10-$.30 (new: $0.15-.50), that's almost there. if i keep the other fan off most of the time, that's another $4-$8, and if i be more conscious about keeping the lights and stuff off, that should essentially resolve the issue - it'll just take a little longer to get the balance worked out.
it's not that the fans are a lot. they were $5/month, each. roughly. now, they're going to be closer to $10/month, each. it's just that they're half the bill, together, and it takes me over the rebate point.
and, if turning the other fan off means i end up sleeping 20 hours a day...
i should be aiming for $0.30/day casual usage. that will give me extra space to play with to use the stove and stuff. if i can leave the laptop on all day and still get under $0.30, that will be fine. i should be able to start paying attention to usage stats in the next few days. for now, i'm going to continue keeping the power off during the day until i can get the numbers clear...
the fan should be here today, so we'll figure it out over the next week.
for now, i need to stop to eat, and then hopefully i'll get back to work...if i can stay awake, which isn't a clear certainty....
it just makes me tired and depressed. i don't like it, i don't like being lethargic...i like being alert. edgy. full of energy. i like coffee. i like caffeine....
i haven't pulled the trigger on the solar panel yet, but i'm looking at a 10 W panel for around $15 that i have evidence can run at 5 V and 100 mA in direct led light. that's only a 0.5 W of power, which seems like it's not enough. i'm considering waiting until it gets here tomorrow, though, because the specs are....
it says it runs at 1 A over usb, but the power specs on usb are 100 mA. so, maybe i should try and test the device, first. it might be intended for newer motherboards that can pull higher loads. or the specs might be confused.
if i understand correctly, getting it to run through my existing motherboard would put a maximum draw of 0.5 W, then, and if i want it to run at 2.5-3.0W, i'll need to find a way to quintuple the current. and, the whole point is that it's a clean usb solution. this will at least allow me to test to see what kind of power i can actually get out of the thing.
for now, it is surely an improvement to run the thing over usb if it's only a few watts. my existing fan would be running at 70W, at full draw.
how much is that, actually? 70*24*30/1000 = 50 kwh. my average bill recently has been 160-175 kwh. so, that's somewhere in the 20-30% range. my previous estimate was perhaps too conservative. but, it's also running all of the time, so it's disproportionately expensive. the new fan would be running at 3*24*30/1000=2 kwh. if i'm only getting a half watt, it's only a third of a kwh - essentially nothing. so, if it's a good enough replacement, and a combination of other changes can get my electrical down enough that i don't need to shut the laptop down during the day, then there's not really any point in taking it off the grid.
on the other hand, if the device doesn't work well, and i can get my usage down low enough by disconnecting during the day, then that's the preferable option. keeping that fan going is the number one priority.
if my x was $19, the cost of the fan would be around $4-$8 (using old consumption numbers - so that would be $6-$13 under the new prices). it's a big increase, but it's still not that much. i know that. but, it's a big percentage. (45-27)/1.55= 11.61. so, if i can get that down to $0.10-$.30 (new: $0.15-.50), that's almost there. if i keep the other fan off most of the time, that's another $4-$8, and if i be more conscious about keeping the lights and stuff off, that should essentially resolve the issue - it'll just take a little longer to get the balance worked out.
it's not that the fans are a lot. they were $5/month, each. roughly. now, they're going to be closer to $10/month, each. it's just that they're half the bill, together, and it takes me over the rebate point.
and, if turning the other fan off means i end up sleeping 20 hours a day...
i should be aiming for $0.30/day casual usage. that will give me extra space to play with to use the stove and stuff. if i can leave the laptop on all day and still get under $0.30, that will be fine. i should be able to start paying attention to usage stats in the next few days. for now, i'm going to continue keeping the power off during the day until i can get the numbers clear...
the fan should be here today, so we'll figure it out over the next week.
for now, i need to stop to eat, and then hopefully i'll get back to work...if i can stay awake, which isn't a clear certainty....
Tuesday, November 12, 2019
i know. i'm supposed to be working.
but this needs to get figured out...
the math with one of these charging ports just doesn't work, so i cancelled the order. the panels are just too small. if you're pulling in a watt, max, and you're pulling out 2-3, it's just not enough.
https://www.solarpanel.wiki/solar-power-bank/
so, what do i need? i should have done this from the start, i wasn't thinking clearly...
if i'm pulling 3 W constant all of the time, i need 24X3 = 72 W. i don't know how much wattage i can get from the leds, but i know it won't be much.
let's assume the worst case - that i can't get anything from the lights at all. then, i'll need the battery to run 20 hours a day in the worst days, and get all the sun from those 4 hours. 72/4 = 18. i need a 20 W panel...and a 20,000 mAh battery minimum.
on the other hand, if i can get the fan to run solely on the lights, then a 5 W charger should do it - and i won't need a battery at all. the signal from the leds should be constant, and it should just spin the thing.
i want to keep the cost down. and, i suspect i could turn a 5W charger into a component in a battery charger if it doesn't work. that will be one of the next things off the grid, and i can take my time with it.
so, i'm going to order a 5W solar cell that works in low light, without a battery. it should be a few dollars. it might not actually work, but if it doesn't i can use it for something else.
but this needs to get figured out...
the math with one of these charging ports just doesn't work, so i cancelled the order. the panels are just too small. if you're pulling in a watt, max, and you're pulling out 2-3, it's just not enough.
https://www.solarpanel.wiki/solar-power-bank/
so, what do i need? i should have done this from the start, i wasn't thinking clearly...
if i'm pulling 3 W constant all of the time, i need 24X3 = 72 W. i don't know how much wattage i can get from the leds, but i know it won't be much.
let's assume the worst case - that i can't get anything from the lights at all. then, i'll need the battery to run 20 hours a day in the worst days, and get all the sun from those 4 hours. 72/4 = 18. i need a 20 W panel...and a 20,000 mAh battery minimum.
on the other hand, if i can get the fan to run solely on the lights, then a 5 W charger should do it - and i won't need a battery at all. the signal from the leds should be constant, and it should just spin the thing.
i want to keep the cost down. and, i suspect i could turn a 5W charger into a component in a battery charger if it doesn't work. that will be one of the next things off the grid, and i can take my time with it.
so, i'm going to order a 5W solar cell that works in low light, without a battery. it should be a few dollars. it might not actually work, but if it doesn't i can use it for something else.
so, i was up around 22:00, got something to eat, did a star log entry, and am ready to get on to these notes - finally.
i wanted to understand how i would install a small solar circuit down here last night. it's the battery that seems to continue to be the problem, in terms of building anything. the diodes seem to be getting better, but small scale consumer batteries of the size and type i'd need are largely not a real thing, right now.
i realized at the last minute that my $10 charger was actually a charging kit. oops. so, i had to cancel that order. i was in fact online this morning, trying to find a replacement, and tentatively purchased a similar 20,000 mah charger for a few extra dollars, but i'm waiting on a confirmation that there's a battery in there.
the usb fan shipped this afternoon.
this is doable. i'll figure it out.
i need to get back to work this morning, and i need to make some calls at 8:30. this will be the last day - we'll be shutting down at 7:00 am sharp on wednesday morning.
i wanted to understand how i would install a small solar circuit down here last night. it's the battery that seems to continue to be the problem, in terms of building anything. the diodes seem to be getting better, but small scale consumer batteries of the size and type i'd need are largely not a real thing, right now.
i realized at the last minute that my $10 charger was actually a charging kit. oops. so, i had to cancel that order. i was in fact online this morning, trying to find a replacement, and tentatively purchased a similar 20,000 mah charger for a few extra dollars, but i'm waiting on a confirmation that there's a battery in there.
the usb fan shipped this afternoon.
this is doable. i'll figure it out.
i need to get back to work this morning, and i need to make some calls at 8:30. this will be the last day - we'll be shutting down at 7:00 am sharp on wednesday morning.
Monday, November 11, 2019
on second thought, today is canadian cannon fodder day, and i don't expect them to be open. we're shutting down in seconds...
ww1 was awful for canada, and ww2 was only better in the sense that we pushed back a little. every time that the brits needed to march some people into the ocean, they picked the canadian regiments. we were the most expendable, and the most wasted.
some historians will try to save face on this. we were great soldiers. we were brave! we defined ourselves...
this is nonsense.
we were ritually slaughtered. by the thousand...
my favourite fact about world war one was that it preceded the franchise for workers. lest we forget? we choose not to remember this. but, your relatives that died for democracy in the great war were actually probably unable to vote for the people that slaughtered them.
and, that is what can never happen again.
ww1 was awful for canada, and ww2 was only better in the sense that we pushed back a little. every time that the brits needed to march some people into the ocean, they picked the canadian regiments. we were the most expendable, and the most wasted.
some historians will try to save face on this. we were great soldiers. we were brave! we defined ourselves...
this is nonsense.
we were ritually slaughtered. by the thousand...
my favourite fact about world war one was that it preceded the franchise for workers. lest we forget? we choose not to remember this. but, your relatives that died for democracy in the great war were actually probably unable to vote for the people that slaughtered them.
and, that is what can never happen again.
for now, let's try to fix one thing at a time.
i was getting absolutely brutal migraines before i turned the fan on, remember. it might have been the gas, and it might be a little better now, but who wants to run that experiment? i'm not really convinced.
i had a few dollars left on an amazon gift certificate, so i just bought a cheap usb fan to replace the one i have on my desk. they're claiming it should be here by wednesday. and, they're claiming it runs on 2.5-3.0w. i'm going to guess that the honeywell that's been running more or less nonstop (except when it seized) is more like 40 W, and i think it's roughly 20% of my bill. really. i think the two of them together are about 40% of it.
19*1.55*.6 = 17.47
is it that easy?
so, i got a $10 solar usb charger, too, which should power the fan, even if nothing else uses it. the only thing i'd power through usb is an mp3 player i bought in 2006. so, we've at least got the desktop fan off the grid, now...
if that $16 gets me back to saving credits, great.
for now, i'm going to keep the desktop fan on and the bathroom fan off for a bit and figure out what the statistics say.
i need to call the board this morning, so we'll have a bit of a delay in shutting things down, but we're going to need to do this for a few days, at least, until i'm able to understand what's happening better.
i wanted to be done the liner notes today. i can probably get a start on it when i turn the modem off, but i think i'm only going to get 2-3 hours on this battery before i need to shut down.
i was getting absolutely brutal migraines before i turned the fan on, remember. it might have been the gas, and it might be a little better now, but who wants to run that experiment? i'm not really convinced.
i had a few dollars left on an amazon gift certificate, so i just bought a cheap usb fan to replace the one i have on my desk. they're claiming it should be here by wednesday. and, they're claiming it runs on 2.5-3.0w. i'm going to guess that the honeywell that's been running more or less nonstop (except when it seized) is more like 40 W, and i think it's roughly 20% of my bill. really. i think the two of them together are about 40% of it.
19*1.55*.6 = 17.47
is it that easy?
so, i got a $10 solar usb charger, too, which should power the fan, even if nothing else uses it. the only thing i'd power through usb is an mp3 player i bought in 2006. so, we've at least got the desktop fan off the grid, now...
if that $16 gets me back to saving credits, great.
for now, i'm going to keep the desktop fan on and the bathroom fan off for a bit and figure out what the statistics say.
i need to call the board this morning, so we'll have a bit of a delay in shutting things down, but we're going to need to do this for a few days, at least, until i'm able to understand what's happening better.
i wanted to be done the liner notes today. i can probably get a start on it when i turn the modem off, but i think i'm only going to get 2-3 hours on this battery before i need to shut down.
so, is getting off the grid with solar technology financially viable for a renter, yet?
we're on the cusp. really.
i can't get the appliances off, yet. so, whatever i do, the stove and washer and fridge are going to stay on the grid. the lights are going to stay on the grid, too.
but, it is almost realistic to get everything else off. and, i'm thinking about it.
if i spent all of this time typing on a modern phone, i would both use a lot less power and have more efficient charging options. they actually have chargers for around $20 that can handle anything with a few watts. that would be a very smart investment, if i was a completely different person.
but, as it is, i have four laptops and three desktops that i need to run down here at various frequencies, along with a wide assortment of recording gear. i need the ac out, one way or another.
to run one computer and some peripherals in this room at the same time, i would need something like 100-150 watts of direct power. the usb chargers (5-20 W) aren't enough, but the standard consumer line (400-1000 W) is way too much. so, i'm looking for a kind of niche product, and the price is less than optimal. but, i could work this out for around $200. that's a lot on first glance, but if it saves me $15/month, and the price of electricity continues to go up, it's not long before it pays for itself. if i could figure this out for something more like $100, i'd do it on the spot.
i would probably want to get a second or third comparable station down the road, rather than wait for the price of the big stations to come down. i probably couldn't really charge a 400 wh battery in one window, anyway. so, why not get one for each window and break the circuit up?
the obvious next question is "how long does the battery last, though?" and that's kind of fundamental. is it going to last more than a year? if not, i'm not saving anything.
but, it's getting close. phones can be off the grid at this point - it's feasible and financially viable to do it. laptops should be next.
i just need the alternating current. that's the problem.
we're on the cusp. really.
i can't get the appliances off, yet. so, whatever i do, the stove and washer and fridge are going to stay on the grid. the lights are going to stay on the grid, too.
but, it is almost realistic to get everything else off. and, i'm thinking about it.
if i spent all of this time typing on a modern phone, i would both use a lot less power and have more efficient charging options. they actually have chargers for around $20 that can handle anything with a few watts. that would be a very smart investment, if i was a completely different person.
but, as it is, i have four laptops and three desktops that i need to run down here at various frequencies, along with a wide assortment of recording gear. i need the ac out, one way or another.
to run one computer and some peripherals in this room at the same time, i would need something like 100-150 watts of direct power. the usb chargers (5-20 W) aren't enough, but the standard consumer line (400-1000 W) is way too much. so, i'm looking for a kind of niche product, and the price is less than optimal. but, i could work this out for around $200. that's a lot on first glance, but if it saves me $15/month, and the price of electricity continues to go up, it's not long before it pays for itself. if i could figure this out for something more like $100, i'd do it on the spot.
i would probably want to get a second or third comparable station down the road, rather than wait for the price of the big stations to come down. i probably couldn't really charge a 400 wh battery in one window, anyway. so, why not get one for each window and break the circuit up?
the obvious next question is "how long does the battery last, though?" and that's kind of fundamental. is it going to last more than a year? if not, i'm not saving anything.
but, it's getting close. phones can be off the grid at this point - it's feasible and financially viable to do it. laptops should be next.
i just need the alternating current. that's the problem.
Sunday, November 10, 2019
hrmmn.
can i push the 2nd law, here, a little?
how much usable energy can i get from my lightbulbs?
answer: i don't have to calculate it to know the answer is not much. but, i wonder if i could string enough cells together....
https://www.ecopowerup.com/knowledge/charge-solar-without-sun/
can i push the 2nd law, here, a little?
how much usable energy can i get from my lightbulbs?
answer: i don't have to calculate it to know the answer is not much. but, i wonder if i could string enough cells together....
https://www.ecopowerup.com/knowledge/charge-solar-without-sun/
and, how feasible is a diy solar option for a few kwh per day?
i know that the batteries suck, but i'm only using 5-6 kwh per day, with the fans running. when i was trying to save energy last winter, i was using closer to 2-3 on the average day.
so, if i can jimmy up the consumer circuit to a solar converter into a battery that only has to save a few kwh at a time and just let the grid take care of the appliances and lights, maybe i can get the number under $45 without worrying about it as much.
i don't know, though. i'll have to look at it.
i know that the batteries suck, but i'm only using 5-6 kwh per day, with the fans running. when i was trying to save energy last winter, i was using closer to 2-3 on the average day.
so, if i can jimmy up the consumer circuit to a solar converter into a battery that only has to save a few kwh at a time and just let the grid take care of the appliances and lights, maybe i can get the number under $45 without worrying about it as much.
i don't know, though. i'll have to look at it.
so, i did my groceries this morning, made some pasta, took a shower and fell asleep.
the sage smell was back when i got out of the shower, and it might not be coming from upstairs at all. this is a constant problem in this place: i can't actually tell where the smells are coming from, or what is causing them. so, last night it seemed like somebody was burning sage to cover the smell; this morning, it seemed more like the smell was coming from the heaters. it seems to be better, now.
but, i have no choice: i'm going to need to turn the fan off between now and 7:00 in the morning, and i'm going to have to leave it off and i'm going to have to hope the smell clears out. if it doesn't, i'm going to have to suffer through it until i can get to the root source of it.
the sage smell was back when i got out of the shower, and it might not be coming from upstairs at all. this is a constant problem in this place: i can't actually tell where the smells are coming from, or what is causing them. so, last night it seemed like somebody was burning sage to cover the smell; this morning, it seemed more like the smell was coming from the heaters. it seems to be better, now.
but, i have no choice: i'm going to need to turn the fan off between now and 7:00 in the morning, and i'm going to have to leave it off and i'm going to have to hope the smell clears out. if it doesn't, i'm going to have to suffer through it until i can get to the root source of it.
so, what happened on thursday?
mindful of the impending yearly catastrophe that canadians call winter, i did a large amount of grocery shopping on hallowe'en (which wasn't so bad weather wise, at least at first.) with the intent to allow for minimal foraging until the end of the month, while hoping for the opportunity to take advantage of a nice day or two, mid to late month. i knew i was going to have to get out to toronto at some point but i had no intention of getting to any concerts in the region until closer to the end of the month.
but, my laptop crashed on the night of the third (corrupt boot sector. lengthy but easy fix.), which gave me several days to sort through the listings for the month, and i pulled out a night i couldn't miss out on. would you skip this night?
detroit component:
early evening show: tchaikovsky's first piano concerto at the orchestra hall
evening show: black midi, which are a noise rock band from the uk that has worked with damo suzuki
windsor component:
late show: lushh, which are an electronic jazz band from kalamazoo
potential late late show: heart attack kids, which are a punk band from london, on
that's a stacked night. i couldn't miss it.
but, i missed it. this is what happened...
i was running a little late as it was, but when i got to the bus station in windsor, the attendant informed me that the tunnel was closing for the night. what that would mean is that i'd have to find a way to get back over the bridge after black midi and, even if i could figure it out, i'd blow the late shows. it just wasn't worth it. alas...
so, i just stayed in windsor, which meant i caught the early show at phog, and then the late show at phog and then the late late show at meteor (and then went back to phog for a beer).
lushh were passively enjoyable, but i actually didn't find them to be mind-bending in any particular way. i didn't want to just go home after coming face to face with the bus situation, so i stayed. but, i wouldn't actually go out of my way for this. it tended to drag a little with superfluous space-filling solos that actually weren't that great, creating a large amount of empty space that was often not taken advantage of as well as it could have been. i tend to pay more attention to guitarists, but it was the drummer that tended to carry them. he didn't seem that interested in the idea of aphex twin remixing queen, though; he treated the proposition like i was proposing some kind of infidelity. or, maybe that was masking a physical attraction that he didn't know how to grapple with. hey, that happens. i'll back off, but offer's open...
it's not like it was a bad show; if you get the chance, you should take the time to give it a few minutes. you'll note that the particular link i'm posting is a bit more guitar-focused (and also very recent), so it actually kind of demonstrates the point: it just didn't quite get off the ground, for me. i need a bit more than that to really get into it.
but, i would choose not to skip them a second time, just in case.
i ran across the street after the set to catch what was left and was kind of baffled by the energy, which i was not expecting. i'm actually not 100% certain what i even saw at all. what i was expecting was a kind of rootsy mid-period whites stripes kind of thing, but they showed up with a bassist and a female drummer (i think she was the drummer for wine lips, as she was using the wine lips kit) and just tore the place down. they introduced themselves as the heart attack kids, but this was not the same band. so, was it also the bassist for wine lips? is there some merging going on here?
it's been a while since i heard something quite like this, which actually had some nirvana-ish undertones in all of the right ways. like i say, it just ripped.
but, this is an emergent phenomenon, so i have no link to share - just the observation that the heart attack kids have evolved, and a recommendation that you check them out.
so, i ended up back at phog for a last beer, listened to some kids talk about philosophy and stuff and stumbled out late into the cold...
...and it was, indeed, cold - cold enough that i stopped a few times to warm up. i was reminded why i don't do this at this time of year. according to the thermostat, it wasn't that bad, but the wind was brutal. it was a difficult walk, at points.
but, i got me some nachos, took me a shower and then slept all day.
so, there's the review. it could be a while before the next one.
mindful of the impending yearly catastrophe that canadians call winter, i did a large amount of grocery shopping on hallowe'en (which wasn't so bad weather wise, at least at first.) with the intent to allow for minimal foraging until the end of the month, while hoping for the opportunity to take advantage of a nice day or two, mid to late month. i knew i was going to have to get out to toronto at some point but i had no intention of getting to any concerts in the region until closer to the end of the month.
but, my laptop crashed on the night of the third (corrupt boot sector. lengthy but easy fix.), which gave me several days to sort through the listings for the month, and i pulled out a night i couldn't miss out on. would you skip this night?
detroit component:
early evening show: tchaikovsky's first piano concerto at the orchestra hall
evening show: black midi, which are a noise rock band from the uk that has worked with damo suzuki
windsor component:
late show: lushh, which are an electronic jazz band from kalamazoo
potential late late show: heart attack kids, which are a punk band from london, on
that's a stacked night. i couldn't miss it.
but, i missed it. this is what happened...
i was running a little late as it was, but when i got to the bus station in windsor, the attendant informed me that the tunnel was closing for the night. what that would mean is that i'd have to find a way to get back over the bridge after black midi and, even if i could figure it out, i'd blow the late shows. it just wasn't worth it. alas...
so, i just stayed in windsor, which meant i caught the early show at phog, and then the late show at phog and then the late late show at meteor (and then went back to phog for a beer).
lushh were passively enjoyable, but i actually didn't find them to be mind-bending in any particular way. i didn't want to just go home after coming face to face with the bus situation, so i stayed. but, i wouldn't actually go out of my way for this. it tended to drag a little with superfluous space-filling solos that actually weren't that great, creating a large amount of empty space that was often not taken advantage of as well as it could have been. i tend to pay more attention to guitarists, but it was the drummer that tended to carry them. he didn't seem that interested in the idea of aphex twin remixing queen, though; he treated the proposition like i was proposing some kind of infidelity. or, maybe that was masking a physical attraction that he didn't know how to grapple with. hey, that happens. i'll back off, but offer's open...
it's not like it was a bad show; if you get the chance, you should take the time to give it a few minutes. you'll note that the particular link i'm posting is a bit more guitar-focused (and also very recent), so it actually kind of demonstrates the point: it just didn't quite get off the ground, for me. i need a bit more than that to really get into it.
but, i would choose not to skip them a second time, just in case.
i ran across the street after the set to catch what was left and was kind of baffled by the energy, which i was not expecting. i'm actually not 100% certain what i even saw at all. what i was expecting was a kind of rootsy mid-period whites stripes kind of thing, but they showed up with a bassist and a female drummer (i think she was the drummer for wine lips, as she was using the wine lips kit) and just tore the place down. they introduced themselves as the heart attack kids, but this was not the same band. so, was it also the bassist for wine lips? is there some merging going on here?
it's been a while since i heard something quite like this, which actually had some nirvana-ish undertones in all of the right ways. like i say, it just ripped.
but, this is an emergent phenomenon, so i have no link to share - just the observation that the heart attack kids have evolved, and a recommendation that you check them out.
so, i ended up back at phog for a last beer, listened to some kids talk about philosophy and stuff and stumbled out late into the cold...
...and it was, indeed, cold - cold enough that i stopped a few times to warm up. i was reminded why i don't do this at this time of year. according to the thermostat, it wasn't that bad, but the wind was brutal. it was a difficult walk, at points.
but, i got me some nachos, took me a shower and then slept all day.
so, there's the review. it could be a while before the next one.
ok, so what else did i do tonight?
not much.
the catch-up is done, though. next is the review from the other night.
how's the smell? it smells like somebody's burning sage or something, which is every bit as unhealthy and every bit as gross as burning any other kind of plant. i would support a total residential ban on the stuff. if you want to bathe yourself in carcinogens as a part of your stone age religious ceremony, which is just hilarious in it's idiocy, then go do it on the reserve - it's something that shouldn't be happening in urban centres. ever.
as somebody with native ancestry, i find the whole thing to be flat out embarrassing.
but, i don't think there's a native american ritual happening upstairs, i think somebody's just dumb enough to think it hides the smell. it doesn't. in fact, it's actually worse. pot stinks but it's a lighter smell; sage is thick and heavy and oppressive in it's abject disgustingness.
i need to get some groceries this morning and do laundry one more time before i have to adjust to the new electrical reality - and, yes, i'm going to have to turn the fan off. if i end up coughing for hours and hours, he'll have to send the complaint to the ministry. i can't afford to run the fan anymore. i'll have to just take a lot of hot showers to blow the stink off, instead.
so, review first. then groceries. then liner notes when i get back. and, i guess i lost a week, didn't i?
not much.
the catch-up is done, though. next is the review from the other night.
how's the smell? it smells like somebody's burning sage or something, which is every bit as unhealthy and every bit as gross as burning any other kind of plant. i would support a total residential ban on the stuff. if you want to bathe yourself in carcinogens as a part of your stone age religious ceremony, which is just hilarious in it's idiocy, then go do it on the reserve - it's something that shouldn't be happening in urban centres. ever.
as somebody with native ancestry, i find the whole thing to be flat out embarrassing.
but, i don't think there's a native american ritual happening upstairs, i think somebody's just dumb enough to think it hides the smell. it doesn't. in fact, it's actually worse. pot stinks but it's a lighter smell; sage is thick and heavy and oppressive in it's abject disgustingness.
i need to get some groceries this morning and do laundry one more time before i have to adjust to the new electrical reality - and, yes, i'm going to have to turn the fan off. if i end up coughing for hours and hours, he'll have to send the complaint to the ministry. i can't afford to run the fan anymore. i'll have to just take a lot of hot showers to blow the stink off, instead.
so, review first. then groceries. then liner notes when i get back. and, i guess i lost a week, didn't i?
Saturday, November 9, 2019
can bloomberg hurt biden in the south?
no.
you know who could, though, is al gore. and, what side is al on these days, anyways?
it's a hard task. they're loyal. they vote in blocs, because they know they have to. and, they're conservative as fuck.
so, if it crossed your mind? no. good tactic, wrong player.
no.
you know who could, though, is al gore. and, what side is al on these days, anyways?
it's a hard task. they're loyal. they vote in blocs, because they know they have to. and, they're conservative as fuck.
so, if it crossed your mind? no. good tactic, wrong player.
This Chromebook comes with a dual-core Intel Celeron 1007u processor
clocks in at 1.5 GHz, 4GB of RAM, a 16GB SSD, and a 720p camera. Despite
a relatively low price of $244, the 4GB of RAM and 720p camera are very
surprising but welcome additions. Usually, Chromebooks include a lower
resolution webcam of 640 x 480 and rarely come with more than 2GB of
RAM. These upgrades definitely turn the ThinkPad X131e into more of a
workhorse, allowing you to run more tabs for improved productivity and
higher-resolution video conferences. So far, everything looks great on
paper.
i should be able to find a linux distro that can install itself with a few simple office tools on a 16 gb ssd partition, you'd think.
this machine just needs to be a glorified phone, remember - a phone i can actually type on.
i should be able to find a linux distro that can install itself with a few simple office tools on a 16 gb ssd partition, you'd think.
this machine just needs to be a glorified phone, remember - a phone i can actually type on.
i needed to crash, clearly.
and, i need to actually catch-up and get what i'm doing finished, now.
but, i'm not thinking that expending a lot of time trying to fix the chrome os on this chromebook is worthwhile. frankly, i don't actually like the os - i don't like the unnecessary focus on security (forcing you to type in a long pass key every time you want to use it), and i don't like the limitations on installing software. it was useful for what it was while it worked, but i want more control over it.
so, i would rather just install windows, anyways.
but, if i can get a normal linux install, instead, that's a step forwards, and one i can probably compromise with.
and, i wonder if i can actually install a normal hard drive in it, or not - i have a few around.
that's in a few days. first, i want to get done what i was doing, it's more important.
and, i need to actually catch-up and get what i'm doing finished, now.
but, i'm not thinking that expending a lot of time trying to fix the chrome os on this chromebook is worthwhile. frankly, i don't actually like the os - i don't like the unnecessary focus on security (forcing you to type in a long pass key every time you want to use it), and i don't like the limitations on installing software. it was useful for what it was while it worked, but i want more control over it.
so, i would rather just install windows, anyways.
but, if i can get a normal linux install, instead, that's a step forwards, and one i can probably compromise with.
and, i wonder if i can actually install a normal hard drive in it, or not - i have a few around.
that's in a few days. first, i want to get done what i was doing, it's more important.
if my primary concern is that they're changing the system so that poor people lose their rebates, and, again, they were targeted because they need it the most, what's the solution?
you boost the oesp amount by the amount that you expect the average price to increase by.
so, if $45 was the average value of x+f, and you're increasing x by 55%, then you make the following adjustment:
1) x + 27 = 45 <-----> x=18
2) 18*1.55 = 27.9
3) 27.90 + 27 = 54.90
so, if they increased the amount from 45 to 55, as the data will instruct them to do within a few months, then they can alleviate the issue where it's most important.
the validity of this argument is in realizing that $45 was not chosen arbitrarily. it is the average price. if you increase the rates, the average price shifts with it, and the oesp amount should change to reflect it. otherwise, you're just taking money away from poor people, and giving it to utility companies.
as was the case with the carbon tax oversight, this is just bad governance. they should have done this. it should have been obvious.
for me, that would mean that if my x is 19 and it goes up by 55%, then my new price before taxes is:
19*1.55 + 27 = 56.45.
subtracting out the $55 would leave me with a bill for $1.45 - which, after accounting for rounding errors on a small number, is close enough to a 55% increase.
1.13*1.45 - .318*1.13*1.45 = $1.11.
that's a $0.03 increase - which is roughly in line with inflation.
you boost the oesp amount by the amount that you expect the average price to increase by.
so, if $45 was the average value of x+f, and you're increasing x by 55%, then you make the following adjustment:
1) x + 27 = 45 <-----> x=18
2) 18*1.55 = 27.9
3) 27.90 + 27 = 54.90
so, if they increased the amount from 45 to 55, as the data will instruct them to do within a few months, then they can alleviate the issue where it's most important.
the validity of this argument is in realizing that $45 was not chosen arbitrarily. it is the average price. if you increase the rates, the average price shifts with it, and the oesp amount should change to reflect it. otherwise, you're just taking money away from poor people, and giving it to utility companies.
as was the case with the carbon tax oversight, this is just bad governance. they should have done this. it should have been obvious.
for me, that would mean that if my x is 19 and it goes up by 55%, then my new price before taxes is:
19*1.55 + 27 = 56.45.
subtracting out the $55 would leave me with a bill for $1.45 - which, after accounting for rounding errors on a small number, is close enough to a 55% increase.
1.13*1.45 - .318*1.13*1.45 = $1.11.
that's a $0.03 increase - which is roughly in line with inflation.
....and, expect the government to do a song and dance about the rebate, because it thinks you're too stupid to figure it out. that's the bait and switch - look the other way at the billions of dollars being thrown at ford's buddies in the industry, because you get a nice 32% rebate (after they jacked the price up by 55% on the backs of the poor).
well.
maybe you are, though.
i mean, you voted for them, right?
i'm not a fiscal conservative. but, your kids will pay for this blunder.
well.
maybe you are, though.
i mean, you voted for them, right?
i'm not a fiscal conservative. but, your kids will pay for this blunder.
what was the point of doing this, exactly?
apparently, the government wants you to "know the true price of electricity"?
what? why? who cares?
if you're curious, this "true price" is set by the ontario electricity board, which is an industry captured regulatory body, and is something like five times the price as it is in competing jurisdictions. so, even if there was some value to knowing the "true price", it's pretty clear that this isn't actually it. it hardly seems worth the effort, does it?
i guess that they might think that there's some kind of propaganda value in adding a giant rebate to the bill - and you will now see a 32% rebate on every bill - but that's hardly going to be effective if the people that care most about electrical costs are going to have their rates increased by 800-1000%.
rather, what they're doing is a hand-out to the industry, and they're doing it on the backs of poor people.
first, who is affected, and how?
1) poor people that qualify and receive their rebates will have the effectiveness of their rebates reversed - rebates that were targeted to them because they need it the most. the rebates are not being cancelled. but, if a million of us have to pay an extra $10 a month, that's a $120 million dollar cut in welfare for people that need it.
2) people that don't qualify for the rebates, and that still use small amounts of electricity (meaning bourgeois liberals, essentially) will actually get a small rate cut. if you don't qualify for the rebates, you won't care about a $4 cut. but, if there's 3 million people that save $4 a month, that's a 144 million dollar tax cut for people that don't need it. so, you see what they did here?
3) if you use a lot of electricity, you're going to get reamed by a 10%+ rate hike. enjoy your $7, though.
and, what is the actual effect of the changes?
1) the amount that producers can charge is going up by 55%. so, they're going to get much higher profits.
2) the amount that the government is subsidizing is going up from 8% to 32%. that's a four fold increase. so, the amount of money that taxpayers are giving the producers is going to increase dramatically, thereby increasing their profits even more.
together, that's called corporate welfare.
and, that's the baffling thing about it - if there was ever any reason to criticize the system that existed, it was that it was siphoning out public money into the hands of private corporations. the liberals can be awful, it is true. but, they're not so blatantly corrupt as this....
so,
1) you're looking at a cash transfer from students and disabled people to toronto condo owners.
2) you're looking at huge amounts of money being shoveled out of public coffers and into private industry, which is going to contribute to the deficit, while ford and his cronies laugh about it all the way to the bank.
this is what they do when they win. every time.
apparently, the government wants you to "know the true price of electricity"?
what? why? who cares?
if you're curious, this "true price" is set by the ontario electricity board, which is an industry captured regulatory body, and is something like five times the price as it is in competing jurisdictions. so, even if there was some value to knowing the "true price", it's pretty clear that this isn't actually it. it hardly seems worth the effort, does it?
i guess that they might think that there's some kind of propaganda value in adding a giant rebate to the bill - and you will now see a 32% rebate on every bill - but that's hardly going to be effective if the people that care most about electrical costs are going to have their rates increased by 800-1000%.
rather, what they're doing is a hand-out to the industry, and they're doing it on the backs of poor people.
first, who is affected, and how?
1) poor people that qualify and receive their rebates will have the effectiveness of their rebates reversed - rebates that were targeted to them because they need it the most. the rebates are not being cancelled. but, if a million of us have to pay an extra $10 a month, that's a $120 million dollar cut in welfare for people that need it.
2) people that don't qualify for the rebates, and that still use small amounts of electricity (meaning bourgeois liberals, essentially) will actually get a small rate cut. if you don't qualify for the rebates, you won't care about a $4 cut. but, if there's 3 million people that save $4 a month, that's a 144 million dollar tax cut for people that don't need it. so, you see what they did here?
3) if you use a lot of electricity, you're going to get reamed by a 10%+ rate hike. enjoy your $7, though.
and, what is the actual effect of the changes?
1) the amount that producers can charge is going up by 55%. so, they're going to get much higher profits.
2) the amount that the government is subsidizing is going up from 8% to 32%. that's a four fold increase. so, the amount of money that taxpayers are giving the producers is going to increase dramatically, thereby increasing their profits even more.
together, that's called corporate welfare.
and, that's the baffling thing about it - if there was ever any reason to criticize the system that existed, it was that it was siphoning out public money into the hands of private corporations. the liberals can be awful, it is true. but, they're not so blatantly corrupt as this....
so,
1) you're looking at a cash transfer from students and disabled people to toronto condo owners.
2) you're looking at huge amounts of money being shoveled out of public coffers and into private industry, which is going to contribute to the deficit, while ford and his cronies laugh about it all the way to the bank.
this is what they do when they win. every time.
personally, it puts me into a confusing state, and i'll have to see what the bill looks like.
if the line order in the calculation remains the same, my previous calculation is correct, and my bill will go from $1.00 to $8.00. this is because they take the $45 credit out before they add the tax or the rebate. so, i have to eat the rate increase, but then i don't get the rebate to offset it.
my calculation is this:
1.13*(x*1.55 + f - 45) - .318(1.13*x*1.55 + 1.13f - 1.13*45) = (f=27)
1.13*(1.55x -18) - .318(1.7515x -20.34) =
1.194523x -13.87188
that seems better at first, except that my old bill was:
1.13*((x + f) - 45) - 0.08(1.13*(x+f-45)) = (f=27)
1.13*(x-18) - 0.0904(x-18) =
1.0396(x-18) =
1.0396x - 18.7128.
subtracting out, i get the 15.5% increase, but am now adding an extra $4.84. static. and, that doesn't change with usage.
that means if my x is $19, my increase in cost only seems to be $2.94, but then i have to increase that by $4.84 rather than subtract it by $7.26.
how can i reverse that and get back to saving credits?
x*1.55 + 27 < 45 <----> x*1.55 < 18 <----> x < $11.60.
when i first moved in here, before i had the fan running all of the time, i was actually able to get my usage to less than $10. so, i know i can do it, if i can get the air quality in here cleared out enough that i can get the fans off.
in the mean time, as mentioned, i'm going to have to start turning off the modem when i'm not using it, and essentially completely disconnect everything during the day.
if the line order in the calculation remains the same, my previous calculation is correct, and my bill will go from $1.00 to $8.00. this is because they take the $45 credit out before they add the tax or the rebate. so, i have to eat the rate increase, but then i don't get the rebate to offset it.
my calculation is this:
1.13*(x*1.55 + f - 45) - .318(1.13*x*1.55 + 1.13f - 1.13*45) = (f=27)
1.13*(1.55x -18) - .318(1.7515x -20.34) =
1.194523x -13.87188
that seems better at first, except that my old bill was:
1.13*((x + f) - 45) - 0.08(1.13*(x+f-45)) = (f=27)
1.13*(x-18) - 0.0904(x-18) =
1.0396(x-18) =
1.0396x - 18.7128.
subtracting out, i get the 15.5% increase, but am now adding an extra $4.84. static. and, that doesn't change with usage.
that means if my x is $19, my increase in cost only seems to be $2.94, but then i have to increase that by $4.84 rather than subtract it by $7.26.
how can i reverse that and get back to saving credits?
x*1.55 + 27 < 45 <----> x*1.55 < 18 <----> x < $11.60.
when i first moved in here, before i had the fan running all of the time, i was actually able to get my usage to less than $10. so, i know i can do it, if i can get the air quality in here cleared out enough that i can get the fans off.
in the mean time, as mentioned, i'm going to have to start turning off the modem when i'm not using it, and essentially completely disconnect everything during the day.
i'm going to correct the math slightly.
i multiplied the f by 155% thinking it would come out in the wash, but i actually dropped a factor. see, for me, i have a rebate, so it does come out in the wash - for my bill, specifically, i was right. but, more generally, that added term is important.
so, lets say your cost is x + f, where f is the fixed rate. the increase in cost will be 1.55x + f. then, you add tax: 1.13*(1.55x + f) = 1.7515x + 1.13f. then, you can subtract the 31.8%
1.7515x + 1.13f - 0.318*(1.7515x + 1.13f) =
x*(1.7515 - 0.318*1.7515) + f*(1.13-.318*1.13) =
1.194523x + 0.77066f.
that's your new price, where x is the previous cost of electricity minus the fixed rate and f is the fixed rate.
your previous price was:
(x +f)*1.13 - (x+f)*1.13*0.08 =
(x + f)(1.0396).
so, the difference in price is then still +0.154923x (albeit f less than the previous x), but it's also -0.26894f. the reason for this is that the fixed price did not go up by 55%, but will go down by 32%. that's the term i dropped.
here, f is about $27. so, you're still looking at that 15.5% increase (on an x that is f less), but then minus a fixed amount of $7.26. that's my error. i apologize.
so, if your electrical bill was $127 last month before taxes and adjustments, then x is $100 and f is $27, so your new bill will be 15.5% higher in electrical costs (applied to the $100, not the $127), but then $7.26 less. that $7.26 is a fixed amount and will not increase or decrease with usage. so, your bill will then go from $132 to $140, rather than from $132 to $152. it's still not $2 - it's just $7.26 less than the 15.5% i previously calculated.
so, your bills will go up by 15.5%, still.
it's just that then they go down by another $7.26. and, i'll let you calculate whether that's in your interest or not.
but, x*1.155 - 7.26 < (x + 2.00) <----> x*.155<9.26 <----> x<$59.74.
so, if your bill is usually $83 or higher you're going to be paying more than $2 more, and the amount will increase as you use. if your bill is actually often in the $300 range (assume x=300, f=27), you're looking at a $39 increase, which is more than 11%. that number will approach 15.5% as costs increase, but never exceed it.
so, that's another way to look at it - that 15.5% is a limit. a maximum amount. that's what you get by dropping the "error term".
i multiplied the f by 155% thinking it would come out in the wash, but i actually dropped a factor. see, for me, i have a rebate, so it does come out in the wash - for my bill, specifically, i was right. but, more generally, that added term is important.
so, lets say your cost is x + f, where f is the fixed rate. the increase in cost will be 1.55x + f. then, you add tax: 1.13*(1.55x + f) = 1.7515x + 1.13f. then, you can subtract the 31.8%
1.7515x + 1.13f - 0.318*(1.7515x + 1.13f) =
x*(1.7515 - 0.318*1.7515) + f*(1.13-.318*1.13) =
1.194523x + 0.77066f.
that's your new price, where x is the previous cost of electricity minus the fixed rate and f is the fixed rate.
your previous price was:
(x +f)*1.13 - (x+f)*1.13*0.08 =
(x + f)(1.0396).
so, the difference in price is then still +0.154923x (albeit f less than the previous x), but it's also -0.26894f. the reason for this is that the fixed price did not go up by 55%, but will go down by 32%. that's the term i dropped.
here, f is about $27. so, you're still looking at that 15.5% increase (on an x that is f less), but then minus a fixed amount of $7.26. that's my error. i apologize.
so, if your electrical bill was $127 last month before taxes and adjustments, then x is $100 and f is $27, so your new bill will be 15.5% higher in electrical costs (applied to the $100, not the $127), but then $7.26 less. that $7.26 is a fixed amount and will not increase or decrease with usage. so, your bill will then go from $132 to $140, rather than from $132 to $152. it's still not $2 - it's just $7.26 less than the 15.5% i previously calculated.
so, your bills will go up by 15.5%, still.
it's just that then they go down by another $7.26. and, i'll let you calculate whether that's in your interest or not.
but, x*1.155 - 7.26 < (x + 2.00) <----> x*.155<9.26 <----> x<$59.74.
so, if your bill is usually $83 or higher you're going to be paying more than $2 more, and the amount will increase as you use. if your bill is actually often in the $300 range (assume x=300, f=27), you're looking at a $39 increase, which is more than 11%. that number will approach 15.5% as costs increase, but never exceed it.
so, that's another way to look at it - that 15.5% is a limit. a maximum amount. that's what you get by dropping the "error term".
how low would your electrical bill have to be to have the difference be $2?
x*0.154923 < $2.00 <-------> x < $12.90.
i thought, maybe, they were just excluding the delivery charges, which would be dishonest but deconstructible. no.
there's no way to make sense of the email i got from enwin; it's just a terrible, horrible lie.
expect your bills to go up by 15%.
x*0.154923 < $2.00 <-------> x < $12.90.
i thought, maybe, they were just excluding the delivery charges, which would be dishonest but deconstructible. no.
there's no way to make sense of the email i got from enwin; it's just a terrible, horrible lie.
expect your bills to go up by 15%.
and, the idea that the price is going to only go up by 2% is just wrong.
let's say your current electrical cost is x. the price is going up 155%, so your new price is 1.55x. then, they'll charge you tax, so that's another 0.13*1.55x, so your new price is 1.7515x. they'll then reduce that by 31.8%, so that's
1.7515x - 0.318*1.7515x = 1.194523x.
previously, they would have charged you tax (1.13x) and then reduced it by 8% (1.13x - 0.08*1.13x = 1.0396x).
1.194523x - 1.0396x = 0.154923x. that's a 15% percent increase.
and, indeed, if your normal electrical price is $150 (how?), you're going to go from $155.94 to $179.18. that's not $2.
if you're actually one of these poor suckers that uses $300 of electricity, per month (including delivery)? your bill will go from $312 to....$358.36.
you know doug. he's in it for you.
let's say your current electrical cost is x. the price is going up 155%, so your new price is 1.55x. then, they'll charge you tax, so that's another 0.13*1.55x, so your new price is 1.7515x. they'll then reduce that by 31.8%, so that's
1.7515x - 0.318*1.7515x = 1.194523x.
previously, they would have charged you tax (1.13x) and then reduced it by 8% (1.13x - 0.08*1.13x = 1.0396x).
1.194523x - 1.0396x = 0.154923x. that's a 15% percent increase.
and, indeed, if your normal electrical price is $150 (how?), you're going to go from $155.94 to $179.18. that's not $2.
if you're actually one of these poor suckers that uses $300 of electricity, per month (including delivery)? your bill will go from $312 to....$358.36.
you know doug. he's in it for you.
so, it's that much more important that i get the battery fixed in the chromebook.
and, i'm going to start disconnecting from the internet and going into battery mode between 7:00-19:00.
my sleeping schedule for the winter is also now fixed...
this is going to have a gigantic shift on my behaviour and habits, because i'm not giving these fuckers a dime.
and, i'm going to start disconnecting from the internet and going into battery mode between 7:00-19:00.
my sleeping schedule for the winter is also now fixed...
this is going to have a gigantic shift on my behaviour and habits, because i'm not giving these fuckers a dime.
what has the government done, here?
1) it's increased the price of electricity, by 53-55%.
2) it's then increased the rebates from 8% to 32%, which is 24%.
so, let's say your bill was $45. well, that's my bill. why is yours so much?
this is my bill from last month:
on peak - $3.77
mid peak - $2.69
off peak - $7.62
total: $14.08
i then have to pay enwin $31.95 in "delivery charges". so, it was $46.03.
i have a $45 oesp credit, so that left me with a bill for $1.03. they then charged me $0.13 hst, so it's $1.16 with tax. then, they gave me my 8% rebate...which was $0.08.
my bill is going to go up 55%, now. so, instead of being $14.08, it's going to be $21.82. further, the "delivery charges" will go up by some amount, and i'm not working it out. so, my bill will now be around $55 instead of $46.
they'll then take the $45 credit out, so it will be $11.
then they'll charge me tax, which is 13%. so, i'm looking at $12-13. after they apply their increased rebate, i'm going to be looking at $8.00-9.00 for electricity.
per month.
....for a service that should be owned and operated by the people of this province on a non-profit basis.
so, i'm outraged - this is just an obvious cash grab by ford and his private sector cronies, and everybody with a brain saw it coming a million miles away. it's exactly what happened under mike harris - they promised lower electrical rates, and their privatization schemes instead pushed the price through the roof.
we need public ownership of these utilities, and nobody is willing to run on it.
personally? i'm not going to pay for this. i'll cut my usage down, until it's next to nothing. i'll go type in the coffee shop, if i have to.
1) it's increased the price of electricity, by 53-55%.
2) it's then increased the rebates from 8% to 32%, which is 24%.
so, let's say your bill was $45. well, that's my bill. why is yours so much?
this is my bill from last month:
on peak - $3.77
mid peak - $2.69
off peak - $7.62
total: $14.08
i then have to pay enwin $31.95 in "delivery charges". so, it was $46.03.
i have a $45 oesp credit, so that left me with a bill for $1.03. they then charged me $0.13 hst, so it's $1.16 with tax. then, they gave me my 8% rebate...which was $0.08.
my bill is going to go up 55%, now. so, instead of being $14.08, it's going to be $21.82. further, the "delivery charges" will go up by some amount, and i'm not working it out. so, my bill will now be around $55 instead of $46.
they'll then take the $45 credit out, so it will be $11.
then they'll charge me tax, which is 13%. so, i'm looking at $12-13. after they apply their increased rebate, i'm going to be looking at $8.00-9.00 for electricity.
per month.
....for a service that should be owned and operated by the people of this province on a non-profit basis.
so, i'm outraged - this is just an obvious cash grab by ford and his private sector cronies, and everybody with a brain saw it coming a million miles away. it's exactly what happened under mike harris - they promised lower electrical rates, and their privatization schemes instead pushed the price through the roof.
we need public ownership of these utilities, and nobody is willing to run on it.
personally? i'm not going to pay for this. i'll cut my usage down, until it's next to nothing. i'll go type in the coffee shop, if i have to.
i can't believe how stupid the sitting government is. and, i can't believe how stupid the province is for voting for them.
this is a catastrophe.
i'm essentially going to have to turn all electricity in the unit off between 7:00 am and 7:00 pm, now.
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this is a catastrophe.
i'm essentially going to have to turn all electricity in the unit off between 7:00 am and 7:00 pm, now.
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Dear Valued ENWIN Customer,
We wanted to make you aware of two important changes that may impact your bill:
Prior to November 1st, 2019, time-of-use electricity rates included a built in rebate, which artificially reduced the cost of power. Your bill also included an additional 8% provincial rebate.
Starting November 1st, 2019, Ontario is making your electricity bill more transparent by moving the built in rebate included in the electricity rates and identifying the full rebate amount separately on your bill. With this change, the 8% provincial rebate will be replaced by a much larger 31.8% Ontario Energy Rebate (OER). This increased rebate will largely offset the rate changes.
The total bill for a typical residential customer who uses 700 kWh
per month will increase by about $1.99 or 1.8% with this change, which
is in line with the rate of inflation.
For additional information on this rate change including a sample bill, please click the link below:
https://www.oeb.ca/newsroom/
Customer Service: 519-255-2727
Business Hours are 8:00 am - 4:30 pm Monday to Friday
Email: info@enwin.com
We wanted to make you aware of two important changes that may impact your bill:
Winter Time of Use Hours Now In Effect
We would like to remind you Winter Time-of-Use hours are now in effect starting November 1, 2019. Remember, electricity rates are lower during off-peak hours. For the lowest possible bill, adjust your consumption accordingly.
Ontario Energy Board Sets New Electricity Prices
The Ontario Energy Board (OEB) has also set new Time-of-Use electricity prices for households and small businesses, effective November 1st, under the Regulated Price Plan (RPP).Prior to November 1st, 2019, time-of-use electricity rates included a built in rebate, which artificially reduced the cost of power. Your bill also included an additional 8% provincial rebate.
Starting November 1st, 2019, Ontario is making your electricity bill more transparent by moving the built in rebate included in the electricity rates and identifying the full rebate amount separately on your bill. With this change, the 8% provincial rebate will be replaced by a much larger 31.8% Ontario Energy Rebate (OER). This increased rebate will largely offset the rate changes.
| Time-of-Use Price Period / Rebate | Prior to November 1, 2019 | Starting November 1, 2019 |
|---|---|---|
| Off-Peak Rate | 6.5¢/kWh | 10.1¢/kWh |
| Mid-Peak Rate | 9.4¢/kWh | 14.4¢/kWh |
| On-Peak Rate | 13.4¢/kWh | 20.8¢/kWh |
| Rebate (subtracted from your bill) | 8% Provincial Rebate | 31.8% Ontario Energy Rebate |
For additional information on this rate change including a sample bill, please click the link below:
https://www.oeb.ca/newsroom/
Customer Service: 519-255-2727
Business Hours are 8:00 am - 4:30 pm Monday to Friday
Email: info@enwin.com
the premise that alzheimer's is a hereditary genetic condition is just not well thought through. so, it's one of those things that you can throw data at me regarding, and i'm just going to search for holes in it - i will never take the idea seriously, because it's incoherent on it's face. rather, i'm confident that i'll find the flaw in your study.
can we be born with genes that cognitively impair us from birth? yes. we have down's syndrome as an example. evolution can sometimes make mistakes.
and, can our dna get damaged as it goes to copy itself? sure. that happens all of the time. that's how some types of cancer function, and can both happen as a consequence of exposure to toxins or radiation, or just from the process fucking up.
but, does the idea of a gene that is programmed to eat our brains out from the inside when we reach a certain age actually make any sense? no. that's ridiculous.
it's caused by pollution. deal with it.
https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2017/01/brain-pollution-evidence-builds-dirty-air-causes-alzheimer-s-dementia
can we be born with genes that cognitively impair us from birth? yes. we have down's syndrome as an example. evolution can sometimes make mistakes.
and, can our dna get damaged as it goes to copy itself? sure. that happens all of the time. that's how some types of cancer function, and can both happen as a consequence of exposure to toxins or radiation, or just from the process fucking up.
but, does the idea of a gene that is programmed to eat our brains out from the inside when we reach a certain age actually make any sense? no. that's ridiculous.
it's caused by pollution. deal with it.
https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2017/01/brain-pollution-evidence-builds-dirty-air-causes-alzheimer-s-dementia
Friday, November 8, 2019
Advances
in molecular genetics now allow the opportunity for international studies
such as ours to explore etiological hypotheses involving specific genes rather
than simple comparisons between races or ethnic groups. One of the most consistent
findings in AD research has been the association of the possession of the
apolipoprotein E (APOE) ∊4 allele to increased
susceptibility for AD.38 In contrast to reports
from other populations, we have found only a marginally significant association
between possession of the ∊4 allele and AD in
the African American population39 similar to
other study reports.40 In the Yoruba, we have
found no significant association between the possession of the ∊4 allele and dementia or AD in either the heterozygous
or homozygous states.41 As the frequencies
of the 3 major APOE alleles are almost identical
in the 2 populations, this variation in the strength of the association between ∊4 and AD may account for some of the differences in incidence
rates between the populations, although it is not likely to explain all of
it. It also raises the possibility that some other genetic or environmental
factor affects the association of the ∊4 allele
to AD and reduces incidence rates for dementia and AD in Yoruba.
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/193548
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/193548
there's an interesting list of references at the end of this article.
https://www.brainblogger.com/2017/09/15/environmental-factors-in-development-of-alzheimers-disease/
https://www.brainblogger.com/2017/09/15/environmental-factors-in-development-of-alzheimers-disease/
that was easier than i thought. i just had to delete the tokens.dat file and let the system rebuild the database. it's actually better now than it was before, because i'm not getting those annoying prompts...
i got a little distracted yesterday morning by my chromebook, which has developed some kind of corruption in the firmware. the battery appears to work according to the diagnostics, but the operating system doesn't seem to want to read it. i was hoping i could fix it easily by flipping a bit, but it looks like it's a more serious project. there's an entire component of the operating system that appears to be damaged...
it just means i need to keep it plugged in to use it, and that i have to use it in guest mode because it won't let me default to the pin. so, it's not catastrophic. but i want to fix it. i was hoping i could do it quickly in the morning, then take a nap before i went out, but i just learned it's going to be a project. so, i'm going to put that aside for a few days, although i'd like to get a handle on it before i go to toronto.
last night didn't work out as intended, but i'm glad i figured it out before i got stuck. i went to buy some tickets from the terminal, and they told me the tunnel was closing for the night. so, my plan to hit the concerto and the noise rock show was foiled; i stayed in windsor, instead. i'll do up a review in a bit, but it's going to be sort of short and not that exciting.
i was home late, ate, showered and slept all day....
how is the smell in here? i did try to turn the fan off this morning, but i've got it back on tonight. it's a smoky kind of smell, and i might be tempted to conclude somebody was smoking, but i've learned that it might be remnant complications from the sewer gas. i don't know, really. i know that i had to turn the fan back on, and i'll try again in a few more days. i can't smell the sewer in the closet, but the heat has been on, and i know that resolves it, regardless. the smell coming out of the fixtures has been getting better but hasn't resolved itself.
so, i need to spend the night doing what i intended to do yesterday morning, which is reassembling this week's rambling. and, then, i intend to get back to those liner notes, and get them done with by the end of the weekend.
i got a little distracted yesterday morning by my chromebook, which has developed some kind of corruption in the firmware. the battery appears to work according to the diagnostics, but the operating system doesn't seem to want to read it. i was hoping i could fix it easily by flipping a bit, but it looks like it's a more serious project. there's an entire component of the operating system that appears to be damaged...
it just means i need to keep it plugged in to use it, and that i have to use it in guest mode because it won't let me default to the pin. so, it's not catastrophic. but i want to fix it. i was hoping i could do it quickly in the morning, then take a nap before i went out, but i just learned it's going to be a project. so, i'm going to put that aside for a few days, although i'd like to get a handle on it before i go to toronto.
last night didn't work out as intended, but i'm glad i figured it out before i got stuck. i went to buy some tickets from the terminal, and they told me the tunnel was closing for the night. so, my plan to hit the concerto and the noise rock show was foiled; i stayed in windsor, instead. i'll do up a review in a bit, but it's going to be sort of short and not that exciting.
i was home late, ate, showered and slept all day....
how is the smell in here? i did try to turn the fan off this morning, but i've got it back on tonight. it's a smoky kind of smell, and i might be tempted to conclude somebody was smoking, but i've learned that it might be remnant complications from the sewer gas. i don't know, really. i know that i had to turn the fan back on, and i'll try again in a few more days. i can't smell the sewer in the closet, but the heat has been on, and i know that resolves it, regardless. the smell coming out of the fixtures has been getting better but hasn't resolved itself.
so, i need to spend the night doing what i intended to do yesterday morning, which is reassembling this week's rambling. and, then, i intend to get back to those liner notes, and get them done with by the end of the weekend.
we'll talk soon. i want to figure this out once and for all, first.
the key activates. it's fine. i got it from school, i think. but, my haphazard workaround has created some kind of access request error - system files still belong to the removed account.
i don't want to just take ownership of the whole drive. i want to figure out the precise concern.
for now, this is priceless. stupid windows...
the key activates. it's fine. i got it from school, i think. but, my haphazard workaround has created some kind of access request error - system files still belong to the removed account.
i don't want to just take ownership of the whole drive. i want to figure out the precise concern.
for now, this is priceless. stupid windows...
Thursday, November 7, 2019
yup. back on the laptop.
didn't even lose a tab...
might even be a bit snappier. and, the "your windows is fake" screen hasn't come up yet, when it should. score.
i need to go through and fix typos and rearrange all the posts made since sunday night, put an entry into the star log and get back to focusing on those liner notes, which i probably won't get much of a start on by the end of the night, but we'll see.
didn't even lose a tab...
might even be a bit snappier. and, the "your windows is fake" screen hasn't come up yet, when it should. score.
i need to go through and fix typos and rearrange all the posts made since sunday night, put an entry into the star log and get back to focusing on those liner notes, which i probably won't get much of a start on by the end of the night, but we'll see.
i think this article is missing the point.
when you live in ottawa, you pretty much only have one economic opportunity, and that's working for the government. if you want a job in the government, you'd better be bilingual. so, what's happening is that the economic realities of the region are creating a pretty strong push factor to get kids into immersion - because people know that if their kids can't speak french, then they have no future in the city.
they don't need an education campaign to promote the benefits of the english system; so long as the only serious employment opportunities in the city are in government, you're going to see this continue. i don't want to "blame" it on the federal government's bilingual policy, but if the region can't diversify it's economy away from government then it's the truth of it - you'll never get a decent job if you're not fluent in french.
i didn't go to immersion, and in fact i thought learning french was a waste of time - something i actually don't regret. that doesn't have a lot to do with why i moved. my french is rusty, but it's workable. i could pass a test. i legitimately just didn't want a government job. i didn't want the 9-5, the responsibility, the social obligations...
and, i don't actually think the language issue was at the heart of the barriers i faced in employment. stated tersely, they didn't seem to want me there any more than i wanted to be there; i didn't understand the culture, i didn't have the experience, i didn't fit in and they knew it.
my parents got into a hugely nasty fight about this, though. my father is fluently bilingual, and expected his children would be. my mother was born in saskatchewan, and wanted me to grow up with an english identity (despite not having any actual english ancestry, to my knowledge - she's norse and finnish and irish and welsh and scottish, but not actually english). in the end, she got to make the choice, but he deeply resented her for it, and i never really developed enough of a french identity to take an independent interest. i was growing up in the onset of globalization. why can't we all speak one language? why do we need to have dozens of them?
i didn't go to immersion, and in fact i thought learning french was a waste of time - something i actually don't regret. that doesn't have a lot to do with why i moved. my french is rusty, but it's workable. i could pass a test. i legitimately just didn't want a government job. i didn't want the 9-5, the responsibility, the social obligations...
and, i don't actually think the language issue was at the heart of the barriers i faced in employment. stated tersely, they didn't seem to want me there any more than i wanted to be there; i didn't understand the culture, i didn't have the experience, i didn't fit in and they knew it.
my parents got into a hugely nasty fight about this, though. my father is fluently bilingual, and expected his children would be. my mother was born in saskatchewan, and wanted me to grow up with an english identity (despite not having any actual english ancestry, to my knowledge - she's norse and finnish and irish and welsh and scottish, but not actually english). in the end, she got to make the choice, but he deeply resented her for it, and i never really developed enough of a french identity to take an independent interest. i was growing up in the onset of globalization. why can't we all speak one language? why do we need to have dozens of them?
my perspective hasn't meaningfully changed. i still don't want to work in the government. and, if i were to learn a new language today, french wouldn't be the one i'd be most interested in. i think i'd rather learn greek, or maybe russian.
so, i'm still on the chromebook. but, the laptop booted...and everything seems to be where it was....
i have some loose ends to work out before i close this machine back down, but i should be able to spend most of the night on the other machine, catching up on things from the last few days, after i stop to get something quick to eat.
this was not as serious of an issue as the last time this happened, which was after i tried to pop my access to information disc in the machine. all i did to fix this was the following:
1) take the hard drive out of the laptop
2) install the hard drive into the pc in an open slot
3) put a windows 7 disc into the pc
4) boot to windows pe and run a chkdsk /b.
5) boot into windows xp on the pc. yeah. it's fast.
6) copy everything off of the laptop's hard drive onto the pc's hard drive
7) turn the pc off and unplug all of the hard drives in the pc except the laptop's drive.
8) reboot to dvd and install windows 7 to the laptop's hard drive. this rebuilds the boot sector from scratch.
9) once you're up in windows 7, turn the machine off.
10) plug the other hard drives back in, and boot back into windows xp.
11) delete all of the data off of the laptop's install partition, except the registry. save that, just in case. do not format the install partition. do not touch the boot partition.
12) copy the data back on to the hard drive, putting the fresh registry somewhere safe for troubleshooting.
13) it should now boot back to your previous install, on the pc. if there are registry issues, you can fix them via trial and error. this time, there actually weren't any - it just booted up clean.
14) put the hard drive back in the laptop.
i legit lost sunday night, but i was going to spend monday making calls anyways, and i had to do show research for the trip, and i had to get some sleep. so, didn't really lose monday or tuesday. i guess i also lost tonight. so, that's only like ten hours. i've wasted more time on a new york times article.
14) put the hard drive back in the laptop.
i legit lost sunday night, but i was going to spend monday making calls anyways, and i had to do show research for the trip, and i had to get some sleep. so, didn't really lose monday or tuesday. i guess i also lost tonight. so, that's only like ten hours. i've wasted more time on a new york times article.
let's get things in order by early morning, so i can hit the show tomorrow night.
Wednesday, November 6, 2019
but, to be clear - am i picking nurture over nature? no. i'm redefining the debate, and not in the usual "it's a complicated mix" sort of cop-out way.
the debate is usually between whether you're born a certain way and can't change it, or whether you're subject to gramscian conditioning and can be completely defined by your masters.
i don't think either of those things are true. what i think is that the premise that you can control the laboratory conditions in this experiment is horribly naive! so, it's almost like a heisenbergian reanalysis of the basic question: how well can we control the environment, in the first place? how much of this is subject to randomness in ways that are not inherent, but that no amount of nurture can possibly overturn? are there paradoxical and ultraparadoxical phases linked to the nurture argument, and how much of this is triggered in ways that can't be controlled for, either?
so, i don't want a nature v nurture argument - i think this is deprecated. biological determinism is absurd. rather, what i want is a nurture v error argument, a controlled v uncontrolled debate, and then i'll argue that error is the evolution of nature in the equation.
and, then we can talk about how it's complicated.
so, i don't want a nature v nurture argument - i think this is deprecated. biological determinism is absurd. rather, what i want is a nurture v error argument, a controlled v uncontrolled debate, and then i'll argue that error is the evolution of nature in the equation.
and, then we can talk about how it's complicated.
so, what causes all of these things like asexuality and transexuality?
it's randomness. chance. error.
accepting that what our dna does is turn us into smart machines that can be more efficiently programmed by the environment essentially puts us at the whim of the universe, itself. as individuals, we're just the sum of our experiences.
so, there isn't a normal sexuality or a normal gender expression, relative to our dna. this arises solely and exclusively through the "machine learning" we go through as we actually exist. if heterosexuality is more common than homosexuality, it is only as a reflection of the dominant society. if we decided that homosexuality was normal, then we'd all be programmed that way by society, and we'd all grow up gay.
so, i'm essentially taking a tabula rasa position on this.
and, what it means is that things like historical statistics are kind of meaningless, because the assumption should be variation rather than stasis.
humans are indeed basically computers. but, we're not like the simple computers that we created when we first started messing around with programs.
to begin with, we're quantum computers. second, we're capable of machine learning - we're a complicated ai, not a linear code, or a recursive functional program.
so, when i talk about pavlovian conditioning, that doesn't exactly bring in a concept of free choice. we're still being programmed, but we're being programmed by the universe as it exists, in real time, rather than sprouting from some detailed instructions.
dna codes for proteins, which means it determines how the mechanics of our biology operates. and, it fucks this up. all of the time. look at all the diabetics. and, what is evolution? it's a function of errors in transcription. if you're imagining dna as this perfect set of instructions, that's completely flawed - it's haphazard and error-prone.
and, it simply doesn't code for actual behaviour - it just produces the conditions to allow for the universe to actually program us, as a reaction to stimuli in real-time.
and, as we evolve, it will be to become more reactive, more adaptive, not less so.
and, it simply doesn't code for actual behaviour - it just produces the conditions to allow for the universe to actually program us, as a reaction to stimuli in real-time.
and, as we evolve, it will be to become more reactive, more adaptive, not less so.
my perspectives on this are not in the mainstream of science at the moment, although as more evidence debunks the genetic basis of sexual orientation there is going to be a need to look at different approaches, but the easy deduction from her life experiences is that she essentially wasn't taught to be sexual, whereas the other kids around her were.
reducing it to a choice - like what you're going to eat for breakfast - is a little overly simplistic. but, i think that if you were to look at her life experiences that much more carefully, you'd pull some things out. for example, i'd bet she watched less tv and was broadly less exposed to specific types of media than the kids around her. further, i'd suspect that her mother was less sexual than the mothers of some of these other kids. they probably never really had that old talk. if you want to reduce it to a single, specific factor, it could very well simply be that her role models were not sexual, so she grew up into a non-sexual identity. yes, there is some concept of choice here, but it's hopelessly intertwined with the inputs defining the choice, meaning you're looking more at a type of pavlovian conditioning.
the basic point that i think so many people get wrong here is that they assume that this is all programmed, all hard-wired. the evidence is slowly overturning this perception. but, the remnants of social norms are still kind of lingering around.
my position is that all of these things that we assume are inherent have to be taught, and if you don't teach them then they just don't happen. i'm convinced, personally, that one of the reasons that i ended up identifying as female is that nobody ever really taught me how to be a male. it's not that simple. the mere absence of instruction is not enough to imply a specific outcome. i could have decided to pursue that path on my own, and sought different role models. but, being born xy doesn't necessarily imply you'll grow into a man - you have to be taught, somehow, one way or the other. it doesn't just happen. it's not innate, not automatic, not inherent.
likewise, sexual attraction is not something innate. it doesn't just appear out of our genome. mammals need to be taught almost everything by their parents, and sexuality is really no different. if you don't teach your kids about sex, they won't necessarily learn about it on their own - they might decide they'd rather do something else, or they might build up walls and barriers and stigmas. they may even take solace in their isolation, and elevate it to a part of their identity.
likewise, sexual attraction is not something innate. it doesn't just appear out of our genome. mammals need to be taught almost everything by their parents, and sexuality is really no different. if you don't teach your kids about sex, they won't necessarily learn about it on their own - they might decide they'd rather do something else, or they might build up walls and barriers and stigmas. they may even take solace in their isolation, and elevate it to a part of their identity.
she could probably change her mind if she wanted to, but the older you are, the harder it gets. and, she can't get back the life experiences that she didn't have when she was younger.
is asexuality essentially just another way to say you're sexually immature, then? by definition, perhaps. but, accepting diversity and autonomy and agency means it's ok to be immature and ok to accept that immaturity as an identity - that there isn't a correct path to follow in life.
is asexuality essentially just another way to say you're sexually immature, then? by definition, perhaps. but, accepting diversity and autonomy and agency means it's ok to be immature and ok to accept that immaturity as an identity - that there isn't a correct path to follow in life.
to make the point clear. i have to do this every little while.
...although it really should be obvious.....
...but i don't actually have sex, ever, with anybody, at all. i have had a single sexual partner in my life over 2002-2006, and what i learned is that it's not worth it. it took me a few years to realize it and make a conscious choice on the matter, but i've been consciously celibate by desire since roughly 2009. i have had essentially no interest in sex, at all, with anybody, in well over ten years.
i take a large amount of testosterone suppressors that make it physically impossible for me to get an erection. i couldn't fuck you if you begged me to. and, i wouldn't want to. i take these drugs because this is what i want. i find male sexuality, in pretty much any context, to be completely revolting.
i have never hit on or made sexual advances towards anybody of any gender, wanted or unwanted. there have been situations where i've realized that an advance has been wanted, and i've avoided making it. there have been situations where i've had to reject or avoid passive advances. there have also been situations where i've had to aggressively reject aggressive advances, and in fact from women more often than men. i even think i was raped once. but, i don't make sexual advances towards anybody, ever, at all, of any gender, under any circumstance, because i actually honestly seriously don't want to. anybody of any gender that is convinced i was hitting on them is just misinterpreting the situation....
so, i don't know what else to tell you.
so, i don't know what else to tell you.
i'm asexual; i don't seek sex, because i don't want it. and, you're just confused, if you're convinced otherwise.
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